Skip to comments.Poll: Virginia governor race a nailbiter
Posted on 10/30/2013 7:47:21 AM PDT by Gopher Broke
With less than a week until Election Day, Virginia gubernatorial hopeful Terry McAuliffe holds a slim lead over Virginia Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli in a tightening race, according to a new poll on Wednesday.
McAuliffe leads Cuccinelli among likely voters 45 percent to 41 percent, with 9 percent for Libertarian candidate Robert Sarvis, according to a Quinnipiac University poll. The edge is within the polls margin of error.
The poll also found that if Sarvis were not in the race, likely voters would split for McAuliffe 47 percent to 45 percent, which Quinnipiac describes as too close to call.
Last week, Quinnipiac polling showed McAuliffe up 46 percent to 39 percent.
Four percent of likely voters are still undecided, and 7 percent of those who chose a candidate said they might change their mind.
Only 62 percent of voters who chose Sarvis said they would definitely vote for him, with 18 percent saying the were likely to change their minds.
McAuliffe leads by double digits among women and independents, with Cuccinelli holding a 6 point lead among men.
With Nov. 5 falling on an off-election year, experts say turnout will be key to who wins the election on Tuesday.
Quinnipiac surveyed 1,182 likely voters from Oct. 22 to 28 for the poll, which has an error margin of plus or minus 2.9 percentage points.
(Excerpt) Read more at politico.com ...
This will happen much more often, in other areas.
It just shows the Wenzel strategies polls was probably correct.
Good, but don’t get complacent. The Dems will do everything in their power to win. Just a reminder from an Obama Country (Cook County aka Crook County) FReeper who has seen a lot of shenanigans.
Are you suggesting a fellow with the spotless record of Terry McAuliffe would...cheat?
Damn right the fix is in.
Wenzel's 1-point margin, Zogby's 4.5-point difference, and now this. Today at noon, EDT, Rasmussen releases its numbers on this race. Prepare for some nasty buzzkill, as that poll has been all over the map.
I’ve not seen one McAuliffe volunteer in Central Virginia. I’ve knocked hundreds of doors in my area and Cuccinelli voters are nearly 10 to 1. There was one McAuliffe Sign and one Sarvis sign in all of my door knocking and even the people I talked to that are voting McAuliffe don’t like him where as some GOP are a little sour on the race the vast majority of GOP votes are positive votes. I just looked at the internals in this poll. Ken’s voters are much more enthusiastic with 53% strongly favoring him compared to McAuliffe with only 39% and Sarvis a weak 22%. That 14 is a 14 point enthusiasm gap between Cuccinelli and McAuliffe and if that remains till election day I think we win it but there is still work to be done. I’m going out again today and then tonight I’ve been invited to a meet and greet with Ken.
" Yup, it's in the back seat, Terry. The newest vote fraud meat grinder,
in tip-top shape. Oiled and ready to use on Cuccinelli. Complete with
easy, do-it-yourself instructions."
New, improved Dem Voter Fraud Meat Grinder
INSTRUCTIONS: Insert Republican here.
Ras hasn’t been very good lately. Polls aren’t going to stop us. This thing is ramping up and the Obamacare fail is putting wind in our sails.
I hear that Obama's going to campaign for the Democrat gubernatorial candidate in NJ, by appearing at a fundraiser for Christie.
The winner will be whomever gets his voters to the voting booth
Al Franken forces better get their Buick with the trunk full of pre-completed ballots on the road.
Pray for us all.
Sarvis seems to be drawing pretty evenly between the two candidates; note the 47-45 without him, vs 45-41 with him. Not a lot of difference there.
The key is which candidate can peel off their voters from sarvis, while sarvis still draws from the other candidate.
This poll is a little bit of welcome news, compared to other polls.
On the other hand, all the polls are pretty consistent — McCauliffe never gets above the 45% number, even though he gets most of his democrat party support. Ken’s numbers bump around wildly in the polls, which shows his problem, but also shows that a lot of the “undecideds” are likely to vote for him.
That is one way to interpret the two polls in this article. Each shows McCauliffe at around 45%. The one has 14% undecided with Ken at 31%. The other has 5% undecided with Ken at 41%. If you think of the 2nd poll as “pushing” the undecideds to make a choice, virtually ALL of them chose Ken.
If they push the Sarvis voters, they split evenly. Because Sarvis is pro-abortion and pro-gay-marriage, he does draw the votes of the younger voters who don’t like McCauliffe because of the “occupy” effect (Terri is seen as part of the evil 1% ruling class corporate types, actually moreso than Ken).
So if the republicans will come home to roost (and if they don’t I put the blame on our current Governor and Lt. Governor who aren’t doing anything to help), I think Sarvis actually helps a bit.
He’s scared enough he made a deal to get Obama in to try to assauge the black voters who still hate McCauliffe for how he trashed Obama in 2008 trying to get Hillary elected.
Also, the race had been close before the shutdown. During the shutdown Ken’s numbers went down, due to the backlash (we have a large federal workforce). With the shutdown ended, that anger is easing, especially now that all the feds got essentially paid vacation time.
Praying and donating from TX.
I really think that the daily train wreck called Obamacare is becoming a big factor in this race. Its adding to Jim’s momentum.
Ken’s momentum, not Jim.