Skip to comments.The Canary in the Coal Mine
Posted on 09/23/2013 9:51:39 AM PDT by yoe
The poll data is clear and cuts across party lines: 92 percent of the public does not think it is right that Congress and their staff are letting the Obama administration exempt them from the costs of Obamacare. Yet it seems many in Congress still want to dismiss these findings in hopes that these sentiments won't translate into actual voter preferences.
Incumbents facing reelections shouldn't fool themselves. A recent real-world deployment of the issue shows it can powerfully impact candidates prospects.
As for the strategists, the message is clear: Get your incumbents on the right side of the issue, or spend election night on the edge of your seat; get your challengers on the right side of the issue, and prepare to win where you didnt previously think possible.
We tested the effect of the congressional exemption issue in six different 2014 races, which represent different election archetypes. We launched incumbent-specific, small but targeted, week-long communications campaigns, using mail, phones and internet, (but no TV or radio), directed at 7,500 likely voters. Then we analyzed the criteria regularly used by campaign strategists to measure the strength of an incumbents reelection campaign: the "hard re-elect", or the percentage of voters who say they will vote to reelect the incumbent; the "hard vote against", or the percentage of voters who say they will vote against an incumbent; and the "ballot test", or how the incumbent fares when matched up against his challenger.
[snip] The incumbents against whom we tested the issue were: Sen. Mark Udall, Democrat from Colorado; Sen. Mary Landrieu, Democrat from Louisiana; Sen. Lindsey Graham, Republican from South Carolina; Rep. John Tierney, Democrat from Massachusetts; Rep. Jim Matheson, Democrat from Utah; and U.S. Rep. Mike Simpson, Republican from Idaho.
(Excerpt) Read more at weeklystandard.com ...
It is also illegal for the Executive Branch to rewrite portions of a law that have been passed into law. Where is the opposition party?
The opposition party supports the continuation of government subsidies to themselves and their staffs for health care costs. Both parties are corrupt.
Any incumbent that voted to exempt themselves or their families or staff, will face a torrent of ads from their opponents over this one thing. Americans will be enraged and will take their anger out on the ones who did this...............
There are only two parties in this country: THE ELECTED OFFICIALS AND THE VOTERS.............
Politicians and their families get sick too, especially our geriatrics in the Senate and House who are at an age where care is critical and they would not qualify under the death panels, and these politicians fully understand just how bad ObamaCare is going to be. It's great to be in favor of rationed care and "cost benefit analysis of care options' until you are the ones who are being denied care by a bureaucratic death panel.
Listen up! We're talking to you ... Linda Graham!
This is as large an opportunity for our side as any out there.
Single moms, hispanics and most liberals must be upset (or can be made upset) by the idea of exemptions.
Who voted for authorizing exemptions?
When was the debate held?
Why was this not mentioned in 2009?
What would the Supreme Court say about exemptions?
This reminds me of the attemt to make electricty an open market in 2000 in California. Rolling blackouts, except for the exempted.
This is the low hanging fruit that house GOP shouldnt ignore if what we think happens does.
The worst part is congress specifically put a provision in O-care bill to force congresss and staff and families to get insurance through Obama-care
Then they went to Obama after election and begged him for this handout.
You mean the spineless Pubbies? Attacking Ted Cruz and standing up for Socialized Healthcare for America, that's where.
What the GOP needs to do is demand that we either exempt no one or exempt everyone. Repeat this over and over, put it on signs, emails and bumper stickers.
The bumper stickers are so liberals will understand it.
expand the 14th amendment to include Equal Application of ALL US LAW, no one can be exempted from any law, not even the Congress, the Supreme Court nor the President
There is no way for them to get away with it. The public has short attention span but this is not going away. When the taxpayers have to pay fir the non working voters and their bribees , the congress, and pay a lot, it won’t go away
It will not be accepted.
Every taker/legislator that doesn’t vote against this will be on record and can scream about Gingrich having shut down the govt and bush having been evil all he wants but he’ll be out. Ted Cruz is making it possible not from his own ideas but from the will of the people and the rule of law and the constitution.
The corruption just has to stop
This was a poison pill that the democrats intended to dump the whole time. This is what they did with the border fence. This is what they will do with the border security piece of immigration reform.
This didn't stop the dems from using the "it's a law" talking point on Friday. Evidently hypocrisy is a word they think only applies in the third person, never in the first person. The GOP should hook the defund legislation to the gutting of the original bill, not just the fact that the bill will crush a failing economy.
This morning on Fox, Graham was very supportive of the House and Ted Cruz.
He said Obamacare was a terrible bill. It will be used to defeat democrats in the upcoming 2014 election.
He, also, said that Rep King was not correct re only one al Queda US group was sending Islamofacists over seas to fight and to try and kill Americans here.
He was very blunt about both issues.
Best story of the Month ... Obamacare is ‘Cryptonite’
There was NO vote and there never will be that's the point. Obama did it for them. Now they can all claim they did not support it and keep the money.
It will go away. Obama got reelected. Discussion over.
They might think it will go away. they might think they fall under the BO parachute, but they don’t.
And they won’t.
If you think people will put up with triple premiums, no health insurance for their families, penalties for no insurance to pay for undocumented and non working people and the economy will hum along or improve, instead of come to a complete hale and people will still work to support congresspeople who forced this thing in when the Constitution says congress will pass no law that they don’t fall under, then no one will stop you. I just think this week might come out a whole lot differently than all the media thinks it will.
But I just think this week is g
You are dreaming. This country has reached a tipping point. The welfare state is fully-imbedded with the takers outnumbering and out voting the producers. And crony capitalism is in full bloom with government controlling over 40% of our GDP. The low information voter predominates. Defunding Obamacare is going nowhere. And repeal will not happen under Obama or Hillary who is almost certain to be the next President of the US. Demography is destiny.
The money will run out. Foreign countries will know the value of our printed currency
What about the Equal Protection clause?
The money has already run out. We are deep in debt and things are getting worse. However, the dollar remains the world reserve currency and that will not change anytime soon. The US economy, as bad as it is, is still the world’s safe harbor when it comes to investing and protecting their money and it is also the largest thus able to absorb huge investments. How long that will continue is anyone’s guess, but I suspect we will have both left this mortal coil long before it happens.
Blah blah. It’s like what people talk about at the bar after a golf game
The issue is not how we can live off of the reputation and economy our parents gave us but what is obamacare about to do to us
We cannot afford it and we cannot afford what it will do to our economy. Our children are supposed to fix it?
We’re not even educating them
End it, don't mend it. The problem is that once it is fully implemented, it will be virtually impossible to repeal it. Obama and Hillary will ensure that it is fully implemented. It will become like Medicare and Social Security and Medicaid and Food Stamps, i.e., permanent government programs that will never be abolished.
They/ we will NEVER get rid of it once it goes into effect.