Skip to comments.Can the Democrats really win back the House in the 2014 midterms?
Posted on 07/11/2013 12:16:46 PM PDT by Hojczyk
According to one reputable pollster, they can. But the data don't support it: without a big boost for Obama, it's wishful thinking
In order for that to occur, we would almost certainly need to see an extremely popular president. We don't.
Among registered voters, President Obama's approval rating is in the mid 40s. No poll since the middle of May has had President Obama's approval rating above his disapproval rating among registered voters. The best estimate I have is that President Obama has somewhere in the neighborhood of a -4pt approval among registered voters. It's probably slightly worse among those who turn out to vote in midterm elections.
Indeed, the Democracy Corps survey shows that President Obama's approval rating in the swing districts is a measly 44%. His net approval among these 2014 likely voters is -8pt. This is despite the respondents saying that they voted for President Obama by a 3 pt margin in 2012. It's very difficult to imagine that Democrats can win back many seats when Obama is this disliked in these districts. In the last two midterms, the percentage of the vote won by the president's party was pretty much equal to the percentage who approved of the president's job performance.
(Excerpt) Read more at guardian.co.uk ...
There has been a concerted effort to damage the Republican “brand”. The major contributors are Democrats, the media, and Republican politicians.
The Republicans have no issue to stand for. The only thing they have going for them is how Congressional districts are drawn.
Yep. If they vote for amnesty the number of their voters who sit home will be triple the number as Romney’s.
just answering the title without reading the article.
The Republicans SHOULD keep the house and possibly take back the Senate....
but the RINO party is a bunch of useless wusses who would, it seems rather lose. we need a new party.
Daniel Henninger thinks that the Democrat agenda is about to implode. It sounds to me as though they are close to achieving their Cloward Piven strategy.
” The Republicans have no issue to stand for. The only thing they have going for them is how Congressional districts are drawn.”
Or how much they will get paid as a lobbyist, if they sell their souls to the devil, and support amnesty.
The primaries will tell the tale. Congressional districts are small enough to be local beauty contests. No matter how bad the leadership screws up people tend to believe that their congress critter wasn’t to blame. Primaries quickly show where the money is coming from. Activists had better be ready to expose that play early. The better your congressman the more likely there will be a democrat stalking horse in the primary.
Win? No. The GOPe will simply give it to them.
With a little help from the ‘election manipulation’ wing at the NSA, they probably can but I hope not. They’ll rush to give citizenship to illegals and that MUST not happen or forget it.
Not likely. Still, if anyone can hand it to them it’s the GOP establishment.
with the GOPe pissing off their own voters... yep its possible
It's amazing what a little "tweak" to the voting machines can do, they will show their enthusiasm by voting multiple times, and the dims will get everyone to turn out - dead, non-existent, illegal alien voters, etc.
Will there be enough votes counted for the Dims to take back the House? That's an entirely different question. If recent history is any guide, the answer to it may be different than the 1st question.
not legitimately but since elections are now mostly rigged, the fraudsters put in office who they want. Going through the process of even having elections is a joke but it keeps the fools thinking that their vote actually matters.
If the Republicans ram through a treasonous amnesty bill, there will no longer be a reason to support them. Bob
Republicans, democrats.. Except for a few, I can’t tell the difference these days.
It depends, at least in part, on how widespread the use of touch screen voting machines is. They control those. Soros’ people count those votes.
We need to primary out bad Republicans but vote GOP on election day.
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