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Ken Cuccinelli fights off stench of doom
Politico ^ | 11/3/13 | JAMES HOHMANN

Posted on 11/03/2013 8:09:42 PM PST by Kenny

SPOTSYLVANIA, Va.—In politics, it is generally not a good omen when a candidate’s supporters argue that he still has a chance of victory — if the opponent’s supporters neglect to vote.

But this was Virginia Republican Chairman Pat Mullins’s version of the power of positive thinking in an interview this weekend. The path for star-crossed GOP gubernatorial candidate Ken Cuccinelli, Mullins said, looks like this: “If turnout is in the 30s, the low 30s, we’re gonna win. If it gets higher up in Fairfax [in Democratic-leaning Northern Virginia], say like 40, it’s likely we won’t. I don’t think it’s going to hit 40 anywhere. I’m looking at 32.”

This valiant effort at optimism is the kind of thing a campaign does in the closing hours when it becomes enveloped with an unmistakable stench of impending doom.

Almost anyone who has been around politics for long in either party knows the feeling. The heart demands a cheerful, resilient sprint to the finish. The brain, which has internalized the polls and analyzed the crowds, knows there is virtually no rational reason for cheer.

Listen to the talking points from the Cuccinelli campaign and its surrogates, and watch their decisions over time and money, and all the signatures of a classic political death march are on bright display.

*The only poll that counts is the one on Election Day. True.

*This election belongs to the people, not the pollsters and pundits. True.

*Politics, like the rest of life, is full of surprises. Supremely true.

But the reality — as the political veterans voicing these talking points know better than anyone — is that surprises like the one Cuccinelli needs are rare indeed. The last top-flight poll that had him ahead came out six months ago, although three outliers in the last week showed the race within the margin of error.

And the same depressing polls Cuccinelli publicly dismisses have driven the candidate’s decisions. His strategy for the past couple weeks has been the equivalent of hospice care for a very sick patient. Real efforts at getting well — such as trying to persuade swing voters in the vote-rich Northern Virginia suburbs— have been all but abandoned. The alternative is palliative care, trying to ease the pain and wait for a miracle by focusing the candidate’s time and message on stimulating turnout among the conservative base that is already with him.

“We don’t need to convince one more Virginian, not one,” Cuccinelli told 150 supporters at a weekend rally here. “We just have got to get the ones who already agree with us about ‘first principles’ to the polls on Tuesday. That’s all we’ve got to do to win.”

This mentality is why he’s wrapping up Monday night with Ron Paul, the former Texas congressman who ran three quixotic bids for president, at a rally in Richmond.

As campaigns always do in these circumstances, they grasp desperately to those polls which show the race tightening – even if one of them was conducted by a club of college students in Massachusetts.

And Cuccinelli’s surrogates have added the local twist that Virginia conservatives have treasured for decades: don’t let the liberal Washington Post try to tell us what to do.

“He can be a great governor, but to win we’ve got to defy the odds,” said Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, who flew in for two rallies Saturday. “If you listen to the Washington Post, they want you to just sit down and give it up.”

Walker then assured the crowd that the race is tightening.

“The reason it’s getting close is because the voters are looking beyond … what the Washington Post and what the Washington elites say about this state and about this country,” he said.

The candidate himself has tried to keep the mood light with self-deprecating humor. Democrat Terry McAuliffe and his allied outside groups crushed Cuccinelli and his backers by a factor of 25-to-1 in the air war last week.

“If you own a television, you know that,” Cuccinelli joked to supporters. “If you don’t, my opponent will buy you one if you’ll vote for him.”

“I shaved my horns just for you all,” he deadpanned at another stop later.

While Cuccinelli tries to keep his campaign on life support, many people who were never enthusiastic about nominating a zealous social conservative in an increasingly moderate state have been working for weeks on their unflattering obituaries.


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: cuccinelli; va2013
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I know it's Politico but sadly there's some truth to it. We keep telling ourselves the country can't be that far gone, that they won't elect another no-experience in-your-face liberal but then they do. ;-(
1 posted on 11/03/2013 8:09:42 PM PST by Kenny
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To: Kenny

I have my own doubts about Ken. others have said he is a worthy conservative, so I will go with that. If I lived there I’d go ahead and vote for him despite my own personal doubts.

But I do want to say this.

If Virginia actually elects his sleazeball just disgusting little piece of human debris McCa$$h*le or whatever his name is, I’d move out of Virginia immediately, because that is absolute proof the state is beyond any hope whatsoever.


2 posted on 11/03/2013 8:15:30 PM PST by chris37 (Heartless.)
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To: Kenny

It is fairly ridiculous to dismiss the strong polling surge in last week for Cucinelli.

Politico says “outlier” but it is multiple polls and it seems that there are no double digit leads to be found anywhere.

The rather obvious but avoided reality is:

1. ObamaCare is stinking to high heaven
2. McAuwful is attached ferociously to Obamacare.
3. Cucinelli was one of the first major hardcare opponents of the law

The Obamacare death spiral is pulling the democrats down in Virginia.

That terrible sinking feeling when you realize as a Virginia voter that McAwful is probably lying like President Obama did just to be elected.

That kills turnout for Dems and lights a fire under the conservatives.

Politico is the one getting desperate. It is looking bad for them.


3 posted on 11/03/2013 8:17:12 PM PST by lonestar67 (I remember when unemployment was 4.7 percent)
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To: Kenny

cue the purity testers who will claim that cuccinelli is a rino . . . not conservative enough . . . it’s rinos like him that get jagoffs like mcauliffe elected, & etc., etc.

they will spend a great deal of time and effort attacking cuccinelli, when it’s people like mcauliffe that are the enemy


4 posted on 11/03/2013 8:18:28 PM PST by JohnBrowdie (http://forum.stink-eye.net)
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To: Kenny

There’s no stench like that of a liberal bathwater-drinking reporter.


5 posted on 11/03/2013 8:18:32 PM PST by CreviceTool (A Good Samaritan with a handgun saved my life...)
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To: Kenny

Still planning on camping out next to the elementary school to be the first to vote! I’ve never been more excited to vote, and this is a direct result of the cancellation letter from Blue Cross. I can’t be the only one.


6 posted on 11/03/2013 8:20:17 PM PST by ToastedHead
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To: Kenny
Democrat Terry McAuliffe and his allied outside groups crushed Cuccinelli and his backers by a factor of 25-to-1 in the air war last week.
It has more to do with money and exposure than ideology.

The Democrats and the GOPe have developed financial backers through years of networking and inside-the-beltway favor trading. Honest conservatives always start out deep in the hole. Only a few manage to overcome such handicaps.

It appears Mr. Cuccinelli will not be one of them. We'll see.

7 posted on 11/03/2013 8:22:57 PM PST by Bratch
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To: chris37
If Virginia actually elects his sleazeball just disgusting little piece of human debris McCa$$h*le or whatever his name is, I’d move out of Virginia immediately, because that is absolute proof the state is beyond any hope whatsoever.

You're absolutely right. The excuses that McAuliffe outspent Cuccinelli or lied aren't good enough. These are adults playing with America's future, picking a candidate like it's Dancing With the Stars.

8 posted on 11/03/2013 8:23:44 PM PST by Kenny (<p>o)
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To: Kenny

During all 5 church services this weekend my pastor told thousands of Cuccinelli voters that it’s their civic and biblical duty to go vote for the candidates that most line up with God’s values. I hope they all listen to him and crawl across glass to the polls.


9 posted on 11/03/2013 8:27:57 PM PST by HokieMom (Pacepa : Can the U.S. afford a president who can't recognize anti-Americanism?)
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To: ToastedHead

Good for you, camp out and cast your vote. I didn’t post this to tell everyone to give up, just a heads-up on the enemy’s position. I hope all Cuccinelli’s supporters fight like hell. That’s the stuff upsets are made of.


10 posted on 11/03/2013 8:28:45 PM PST by Kenny (<p>o)
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To: Kenny

Pray for rain. What’s the weather forecast?


11 posted on 11/03/2013 8:31:37 PM PST by batterycommander (a little more rubble, a lot less trouble)
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To: Kenny

that a little melodramatic, even for politico.


12 posted on 11/03/2013 8:31:52 PM PST by JohnBrowdie (http://forum.stink-eye.net)
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To: Kenny

Wow, who wrote this Mcauliffe himself?
Must have been John McCains writer too.

come on Virginia wake up and get out those votes,
don’t let doom and gloomers make you give up til
it’s over.

We all know it’s a long shot, that we are up against
the full force of the machine but they believe their
own propaganda and can be destroyed by the first big
loss. This one could be it, we are seeing a definite
turning on this administration, there IS blood in the
water and when it all starts to unravel it’s time to
feed the sharks.
If ken can take this, it will send a schock through
the rest of the congressional races coming up.
Don’t give up. I want to see those headlines
Democrats in chaos, party divided, lame duck limps on.
President on medication, Sebelious on vacation.
Biden caught in bed with Nanzi Pelosi and a goat.
Things are barely held together in the lashup that
is this administration and when it comes untied
it will be like an avalanche. WATcH for it!


13 posted on 11/03/2013 8:32:54 PM PST by tet68 ( " We would not die in that man's company, that fears his fellowship to die with us...." Henry V.)
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To: Kenny
I don’t think it’s going to hit 40 anywhere. I’m looking at 32.

I'll bet 32 degrees will very likely keep those Southern RATs indoors and away from the polls.

14 posted on 11/03/2013 8:35:04 PM PST by ROCKLOBSTER ("The government" is nothing but a RAT jobs program)
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To: Bratch

factor of 25-to-1 in the air war last week

There is also a negative factor that comes from
the continual drumbeat of ham handed political ads.
People get sick of them and the guy running the
most of them is who they get sick at.

Oh Divine providence, please heal our nation and
preserve us from further “democrat” victorys.

Go Ken, alll the way! Collapse on the OTHER side of
the finish line, right now you have a job to do.
Freepers got your back. Tea power up!


15 posted on 11/03/2013 8:40:33 PM PST by tet68 ( " We would not die in that man's company, that fears his fellowship to die with us...." Henry V.)
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To: tet68

“factor of 25-to-1 in the air war last week”

They aired a great anti McColl-0ff (tired of trying to spell his stupid name) ad today in Richmond during Meet the Press. Said the election should be a referendum on Obamacare. Normally I would never, ever have that on my tv, but I wanted to see the ads.


16 posted on 11/03/2013 8:46:19 PM PST by ToastedHead
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To: CreviceTool
I don't really want to know what politico or any leftist rag pushes....KC has a good chance....some people focus on the negative and before an election it only means that its a tactic to disuade voters from going to actually vote...

we're a conservative site....do we really need these leftist political opinions posted here?....seriously...

17 posted on 11/03/2013 8:46:29 PM PST by cherry (.in the time of universal deceit, telling the truth is revolutionary.....)
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To: Bratch

The money has been amazing. It Ken was hurt by a double-whammy there. First, McDonnell was entirely shut down, because of his own ethical problems. A popular governor campaigning for a logical successor would have put this away, plus he could have raised millions.

Second, Bill Bolling turned traitor because he felt he was deprived of his rightful place. Now, I do think if Bolling had won the nomination, he’d have won easily, and also would have been a decent governor, and probably sufficiently conservative at least since we’d still have house, and the real damage was already done with the transportation bill.

But he couldn’t talk people into showing up at a convention, and instead of working harder, he just quit, then bad-mouthed Ken, and made sure the establishment republicans didn’t give Ken money. The only good thing is that BOlling didn’t actually endorse Terri (although he said some nice things about him, which is absurd because even if you hate Ken, Terri is a sleezeball).

Then throw in that the entire national democratic party needs a victory somewhere, and the Clintons need virginia, and you had a perfect storm where the republicans were split, and the democrats united behind a lousy candidate.

Ken didn’t have the money to counter the lies, and the media for the most part were happy to spread the lies, some going as far as endorsing Terri even though Terri is a known snake-oil salesman who has never shown the ability to run anything except sleezy political campaigns.


18 posted on 11/03/2013 8:48:56 PM PST by CharlesWayneCT
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To: ROCKLOBSTER

They overreact to weather down here like you can’t imagine. If it’s gonna be 32 degrees, they might cancel school.


19 posted on 11/03/2013 8:49:43 PM PST by ToastedHead
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To: HokieMom

we’re praying for you guys....some of us have sent money...good luck...and May God be with you and all of us.....


20 posted on 11/03/2013 8:50:16 PM PST by cherry (.in the time of universal deceit, telling the truth is revolutionary.....)
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To: ToastedHead

I think we have a very decent chance. Today’s Richmond Times Dispatch does not even mention the election on the cover. I would think they’d be reminding their target audience to vote this Tuesday.


21 posted on 11/03/2013 8:53:10 PM PST by ToastedHead
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To: ToastedHead

Actually I was being a smart@$$, but it is going to be in the 20s tonight.

I built a fire in the wood cookstove....hmmmm. Think I’ll make some popcorn.


22 posted on 11/03/2013 8:54:26 PM PST by ROCKLOBSTER ("The government" is nothing but a RAT jobs program)
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To: ToastedHead

(To be technically correct, they have a story about “whats at stake in an election” but it’s made to look like just a vague filler story.)


23 posted on 11/03/2013 8:56:14 PM PST by ToastedHead
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To: ROCKLOBSTER

I love the cold and have all the windows open. The poor kids are shivering in their sleep, but I like to think it makes them tough.


24 posted on 11/03/2013 8:58:45 PM PST by ToastedHead
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To: ToastedHead

I admire your passion and hope you inspire others to vote


25 posted on 11/03/2013 9:03:45 PM PST by Mount Athos (A Giant luxury mega-mansion for Gore, a Government Green EcoShack made of poo for you)
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To: Kenny
I'm hard pressed to think of a sleazier candidate then McAuliffe. And this is coming from someone who has Cuomo as Governor.
26 posted on 11/03/2013 9:04:18 PM PST by CaptainK (...please make it stop. Shake a can of pennies at it.)
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To: JohnBrowdie

Knock it off, quit making sense!


27 posted on 11/03/2013 9:06:27 PM PST by bigfootbob
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To: Mount Athos

Doing my best as a passive aggressive healthcare practitioner. My job, as I see it, is to spread my beliefs in such a way as to have the intended victim not suspect my true motives.


28 posted on 11/03/2013 9:08:56 PM PST by ToastedHead
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To: ToastedHead
The poor kids are shivering in their sleep, but I like to think it makes them tough.

Yeah, I sleep in an unheated bedroom, (with flannel sheets) Now eating aformentioned popcorn.

29 posted on 11/03/2013 9:18:01 PM PST by ROCKLOBSTER ("The government" is nothing but a RAT jobs program)
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To: ROCKLOBSTER

Air popped popcorn is a dietary free food, and may be used freely while reading the internet. The only problem is getting the fingers dirty while trying to manipulate the mouser.


30 posted on 11/03/2013 9:24:22 PM PST by ToastedHead
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To: ROCKLOBSTER

What southern rats? That’s a bunch of transplant rats from the north.


31 posted on 11/03/2013 9:49:00 PM PST by HANG THE EXPENSE (Life's tough.It's tougher when you're stupid.)
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To: chris37

In the late 1990s, some of McAuliffe’s business ventures came under investigation by the U.S. Department of Labor, which filed suit against two labor-union officials, both of them with the International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers pension fund, for entering into questionable business arrangements with McAuliffe.

Both officials later agreed to pay hundreds of thousands of dollars in penalties for their actions, and the union itself had to reimburse its pension fund by nearly $5 million.

In one deal, McAuliffe and the fund officials created a partnership to buy a large block of commercial real estate in Florida. McAuliffe put up $100 for the purchase, while the pension fund put up $39 million. Yet McAuliffe got a 50-percent interest in the deal; he eventually walked away with $2.45 million from his original $100 investment. In another instance, the pension fund loaned McAuliffe more than $6 million for a real-estate development, only to find that McAuliffe was unable to make payments for nearly five years.

In the end, the pension fund lost some of its money, McAuliffe moved on to his next deal, and fund officials found themselves facing the Labor Department’s questions.

...and libertarians are willing to put him in office by siphoning votes from Cuccinelli


32 posted on 11/03/2013 10:36:01 PM PST by Baynative (I meant to write a different story in my diary. But that's life, I guess.)
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To: chris37

Ken Cuccinelli is DOOMED. The e;lection will be rigged—he will lose in any case—they called him a Libertarian! and thats a game changer. He could own slaves or be a Pimp with a large house of ill repute and get more votes than a Liberatian! The sleezy Democrat will win and win big! This is a bell weather vote—this means the Dems will hold the Senate and take back the house in 2014—and Hillary will be president in 2016—Who will the GOP run? McCain again? Maybe another RINO? The election is rigged.


33 posted on 11/04/2013 12:08:09 AM PST by Forward the Light Brigade (Into the Jaws of H*ll)
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To: lonestar67

Cuccinelli has been closing in the polls on McCauliffe, who has money to burn and has trotted out the Clintons and today Obama, which shows desperation. I’m hopeful. If McCauliffe wins then Virginia loses.


34 posted on 11/04/2013 12:34:24 AM PST by Rummyfan (Iraq: it's not about Iraq anymore, it's about the USA!)
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To: chris37

My wife and I have said, if Virginia is so degraded and decrepit as to elect Terry McAuliffe, the message from the electorate is that it wants to live in a corrupt, liberal hellhole like the states north of here, and we’re not having it. If we wanted to live in Maryland, we would’ve moved there.

Tuesday’s election will tell us whether Maryland moved here. Be that the case, we’ll be out of here at earliest opportunity.


35 posted on 11/04/2013 1:34:27 AM PST by ScottinVA (Obama is so far in over his head, even his ears are beneath the water level.)
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To: ToastedHead
If it’s gonna be 32 degrees, they might cancel school.

Wimps!

Hope it happens!

36 posted on 11/04/2013 1:44:53 AM PST by cynwoody
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To: Kenny

The Punk will be VERY bad for Virginia....they will get what they deserve.


37 posted on 11/04/2013 1:53:02 AM PST by Ann Archy (Abortion......the Human Sacrifice to the god of Convenience.)
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To: Forward the Light Brigade
Ken Cuccinelli is DOOMED. The e;lection will be rigged—he will lose in any case—they called him a Libertarian! and thats a game changer.

I thought the problem was that there is indeed a certified Losertarian on the ballot. A twerp by the name of Sarvis. Who turns out to be no libertarian at all, but just a slightly less obviously corrupt version of McAuliffe. The idea is, clueless (low-information) independents who see commercials about Kuccinelli wanting to ban sodomy are supposed to vote Libertarian on principle, thus giving the race to McAuliffe.

Not going to happen.

38 posted on 11/04/2013 1:53:54 AM PST by cynwoody
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To: chris37
I have my own doubts about Ken.

Your doubts, valid or invalid, are of zero utility.

39 posted on 11/04/2013 1:54:46 AM PST by cynwoody
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To: cherry

Thank you!


40 posted on 11/04/2013 3:58:31 AM PST by HokieMom (Pacepa : Can the U.S. afford a president who can't recognize anti-Americanism?)
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To: batterycommander
Pray for rain. What’s the weather forecast?

10% Chance of rain on Election day all over VA; that's all.
41 posted on 11/04/2013 4:41:34 AM PST by Din Maker
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To: cynwoody

Really?

Well, I’m not the only one who has them, and it seems to me that some who live in Virgina have them, and they are probably going to affect his run so...

Maybe he should have addressed them.

Time will tell.

I will say this, it’s very apparent that people have had it with the backstabbing, lying GOP that pretends it is something that it is not, and if people suspect that a candidate is of this nature, there are going to be problems for that candidate.

Thanks for your opinion though, I’ll be sure to keep it in mind not.


42 posted on 11/04/2013 5:52:14 AM PST by chris37 (Heartless.)
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To: Forward the Light Brigade

I don’t know if he’ll win or lose or what, but I will say that, from my own point of view, if a candidate does not stand with Ted Cruz and Mike Lee, then I do not stand with that candidate.

That being said, if I lived there, I’d vote for Ken tomorrow, but not because I am dying for him to win, I am dying for Mccauliffe to lose.

I’m done with the GOPe, they are my enemy. if I suspect someone is of the GOPe, that’s huge problem.

It’s insurmountable really.

As far as those other things you mentioned, yes, all of that could happen and likely will happen.


43 posted on 11/04/2013 5:58:57 AM PST by chris37 (Heartless.)
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To: Baynative

There are some very stupid people in this country and on this earth, and there are a great, great many of them.


44 posted on 11/04/2013 6:01:02 AM PST by chris37 (Heartless.)
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To: Kenny

It will all come down to turnout, and how the pro-libertarian people will vote. If the libertarian candidate gets a lot of votes, then Cuccinelli will lose the plurality. If the people who polled for the libertarian candidate decide to vote for Cuccinelli rather than let a Democrat win, then Cuccinelli wins.


45 posted on 11/04/2013 6:05:58 AM PST by PapaBear3625 (You don't notice it's a police state until the police come for you.)
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To: chris37

I suspect McAuliffe is a shoo-in. The demonization of Cuccinelli has an effect on the low-info voters. My wife plans to vote for the Liberaltarian.

McAuliffe wins: He has a solid mandate for Obamacare and his common sense gun control message. People have had enough of the awful bad dangerous Tea Party.
Cuccinelli wins: Voters turned away at polls by Republican voter suppression. Negative campaigning and a weak Democrat opponent. No mandate for you, Ken.


46 posted on 11/04/2013 6:12:41 AM PST by AppyPappy (Obama: What did I not know and when did I not know it?)
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To: HANG THE EXPENSE
What southern rats?

Are you telling me there are a lot of black Republicans down there?

47 posted on 11/04/2013 6:18:11 AM PST by ROCKLOBSTER ("The government" is nothing but a RAT jobs program)
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To: AppyPappy

That definitely sounds like the script that will be used on either outcome.

Sadly, people can’t see things clearly anymore, not even me.

Am I 100.00% sure that Ken is on our side as conservatives? No, I’m not.

The GOP has created very serious problems for itself with its disloyalty to its base, and I suspect the result of those serious problems is that many GOP candidates will lose and be swept from office and replaced by communist democrats.

They did this to themselves.


48 posted on 11/04/2013 6:32:16 AM PST by chris37 (Heartless.)
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To: chris37

McAuliffe will not win because the Republicans did or did not do something. He will win because the media wants him to win and he can count on 99% of the vote in urban districts.

But I predict he will be the first Va governor in recent history to resign from office due to scandal. He’s just too dirty, the media knows it and that’s why he got so few endorsements.


49 posted on 11/04/2013 8:18:05 AM PST by AppyPappy (Obama: What did I not know and when did I not know it?)
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To: AppyPappy

I don’t know, appy. If a republican cannot beat a disgusting person such as Mc in Virginia, I’d say that is a sign of a very, very serious problem.


50 posted on 11/04/2013 8:23:49 AM PST by chris37 (Heartless.)
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