NJ put up a conservative candidat (Lonegan)in a race against a Democrat rock star (Booker). The Tea Party was very active and the race was fairly close. Obama won by 18 points and Booker won by 9-10. I think Cucinelli has a real shot because Obamacare is imploding so bad the low information voters are starting to wake up to what we knew years ago. You may have a chance
I certainly have no written off any of these races. The polls went a bit south the past two weeks, but that was largely because of the shutdown (we have a large federal employee population).
With the shutdown ended, that should fade. Also, Terri has never been near 50%, it’s just that Ken has sometimes polled in the 30s, and there is a libertarian who polls at 12% even though I’ll be shocked if he ends up with 2%.
Ken has also been tied in the race. And even the Lt. Governor race has had some polls showing the race tied.
It will be interesting to see some of the endorsements over the next two weeks. Terri really isn’t a good candidate, and some liberal newspapers do not like to endorse idiots, even if they are of the same party.
The only hope for Cuccinelli is an ice storm along the I-95 & I-64 East corridor with excellent weather in the rest of the state.
Fortunately, the House of Delegates, the lower house of the oldest continuous law-making body in the Western Hemisphere will remain solidly Republican and will do their best to keep McAuliffe in check.