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Bettor's Verdict: GOP could lose the House
Marketwatch ^ | 10/18/13

Posted on 10/18/2013 10:40:32 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper

Next year’s midterm elections for Congress are now a tossup between the Republicans and the Democrats, according to the betting at the Iowa Electronic Markets — the only sportsbook in America allowed to bet on U.S. elections.

Nancy Pelosi’s chances of leading the Democrats to a House majority have more than doubled in less than a month to about 50% as a result of the government-shutdown fiasco, according to betting on the exchange.

And the Republicans, who appeared to have a lock on the elections just a few weeks ago, have seen their chances collapse at the same time.

Back in September, oddsmakers gave the Republicans a one-in-four chance of gaining seats, improving their overall control of the lower house. That’s now down to one-in-twenty. (The numbers sometimes don’t add up to 100% because of trading spreads.)

(Excerpt) Read more at marketwatch.com ...


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: 2014; 2014election; 2016election; election2014; election2016; fantasy; hype; nancypelosi; obamacare; partisanmediashill; partisanmediashills; teaparty; tedcruz; texas
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Just gleefully reported on Miami "news" radio.

Smells like dung.

1 posted on 10/18/2013 10:40:32 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: SoFloFreeper

Smells like what it is.


2 posted on 10/18/2013 10:42:28 AM PDT by MrChips (MrChips)
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To: SoFloFreeper

People like this are prisoners of the moment, and conventional wisdom. As Obama Care’s reality rolls out, and Cruz continues to be vindicated, the numbers will look foolish.


3 posted on 10/18/2013 10:43:21 AM PDT by C. Edmund Wright (Tokyo Rove is more than a name, it's a GREAT WEBSITE)
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To: SoFloFreeper

Wishful thinking, fantasy projection.


4 posted on 10/18/2013 10:43:32 AM PDT by Hostage (Be Breitbart!)
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To: SoFloFreeper

Glee and laughter will soon to be turn into lamenting and gnashing of teeth.


5 posted on 10/18/2013 10:43:48 AM PDT by American Constitutionalist
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To: SoFloFreeper

Bookies are BS


6 posted on 10/18/2013 10:44:42 AM PDT by bigbob (The best way to get a bad law repealed is to enforce it strictly. Abraham Lincoln)
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To: SoFloFreeper

Michael Barone and Charlie Cook both say that there are only ten seats up for grabs.


7 posted on 10/18/2013 10:45:03 AM PDT by Mikey_1962 (Obama: The Affirmative Action President.)
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To: SoFloFreeper

8 posted on 10/18/2013 10:45:24 AM PDT by hosepipe (This propaganda has been edited to include some fully orbed hyperbole..)
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To: SoFloFreeper

They’re gonna need more cowbell in order to do so!


9 posted on 10/18/2013 10:46:19 AM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (I’m not a Republican, I'm a Conservative! Pubbies haven't been conservative since before T.R.)
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To: SoFloFreeper

Conservative Republicans in the House & Senate should threaten to change parties now and teach the GOPe a lesson. Joe Lieberman made that threat and the dems started tip toeing around as to not upset the guy to leave them as a minority party in the Senate.

Also, if we lose when we primary Boehner & his ilk, continue to run against the RINOs as an independent. Worst case scenario, a real democrat will beat them. Better to have a real democrat holding a seat then a McCain-like candidate who tries to redefine conservatism.


10 posted on 10/18/2013 10:47:15 AM PDT by tsowellfan (www.cafenetamerica.com)
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To: SoFloFreeper

As I recall in 2010, Pelosi was saying up until the day before the election that the Dems would increase their hold on the House.


11 posted on 10/18/2013 10:48:07 AM PDT by circlecity
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To: SoFloFreeper

I guess they will lose it, just like after the last “shutdown”.


12 posted on 10/18/2013 10:48:11 AM PDT by VanDeKoik
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To: Mikey_1962

A month from now the attention deficit crowd will completely forget there was a shutdown. But we won’t.


13 posted on 10/18/2013 10:49:14 AM PDT by refermech
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To: SoFloFreeper

Folks are gonna be voting their wallets next Fall. They will have been enjoying their OCare benefits for 10 months by then, and will have a few things to say about it.


14 posted on 10/18/2013 10:49:25 AM PDT by lurk
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To: C. Edmund Wright
As Obama Care’s reality rolls out, and Cruz continues to be vindicated, the numbers will look foolish.

Don't be so damnedly commonsensical......

It's obviously time to panic and pass amnesty.

15 posted on 10/18/2013 10:52:12 AM PDT by Lakeshark (Mr Reid, tear down this law!)
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To: SoFloFreeper

Lonegan, a tea party guy, just came within 10 points of Booker in the senate race in Jersey. Romney, the moderate, lost by 20. This is all bs as far as the House goes. The Republicans even have a chance to take the senate though it doesn’t matter. Too many McCain republicans to do any good.


16 posted on 10/18/2013 10:52:56 AM PDT by jwalsh07
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To: Lakeshark

...u right...sorry.....never use common sense again!!!!


17 posted on 10/18/2013 10:53:19 AM PDT by C. Edmund Wright (Tokyo Rove is more than a name, it's a GREAT WEBSITE)
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To: SoFloFreeper

The GOP should dump Boehner now to restore confidence.

I just don’t see a huge republican turnout happening next year if the big prize is to have Boehner back at the helm caving to the dems for the next 2 years.


18 posted on 10/18/2013 10:54:08 AM PDT by BarnacleCenturion
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To: SoFloFreeper

Yeah, especially after the year of Obamacare failures leading up to the election.


19 posted on 10/18/2013 10:54:14 AM PDT by struggle
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To: Hostage

My question would be will conservatives vote for their current representative after they sold out on the shutdown and obamacare?

Personally I didn’t vote for my pork afflicted Republican liberal in 2012 and I can’t this time any more than I can vote for that traitor McConnell who is my senator.

It all depends on how conservatives vote in 2014. Right now we are pissed, if they pass amnesty Republican losses will be historical in 2014.


20 posted on 10/18/2013 10:55:55 AM PDT by sarge83
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