In the 2011 state senate elections, the GOP had 200,000 more votes for its candidates statewide than did the ‘Rats, even though the GOP had 11 uncontested district victories. The ‘Rat redistricting of the senate allowed them to achieve a 20-20 tie.
Here in northern Virginia, there are maybe 4 or 5 House of Delegates races (out of 35 or so seats in the region) that are competitive The lack of competitive races with local political operations is not going to help Terry McAwful.
In the House of Delegates races (100 total) there are 16 Dems running unopposed compared to 29 Reps running unopposed. The fact is that the Rep vote could be more depressed than the Dem vote given the number of Reps running unopposed. On a positive note, there is no way the Dems will gain control of the House of Delegates this year.