“Well then, I think Id leave a nation-state with both alone, wouldnt you? “
We are at a bizarre moment in history where nuclear weapons don’t matter until they do. For sixty-some odd years the United States has guaranteed global peace by threatening annihilation to any nation that used the weapons we’d have to use to annihilate them. This was never a spoken threat, but implied. Under our present president, I’d say the only nation on Earth this threat still applies to is Israel.
Seriously, if Israel used nuclear weapons it would become the most isolated chunk of land on the planet. Once used the world’s calculus will change in unexpected and unpredictable ways. As one Israeli official publically proclaimed, “Israel will not be the first to use nuclear weapons.” Then, sotto voce he added, “we won’t be the second, either.”
Israel is unlikely to use nuclear weapons unless they state is facing immanent destruction. There will be a whole lot of deaths and maybe lost wars before that happens.
Much of this would hinge on Israel's perception of any Iranian threat yes? If they believe Iran is about to do something real foolhardy they may throw the kitchen sink at them without anyone firing a single shot.