Here is what is going to happen and you can bet on it:
Because Cuccinelli double crossed Bolling and changed the nomination process from primary to convention, Cuccinelli won the nomination for governor ahead of the two term lt. governor whose “turn” it was to run by agreement of everyone, including Cuccinelli. Lots of bad feelings resulted from that. At the convention, an unknown candidate with no chance to win was nominated for lt. governor. Cuccinelli failed to exercise any leadership at the convention as to who should be his running mate and now he is stuck with a guy who makes daily headlines that hurt the ticket. Obenshain, running for attorney general, is a real hope for the future but he may go down with the top of the ticket. Cuccinelli is now showing at 6 points down and I don’t believe he will do any better than that. He will be outspent by about 4 to 1 and they are lying about Cuccinelli in every TV spot, but it works.
What will happen is the Dems sweep the ticket and the Dem Attorney General will refuse to defend the Va Constitution prohibition against homosexual marriage and it will be defaulted just like in California.
You read it here first. Thanks a lot Ken Cuccinelli.
I think the Dems will sweep VA in 2013 and maybe 2014 too. The GOP is too disorganized there, and the state is overrurn with popular northern liberals in the DC metro area. Little people in Lynchburg, Radford, or Roanoke just can’t compete there.
Well, that's certainly the way the GOPe tells the story. I seem to remember it differently, especially the part about how Cuccinelli was head-and-shoulders above Bolling (who has always been a moderate in actions, if not words) in his conservative bona fides. Also how the grass-roots of the party was tired of "next turn" candidates (like Dole and McCain were at the national level), and wanted a principled conservative for the offices, which led to several people running who were little known... because the known candidates were "next turn" moderates and wouldn't talk or walk conservatism. I also seem to remember a lot of discussion about how the Dems would register as Repubs in order to vote in our primary... and how that led to weak candidates (like... say... Bolling) in previous elections.
But, then again, I guess if you care more about winning than conservatism, Bolling's narrative might be plausible. The only problem is, if you run a moderate so they'll win... even if they do win, they never vote as a conservative...