Skip to comments.Poll: Virginia governor race a nailbiter
Posted on 10/30/2013 7:47:21 AM PDT by Gopher Broke
With less than a week until Election Day, Virginia gubernatorial hopeful Terry McAuliffe holds a slim lead over Virginia Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli in a tightening race, according to a new poll on Wednesday.
McAuliffe leads Cuccinelli among likely voters 45 percent to 41 percent, with 9 percent for Libertarian candidate Robert Sarvis, according to a Quinnipiac University poll. The edge is within the polls margin of error.
The poll also found that if Sarvis were not in the race, likely voters would split for McAuliffe 47 percent to 45 percent, which Quinnipiac describes as too close to call.
Last week, Quinnipiac polling showed McAuliffe up 46 percent to 39 percent.
Four percent of likely voters are still undecided, and 7 percent of those who chose a candidate said they might change their mind.
Only 62 percent of voters who chose Sarvis said they would definitely vote for him, with 18 percent saying the were likely to change their minds.
McAuliffe leads by double digits among women and independents, with Cuccinelli holding a 6 point lead among men.
With Nov. 5 falling on an off-election year, experts say turnout will be key to who wins the election on Tuesday.
Quinnipiac surveyed 1,182 likely voters from Oct. 22 to 28 for the poll, which has an error margin of plus or minus 2.9 percentage points.
(Excerpt) Read more at politico.com ...
The fix and fraudulent ballots are in. We’re a banana republic now. All elections are fixed by the regime.
How big of a Losertarian idiot do you have to be to stay in a race that will hand the governorship to a jerk like McAuliffe? I haven’t seen this level of arrogant stupidity since Todd Akin.
Wasn’t the Obama-Romney race too close to call as the election drew near?
Praying Cuccinelli can win this, in spite of the evil doer's meddling.
That is always the real question these days on close elections....can we overcome the 5% that is Democrat voter fraud.
Excellent news and if Cuccinelli keeps the momentum he’ll likely win. McAuliff is scared. What does the GOP GOTV effort look like?
TEA PARTY SURGE!!!!!!! Yessssss.
Yep, all they have to do is keep it close and they can steal it, like they always do these days.
Fannie Mae is located in Wash, DC.....and both are very troubling quasi govt agencies subsidized and bailed out by taxpayers.
<><> A recent Inspector General's report claims Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are masking billions of dollars in losses.
<><>Fannie/Freddie are centerpieces of the criminal enterprise called the Democrat Party-appointed Dem cronies and collaborators loot the organization, get cushy jobs, bonuses, etc. Fannie Maes political machine dispenses campaign contributions, jobs to friends and relatives of legislators, hires armies of lobbyists (even paying lobbyists not to lobby against it), pays academics who wrote papers validating the sub-prime home ownership mania, and spreads charitable contributions to housing advocates across the congressional map.
In sum, Fannie Mae serves as an industrial-sized patronage factory sharing profits with political allies, spreading taxpayer funds to voting blocslike ethnic groups-and doling out jobs to left-wing academics, Washington has-beens and back-scratching cronies.
Franklin Raines, Clinton appointee to Fannie Mae.
THIS IS AN OFFSHORE WIRE TRANSFER ALERT--POLS READY TO CASH-IN BIGTIME: Obama, himself, says its time to turn the page on Fannie and Freddie
MarketWatch | 7/24/13 | FR Posted by illiac
Obama's July speech on the US economy spelled out the beginning of the end for federally-controlled mortgage buyers Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Well work with both parties to turn the page on Fannie and Freddie, and build a housing finance system thats rock-solid for future generations, Obama said, according to a copy of his prepared remarks.
The House Financial Services Committee approved a bill in July that would get rid of the firms in five years, to be replaced by a National Mortgage Market Utility to help "securitize" mortgages. (Excerpt) more at blogs.marketwatch.com
NOTE WELL WHAT OBAMA "FORGOT" TO MENTION Page A15 WSJ report entitled Treasurys Fannie Mae Heist.
WSJ excerpt: The Federal government is seizing the substantial profits of the government-chartered mortgage firms, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, taking for itself the property and potential gains of private investors the government induced to help prop up these companies. This conduct is intolerable. A scathing article follows--a must read.
A HOLDER F/M COVER-UP? for massive sub-prime mtge fraud perpetrated by (1) the Congressional Hispanic Caucus (as vote-crazed Obama/Dems suck-up for latino votes), AND (2) ACORN.
Internal polling must’ve told the rats this several days ago. Hence the visit by ‘the won’ to shore up Mc.
Sarvis needs to throw his support to Cuccinelli. That’s where victory lies. He’s in the catbird seat to pull solid libertarian concessions out of not just Cuccinelli, but the GOP in general. Sarvis would be great in several posts in VA. Let him be a tiger on local regs blocking growth and jobs in VA.
Duh winnah will be de brave and Diebold.
This poll reflects the tightening that I’ve been seeing on the ground here in VA the past two weeks. McAuliffe has made a critical mistake by getting Bloomberg, Clinton, and now Obama Biden into the race. The Obamacare mess is really showing up when I’m door knocking. Yesterday for example in one case a guy who hadn’t been following the race closely said that he was voting Cuccinelli because his health plan had been cancelled and the new one had doubled his premium. Another lady said that she had been undecided until she saw a news report that Obama was coming to campaign for McAuliffe. We can win this thing even with the fake libertarian stoner in the race.
Certainly we can. This is not a Presidential year not a congressional year. We can win this.
With early (and often) voting already in, I am not optimistic about Cuccinelli winning as he would in a completely fair election.
“The fix and fraudulent ballots are in. Were a banana republic now. All elections are fixed by the regime.”
Maybe so, but if this jerk Sarvis were not in the mix, vote fraud would likely be impossible. Robert Sarvis is this year’s Todd Akin. He’s today’s “slinky.” He is really worthless, but it “fun” for some to “push him down the stairs.” America is getting the government it “deserves.”
The winner will be whomever gets his voters to the voting booth
Thanks for the work you are doing!
Its very good. We have a growing army of volunteers. I’ve been out nearly every day the last two weeks. Ken has really started hitting Obamacare hard and tying McAuliffe to it and Rand Paul coming to campaign for him has given him a boost. McAuliffe is also managing to do what he does so well which is get overconfident as he did in the 2009 primary race which he lost in the last two weeks of that race. The first mistake was bring Mayor Bloomberg into the race. The second mistake was bringing Bill Clinton into the race and then having Clinton go on and on about how Terry loves Obamacare. The third and I believe fatal mistake is bring Obama, Biden, and Michelle Obama into the race.
Regardless we need everyone who can to get their head in this game and help win Virginia. It is our chance to rebuke Obama and deal not just a blow against Obama but also the Clintons.
This will happen much more often, in other areas.
It just shows the Wenzel strategies polls was probably correct.
Good, but don’t get complacent. The Dems will do everything in their power to win. Just a reminder from an Obama Country (Cook County aka Crook County) FReeper who has seen a lot of shenanigans.
Are you suggesting a fellow with the spotless record of Terry McAuliffe would...cheat?
Damn right the fix is in.
Wenzel's 1-point margin, Zogby's 4.5-point difference, and now this. Today at noon, EDT, Rasmussen releases its numbers on this race. Prepare for some nasty buzzkill, as that poll has been all over the map.
I’ve not seen one McAuliffe volunteer in Central Virginia. I’ve knocked hundreds of doors in my area and Cuccinelli voters are nearly 10 to 1. There was one McAuliffe Sign and one Sarvis sign in all of my door knocking and even the people I talked to that are voting McAuliffe don’t like him where as some GOP are a little sour on the race the vast majority of GOP votes are positive votes. I just looked at the internals in this poll. Ken’s voters are much more enthusiastic with 53% strongly favoring him compared to McAuliffe with only 39% and Sarvis a weak 22%. That 14 is a 14 point enthusiasm gap between Cuccinelli and McAuliffe and if that remains till election day I think we win it but there is still work to be done. I’m going out again today and then tonight I’ve been invited to a meet and greet with Ken.
" Yup, it's in the back seat, Terry. The newest vote fraud meat grinder,
in tip-top shape. Oiled and ready to use on Cuccinelli. Complete with
easy, do-it-yourself instructions."
New, improved Dem Voter Fraud Meat Grinder
INSTRUCTIONS: Insert Republican here.
Ras hasn’t been very good lately. Polls aren’t going to stop us. This thing is ramping up and the Obamacare fail is putting wind in our sails.
I hear that Obama's going to campaign for the Democrat gubernatorial candidate in NJ, by appearing at a fundraiser for Christie.
The winner will be whomever gets his voters to the voting booth
Al Franken forces better get their Buick with the trunk full of pre-completed ballots on the road.
Pray for us all.
Sarvis seems to be drawing pretty evenly between the two candidates; note the 47-45 without him, vs 45-41 with him. Not a lot of difference there.
The key is which candidate can peel off their voters from sarvis, while sarvis still draws from the other candidate.
This poll is a little bit of welcome news, compared to other polls.
On the other hand, all the polls are pretty consistent — McCauliffe never gets above the 45% number, even though he gets most of his democrat party support. Ken’s numbers bump around wildly in the polls, which shows his problem, but also shows that a lot of the “undecideds” are likely to vote for him.
That is one way to interpret the two polls in this article. Each shows McCauliffe at around 45%. The one has 14% undecided with Ken at 31%. The other has 5% undecided with Ken at 41%. If you think of the 2nd poll as “pushing” the undecideds to make a choice, virtually ALL of them chose Ken.
If they push the Sarvis voters, they split evenly. Because Sarvis is pro-abortion and pro-gay-marriage, he does draw the votes of the younger voters who don’t like McCauliffe because of the “occupy” effect (Terri is seen as part of the evil 1% ruling class corporate types, actually moreso than Ken).
So if the republicans will come home to roost (and if they don’t I put the blame on our current Governor and Lt. Governor who aren’t doing anything to help), I think Sarvis actually helps a bit.
He’s scared enough he made a deal to get Obama in to try to assauge the black voters who still hate McCauliffe for how he trashed Obama in 2008 trying to get Hillary elected.
Also, the race had been close before the shutdown. During the shutdown Ken’s numbers went down, due to the backlash (we have a large federal workforce). With the shutdown ended, that anger is easing, especially now that all the feds got essentially paid vacation time.
Praying and donating from TX.
I really think that the daily train wreck called Obamacare is becoming a big factor in this race. Its adding to Jim’s momentum.
Ken’s momentum, not Jim.
There’s no way a Libertarian candidate gets 9% of the vote. The last time there was a Libertarian candidate for governor, that candidate got less than 1% of the vote.
Prayers from Texas.
If Virginia elects this thug, they DESERVE to suffer the consequences. If they cannot see what Obama has done to the nation, then what this puke does to the state is a self inflicted wound. So, shut up and suffer your consequences of your stupid vote. They will regret this.
seven days out from an election and you are tanking in the polls.........doesn’t bode well for Mcawful!!! Have a sneaky feeling his prier poll numbers were BS!!!!
Oh, we know. McAss contaminated Austin for 10 years. Sorry to see he’s chosen your fine state to setup Satan’s new ring for him.
What sweet poetic justice: McCauliffe was betting on the Government shut-down hurting KC. Now, the Obama Care debacle with all the lies and cancelled health plans has been timed perfectly to hurt TM. Couldn’t happen to a better jerk.