Skip to comments.Big news from the UN: We’re 95% sure that human activity is the main driver of climate change
Posted on 08/20/2013 2:07:22 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
This is an increase of the mere 90 percent confidence the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change asserted in their last ‘definitive’ report in 2007, by the way. Via the NYT:
An international panel of scientists has found with near certainty that human activity is the cause of most of the temperature increases of recent decades, and warns that sea levels could conceivably rise by more than three feet by the end of the century if emissions continue at a runaway pace.
The scientists, whose findings are reported in a draft summary of the next big United Nations climate report, largely dismiss a recent slowdown in the pace of warming, which is often cited by climate change doubters, attributing it most likely to short-term factors.
The report emphasizes that the basic facts about future climate change are more established than ever, justifying the rise in global concern. It also reiterates that the consequences of escalating emissions are likely to be profound.
It is extremely likely that human influence on climate caused more than half of the observed increase in global average surface temperature from 1951 to 2010, the draft report says. There is high confidence that this has warmed the ocean, melted snow and ice, raised global mean sea level and changed some climate extremes in the second half of the 20th century.
Okay, guys. Once more, with feeling: First of all, nobody but nobody is a “skeptic” or “denier of the very longstanding process of climate change itself, and secondly, I’m not even denying that human activity contributes to climate change. In fact, much like these 95 percent of scientists, I happen to think that it very probably does — but to what degree and with what causes and effects? Consensuses of scientists really haven’t done their credibility any favors when they’ve been hysteria-mongering for decades about how humanity is just around the corner from imminent global catastrophe and offering nothing but hugely expensive, bureaucratic, and market-interfering dramatic policy overhauls as the solutions. The science is “settled,” we’ve heard for years, and yet we’re recently discovering that most of those much-touted climate models are now coming up conspicuously short: Yes, we’ve been introducing increasing levels of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere for decades, but somehow the planet has neglected to warm for a solid fifteen years. Does this mean that climate change isn’t a cause for concern and consideration that requires further study to determine its real causes and the depths of their effects? Certainly not. Does it mean that we should immediately quixotically sink our productivity and economy on behalf of policies whose consequences we obviously don’t have accurate methods of predicting? Nope.
Where’s Cigarette smoking guy?
Oh,, dead.. Just like the hoax that was.. Man is destroying the Earth.
Odd. I’m 110% sure they’re full of crap. But at least it’s crap we pay for. HUH?
Glad they feel that way. They can all leave our country and make the air better for U.S. citizens....
What’s that line the kid used in “The Cowboys”....Dung heap!
UN = Sack of Rocks
How do they explain the historical records of ice ages in the past followed by warming? Long before the industrial revolution earth’s climate changed.
The whole purpose of “made made climate change” is control.
Control over our life. Nothing more, nothing less.
Climate has changed my entire life.
Hot, cold, wet, dry, windy, calm, blah, blah, blah.
Pretty sure it’s been that way since DAY 1, and no, electing socialists isn’t going to change that.
Closing the UN would negate the carbon foot print of several cities.
Thats Great News, considering 98% of the UN and its supporters are absolute morons. So we are 7% headed in the right direction.
And I’m 100% sure that collectively they have no brains.
Soon, they will be 105% sure, given the late reporting of voting from Chicago precincts.
Well, that settles it then. /s
SO what caused climate change (it was ALWAYS changing) before this “human acivity”??
Oops 3% I thought I read 90% - well its something...
I am 95% that anything the UN produces is 100% bu11sh|t.
The climate is cooling.
Buh bye : )
I happen to agree with them. They should all end their lives so the rest of us have more resources..
95% of all statistics are made up on the spot. 105% of them are completely bogus.
We gotta fight this, by golly, let’s send some more money to the U.N.!
proof you must be mentally deficient to get a job in the UN.
...Obama issues an Executive Order to the Sun...
....to increase it's magnetic field....
and make a good crop of sunspots before elections in 2016....
(PhysOrg.com) -- Sunspot formation is triggered by a magnetic field, which scientists say is steadily declining. They predict that by 2016 there may be no remaining sunspots, and the sun may stay spotless for several decades.
The last time the sunspots disappeared altogether was in the 17th and 18th century, and coincided with a lengthy cool period on the planet known as the Little Ice Age....and lasted 400 years.
Good luck surviving with no electricity and GE modified seeds.
Read more at: http://phys.org/news203746768.html#jCp
And I am 100% sure that globull warming is a scam by the socialists in a bid to steal the wealth of the industrialized world and transfer a large percentage into their personal Swiss bank accounts and a small percentage to the people of the third world.
I wouldn't care if they were 100% sure. (I won't lower myself intellectually to the 150% ignoramuses)
It has been documented beyond any doubt whatsoever that any purely scientific findings of the IPCC are inevitably perverted to political statements, projections and recommendations with no basis in reality, or in the science it purports to represent.
Computer models is the most egregious example.
Those pseudo political "scientists" should read Mark Twain's Life on the Mississippi, where he discusses the ultimate length of the river based on past observations. It's a great laugh, but perhaps not for the climate-carbon-credit scammers.
The created believe they are the Creator.
95% sure and now they will demand that all the rich nations (meaning the US) pay the UN lotsa’ money to “fight” glow-bull warming. Uh-huh. And what kind of money trail will there be? (none....).
I’m sure their models will predict 110% certainty the next time around.
So, I guess this means they'll be 105% sure in 2028.
It they’re THAT sure then it’s kind of funny that they have to keep telling us just HOW sure they are.
I’m 100% sure that the sun is going to rise in the east tomorrow but I don’t go proclaiming it from the rooftops.
I see you've met my ex-wife....
So send your money you Western morons. Cause we said so and we’re broke! We make the rules. Live with it!
This is accordance with the scientific conclusion old Al stated to the students in a recent speech “WHAT ELSE COULD IT BE”. Now that’s scientific consensus if I ever heard it.
Well if it is, you'd better send sternly worded letters to Communist China and India. They're the ones making the big stinking mess...
Oh yeah, and Japan.
And we’re 100% sure you’re full of shit.
the 95% confidence level in statistics. It’s only use should be in closed controlled systems, not human surveys or complex systems like the weather which has too many variable to count. How was yesterdays weather prediction for you?
There seems to be an incorrect statement here. The article stipulates that a "panel" (of unspecified size) of scientists are 95% sure of something. This is nowhere near the same as "95% of scientists". The "panel" could have been 3 guys who are 95% sure.
Was that draft report written by a delusional Jr. High-schooler?
A 59-year span of time is not climate; it is weather.
It is, in addition, highly suspicious as to the seemingly arbitrary, whimsical decision not to include 1950.
Two to three hundred years is the briefest time that science can presume to be analyzing "climate," in a discipline the deals with millennia or hundreds of millions of years of obvious cyclical behavior.
That pesky 5% remaining of course is reality.
We had a cold spring and a colder than average summer around my parts (western Wisconsin). We even set a few records for coldest “highs.” Bring on the global warming please.
I see you've met Diane Feinswein. That's her favorite line to constituents with an arbitrary, federally induced hardship complaint.
Also we’re 100 percent sure the UN is dangerous, a sham, and a huge waist of money.
Low Information Diplomats.