Yes, I like your post, and you are probably spot on. IIRC, Bush slid to what 28% or 22%?
If he is closer to the 30% you mention, he is now reaching that dreaded Bush valley of approval that helped him loose the House and Senate in 2006...
I smell history not repeating, but potentially rhyming, 2014 could be a good year...
I agree.
Not only is he losing Independents.. but he is also suppressing his base.
Now you have to add in voter fraud..