In Wyoming, we’re not that far out. The winner of the GOP primary in August, 2014, has a very strong chance of winning the November election.
Furthermore, if Dave Freudenthal (former Democratic governor of Wyoming) runs in the 2014 senate election, there’s a real contest. Meaning that the winner of the GOP primary has to have enough money and support left to beat Dave in the general election.
Unlike most other Democrats in Wyoming, Dave is a) very popular, b) knows the issues very well, c) has a sound head on his shoulders. He’s shown more balls in taking on the federal government on land, water and wildlife issues than most of the GOP field.
If Dave wins the DNC primary and is running for Enzi’s seat next fall, I’d predict that if Cheney somehow won the primary, she’d cost the GOP the seat because she’s utterly ignorant of the local issues in Wyoming. And living in Jackson will cement the stereotype she’s creating as a rich carpet bagger parachuting in from DC.
Do you suppose Freudenthal is waiting to see how the GOP race is going before committing? I assume that if he's up against Enzi then he'd have to be considered a long-shot?