Skip to comments.June Payrolls +195K Much Higher Than Expected (7.6%); Underemployment Rate Soars To 14.3%
Posted on 07/05/2013 5:36:41 AM PDT by Perdogg
So much for any doubts about a September taper: with the street expecting a 165K NFP number for June, the actual print of 195K following an upward revised May print of 195K as well, means the September flow fade is now virtually assured. The Unemployment Rate stayed at 7.6% despite expectations of a drop to 7.5%, although the real action was in the underemployment rate which exploded from 13.8% to 14.3%.
From the report:
Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 195,000 in June, in line with the average monthly gain of 182,000 over the prior 12 months. In June, job growth occurred in leisure and hospitality, professional and business services, retail trade, health care, and financial activities. (See table B-1.)
Leisure and hospital ity added 75,000 jobs in June. Monthly job growth in this industry has averaged 55,000 thus far in 2013, almost twice the average gain of 30,000 per month in 2012. Within leisure and hospitality, employment in food services and drinking places continued to expand, increasing by 52,000 in June. Employment in the amusements, gambling, and recreation industry also continued to trend up in June (+19,000).
Employment in professional and business services rose by 53,000 in June. Job gains occurred in management and technical consulting services (+8,000) and in computer systems design and related services (+7,000). Employment continued to trend up in temporary help services (+10,000). Over the past year, professional and business services has added 624,000 jobs.
Retail trade employment increased by 37,000 in June. Within retail trade, employment increased by 9,000 in building material and garden supply stores and by 8,000 in motor vehicle and parts dealers. Employment in wholesale trade continued to trend up (+11,000).
Health care continued to add jobs in June, with a gain of 20,000. Within the industry, employment continued to trend up in ambulatory health care services (+13,000). A gain of 5,000 jobs in hospitals followed a loss of 8,000 jobs in May.
Employment in financial activities rose by 17,000 in June, with most of the increase occurring in credit intermediation (+6,000) and in insurance carriers and related activities (+6,000).
Federal government employment continued to trend down in June (-5,000) and has declined by 65,000 over the past 12 months.
Employment in most other major industries, including mining and logging, construction, manufacturing, and transportation and warehousing, showed little change in June.
The average workweek for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls was unchanged in June at 34.5 hours. In manufacturing, the workweek increased by 0.1 hour to 40.9 hours, and overtime was unchanged at 3.3 hours. The average workweek for production and nonsupervisory employees on private nonfarm payrolls was unchanged at 33.7 hours. (See tables B-2 and B-7.)
In June, average hourly earnings for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls rose by 10 cents to $24.01. Over the year, average hourly earnings have risen by 51 cents, or 2.2 percent. In June, average hourly earnings of private-sector production and nonsupervisory employees increased by 5 cents to $20.14. (See tables B-3 and B-8.)
The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for April was revised from +149,000 to +199,000, and the change for May was revised from +175,000 to +195,000. With these revisions, employment gains in April and May combined were 70,000 higher than previously reported.
LOL! Just saw the Miami media try and spin this in Obama’s favor!
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Overall a positive report. U6 increasing is commensurate with the uptick in labor force participation rate. I will post some charts when FRED updates the data :-)
Yes, and I should mention the +70,000 net revisions to April and May— James Pethokoukis (@JimPethokoukis) July 5, 2013
I wonder how much of these jobs are part of the hospitality industry???
Leisure and hospital ity added 75,000 jobs in June
Only under Obama is 7.6% considered good.
Employment in most other major industries, including mining and logging, construction, manufacturing, and transportation and warehousing, showed little change in June.*********
That’s the problem with this report. Disposable incomes based on the first quarters numbers and since are falling at about 9% per year. That’s horrendous.
The average workweek is contracting and and there are no jobs in heavy industry which are the jobs that pay. Welcome to the fast food recovery.
@JimPethokoukis - But using Goldman Sachs estimates that subtract demographics, 9.1% rate is more in the ballpark
Try this link for BLS:
Well I’m in IT and there are jobs in the IT field..
Many of the new jobs were part time. The number of Americans who said they were working part-time but would prefer full-time work jumped 322,000 to 8.2 million. That's the most in eight months.
And you wonder why Obama just threw Obamacare under the bus?
Isn’t 200,000 considered the break-even point?
Do you live in India?.............
Nope.. I live in Illinois.. It depends on the skills that you have.. I seem to have the right skills.