I made the call yesterday, that he won't launch.
Reuters has another story casting doubts upon the intel. There are some escape hatches.
I think he’s in too deep. Remember, he threatened to go in even if the congress voted no. Even if the UN said no and he was all alone with no allies, he’d still strike. He’s a frustrated wannabe dictator/conqueror and he’s flailing around dangerously. When the congress votes him down,his arrogance will probably lead him to try ordering a military strike anyway. We need the congress to not only vote no, but to remind him (and the military) of their constitutional recourse should he proceed against the will of the people. The imperial presidency must be put in its place.