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14 in í14, cuz it ainít happening in Ď16 (Vanity)
Vanity | November 18, 2013 | ConservativeInPa

Posted on 11/18/2013 4:27:24 PM PST by ConservativeInPA

The facts
1. There are 21 US Senate seats held by Democrats in the 2014 election.
2. There are nine US Senate seats held by Democrats in the 2016 election. This is likely to be 10 due to a special election in HI in 2014.
3. Republicans need to pick up six senate seats to have a majority.

The Analysis
The failures of ObamaCare and broken promises by Democrat senators create a target rich environment in 2014. This is a year Republicans have to do well. Winning a majority in the senate by only one seat or maintaining the status quo is not the definition of doing well. It would be a four year setback to 2018 because there just are not that many Democrat senators to beat in 2016. Please read the following list and choose seats that Republicans are likely to win in 2016:

CA - Barbara Boxer (D)
CO - Michael Bennet (D)
CT - Richard Blumenthal (D)
HI - TBD in 2014 special (D)
MD - Barbara Mikulski (D)
NV - Harry Reid (D)
NY - Chuck Schumer (D)
OR - Ron Wyden (D)
VT - Patrick Leahy (D)
WA - Patty Murray (D)

I don’t find this too encouraging, although I’d love to see Dingy Harry and Chucky Schumer lose. I just don’t think most of these seats are in reach given the states involved. 2014 is a different story, hence the title of this post, “14 in ’14”.

I know that a 14 seat pick up is really not exactly realistic, but I like challenging goals and I think the political climate across America is ripe for such Republican success. Here’s a list of 2014 Democrats seats:

AK - Mark Begich (D)
AR - Mark Pryor (D)
CO - Mark Udall (D)
DE - Chris Coons (D)
HI - Brian Schatz (D)
IA - Tom Harkin (D) - Retiring
IL - Dick Durbin (D)
LA - Mary Landrieu (D)
MA - Ed Markey (D)
ME - Susan Collins (R)
MI - Carl Levin (D)
MN - Al Franken (D)
MT - Max Baucus (D) - Retiring
NC - Kay Hagan (D)
NH - Jeanne Shaheen (D)
NJ - Cory Booker (D)
NM - Tom Udall (D)
OR - Jeff Merkley (D)
RI - Jack Reed (D)
SD - Tim Johnson (D) - Retiring
VA - Mark Warner (D)
WV - Jay Rockefeller (D) - Retiring

(If you noticed Susan Collins in the list, it was intentional, just my warped sense of humor.)

I think DE, HI, IL, MA, NJ, NM, and RI are off the board. There would have to be a complete melt down in the Democrat party to pick up any of these states.

AK, AR, IA, LA, MT, NC, SD and WV are winnable – that gives the Republicans more than a majority in the Senate. There also a chance to pick up CO, MI, MN, NH, OR and VA. That gives us the 14 in ’14 to target. I’m not saying we can win all of those seats, but the this last group, VA, is the most possible as long as there isn’t a Democrat in Libertarian disguise running. With Levin retiring in MI, and that lying asshat Franken in MN, I think there will be interesting races if Republicans can find competent challengers. NH is an outside shot, but I think NH has too many illegal immigrants from MA to recover. I’m hoping some western sensibility finds its way into CO and OR. The state senate recall elections in CO may have established enough grassroots to barely win. OR is a long shot, but in this environment it may be possible.


TOPICS: FReeper Editorial; US: Alaska; US: Arkansas; US: Colorado; US: Delaware; US: Hawaii; US: Illinois; US: Iowa; US: Louisiana; US: Massachusetts; US: Michigan; US: Minnesota; US: Montana; US: Nevada; US: New Hampshire; US: New Jersey; US: New Mexico; US: North Carolina; US: Oregon; US: Rhode Island; US: South Dakota; US: Virginia; US: Washington; US: West Virginia; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: 2014election; 2014midterms; 2016election; alaska; arkansas; bho44; colorado; delaware; election2014; election2016; goppickups; hawaii; illinois; iowa; louisiana; massachusetts; michigan; minnesota; montana; nevada; newhampshire; newjersey; newmexico; northcarolina; oregon; rhodeisland; southdakota; virginia; washington; westvirginia
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Thoughts?
1 posted on 11/18/2013 4:27:24 PM PST by ConservativeInPA
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To: ConservativeInPA

CO - Michael Bennet (D)
NV - Harry Reid (D)
WA - Patty Murray (D)

Reid will likely enter the election less popular than he was in 2010. If we can find a decent candidate, he could be taken down. And our bench ain’t bad in Nevada from what I hear.

Bennet is a terrible politician. He won by a small margin because Buck made some dumb campaign decision. He can be taken out next time.

And Murray, I think we almost beat her last time too. Perhaps another shot in 2016? Weirder things have happened.


2 posted on 11/18/2013 4:30:23 PM PST by Viennacon (i)
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To: ConservativeInPA

We would have won Bennet’s seat the first time around if we hadn’t been saddled with an inexperienced candidate with no name recognition and a bad case of foot-in-mouth disease. But then I count six seats total we lost that way. If we saddle ourselves with another raft of losers, we won’t get very far.


3 posted on 11/18/2013 4:34:35 PM PST by colorado tanker
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To: colorado tanker
If we saddle ourselves with another raft of losers, we won’t get very far.

That is exactly why this needs to be taken seriously.

4 posted on 11/18/2013 4:36:21 PM PST by ConservativeInPA (Molon Labe - shall not be questioned)
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bookmark


5 posted on 11/18/2013 4:36:23 PM PST by Repeal The 17th (We have met the enemy and he is us.)
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To: ConservativeInPA
Thoughts?

Having seen what the Gutless Obsolete Pretender party did last time they controlled the House and Senate, nothing much will come of it the next time around.

Look to be left wondering why you even bother voting for these worthless fools just like last time.

Then buy more guns, ammo, and non-perishable food.

6 posted on 11/18/2013 4:37:10 PM PST by EricT. (Freedom is slavery. Ignorance is strength. Big brother is watching you.)
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To: ConservativeInPA

Factor in having to vote McConnell out in the KY General.


7 posted on 11/18/2013 4:37:45 PM PST by Paladin2
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To: ConservativeInPA

As for your analysis of 2014, I see it like this.

We need six seats.

The path to these in order of simplicity is as follows (subject to change).

South Dakota, West Virginia, Arkansas, Montana, Louisiana, and finally Alaska or North Carolina.

Past that, I see victory more likely in Michigan than in Iowa. I’m seeing this because Iowa seems to be trending Dem, where as Michigan is trending Repub. It’s the trajectories. With Detroit emptied, there is a real shot in Michigan to win in the senate and the polls show it. Dem’s aren’t helped there by their poor candidate. They have a top tier recruit in Iowa, but their guy in Michigan is a joke.

New Hampshire could come into play depending on who is running. Shaheen is put at risk because NH is the only North Eastern state experiencing red-level premium rises. She can be taken out.

Colorado is likely the next easiest, depending a lot on if there is a real backlash at the state legislature level against the radical lib agenda in that state, but Udall is a formidable Dem.

Oregon would be the real outside shot, mainly because Merkley is about as electrifying as a brick, and he won by a tiny percentage on the Obama wave last time. It’s unfortunate our bench in that state is weak.


8 posted on 11/18/2013 4:37:58 PM PST by Viennacon
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To: ConservativeInPA
The election is a long way off but I think Terri Land has a good chance of picking up the Levin seat if the GOPe pulls their heads out of their butts soon enough.

The Democrat running for the seat is representative Gary Peters who is now running away from Obamacare and Land is hammering away on it.

We're already getting ads slapping Peters.

Gary Peters, Pure Washington
9 posted on 11/18/2013 4:38:43 PM PST by cripplecreek (REMEMBER THE RIVER RAISIN!)
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To: Viennacon
We're getting ads against Gary Peters in Michigan. Here is the newest one.

"Gary Peters' Friends"
10 posted on 11/18/2013 4:42:16 PM PST by cripplecreek (REMEMBER THE RIVER RAISIN!)
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To: ConservativeInPA

There’s nobody I’d like to see lose more than the Lying Asshat Franke, with the exception of Dick Dirtbag, because unfortunately he is one of my Senators - but I agree he’s more likely to get hit by a bus.

SD should be an R. MN can be crazy (Jesse Ventura and Al Franken) but like IL the rural areas are pretty solid R and the DFL probably isn’t turning many of them.

What’s needed in all cases is strong, passionate, conservative messaging. I’m not hearing it and time’s a wastin’...

The GOP sure as hell isn’t going to do it!


11 posted on 11/18/2013 4:46:21 PM PST by bigbob (The best way to get a bad law repealed is to enforce it strictly. Abraham Lincoln)
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To: ConservativeInPA

The presumption here is that informed voters will make the difference.

The Democratic ground game is light-years ahead and will tip the balance in any state where races are within 5%.


12 posted on 11/18/2013 4:48:20 PM PST by research99
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To: ConservativeInPA; colorado tanker; Impy; fieldmarshaldj; NFHale; Clintonfatigued

“If we saddle ourselves with another raft of losers, we won’t get very far.

That is exactly why this needs to be taken seriously.”

I’m glad you two “get it”. I’ve had luddites here try to argue with me in the past that candidates need to have media savvy, especially when the “gotcha” comments start.

One idiot replied: “We should nominate Hitler, he was a good public speaker.”

Intelligent, eh?

The Angles, Akins and Mourdocks need to STFU and go wait for Lawrence Welk to come on. Because not only to they blow very winnable elections; they make the GOP look idiotic as a whole, especially with a MSM that’s waiting for any perceived mistake.


13 posted on 11/18/2013 4:49:39 PM PST by GOPsterinMA (You're a very weird person, Yossarian.)
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To: ConservativeInPA

Looks like we could do 11 easily enough. More would be better and whoever runs MUST run on the ObamaCCare fiasco, do their homework and let people know what is coming next if/when it gets fixed. IE. Married couples tax of 10K- 15K...that would more than do a lot of people in. We’d be forced to sell our home and find a trailer. We are on a fixed income. And there is MUCH more, according to Ted Cruz. We ain’t seen nothin’ yet!


14 posted on 11/18/2013 4:49:53 PM PST by Shery (in APO Land)
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To: bigbob
MN can be crazy (Jesse Ventura and Al Franken) but like IL the rural areas are pretty solid R and the DFL probably isn’t turning many of them.

I have family outside Duluth and in Minneapolis. They are DFL and an embarrassment to the rest of my mostly sane family. I am hope they get so discouraged that they just don't vote. If they do vote, it will be the same as in the past. There is no talking sense to them.

15 posted on 11/18/2013 4:55:48 PM PST by ConservativeInPA (Molon Labe - shall not be questioned)
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To: ConservativeInPA

If the GOP stabs the conservative candidates in the back (like Cuccinelli and Akin) or forces liberal republicans (like McCain and Romney) down our throats, we won't gain the Senate. Period. It's that simple. If the GOP puts their backs to oars for conservative candidates, we will gain a majority in the Senate. Easily. Again, it's that simple. The real question is ... when the GOP-E disappoints us yet again and steers the elections away from victory once more ... will enough conservatives rise up against them to win anyway? We almost had that with Cuccinelli ... almost.


16 posted on 11/18/2013 5:05:15 PM PST by so_real ( "The Congress of the United States recommends and approves the Holy Bible for use in all schools.")
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To: ConservativeInPA

I’ve got a lesbian cousin and her “wife” in Minnesota.


17 posted on 11/18/2013 5:05:40 PM PST by cripplecreek (REMEMBER THE RIVER RAISIN!)
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To: research99
The presumption here is that informed voters will make the difference. The Democratic ground game is light-years ahead and will tip the balance in any state where races are within 5%.

True. Though I bet that with real voter fraud and vote harvesting mechanisms curtailed and stopped, however, informed voters would make the difference BIG TIME.

Simple. Must be legal citizen to vote, 21 or older, ID required, presence at the polls required except for extreme need (where mail-in ballots are used). If you are able-bodied and dependent on food stamps or other government-funded charity, you abandon your vote franchise. No bussing and on-site harvesting votes from various care facilities by political organizations.

If sensible, fair steps had been taken to defend and protect the franchise before now, we'd be a freer, more prosperous and probably more moral nation.

18 posted on 11/18/2013 5:08:49 PM PST by Finny (Thy word is a lamp unto my feet, and a light unto my path. -- Psalm 119:105)
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To: cripplecreek

Must be a Lutheran thing. lol


19 posted on 11/18/2013 5:13:31 PM PST by ConservativeInPA (Molon Labe - shall not be questioned)
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To: ConservativeInPA
It would be a four year setback to 2018 because there just are not that many Democrat senators to beat in 2016. Please read the following list and choose seats that Republicans are likely to win in 2016:

Factor in seats the GOP could possibly lose in 2016 because they're all in solidly blue states: Illinois, Wisconsin, Ohio, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, and even Florida if Rubio keeps waffling. The GOP needs the right candidate in 2016, one with coattails. I don't think that Christie is that.

20 posted on 11/18/2013 5:13:33 PM PST by DoodleDawg
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To: Finny
True. Though I bet that with real voter fraud and vote harvesting mechanisms curtailed and stopped, however, informed voters would make the difference BIG TIME.

That is one of the things driving Michigan to the right.
21 posted on 11/18/2013 5:14:12 PM PST by cripplecreek (REMEMBER THE RIVER RAISIN!)
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To: so_real

Akin should of had his tounge cut out. Maybe then some of these nimrods would think before saying something that scares woman and children.


22 posted on 11/18/2013 5:19:00 PM PST by Blackirish
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To: ConservativeInPA

If people got behind me and helped support my expanded biography of Reid “Harry: Money Mob and Influence”, he might just be vulnerable in 2016.
http://www.futurnamics.com/reid.php


23 posted on 11/18/2013 5:25:09 PM PST by DaxtonBrown (http://www.futurnamics.com/reid.php)
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To: so_real
If the GOP stabs the conservative candidates in the back (like Cuccinelli and Akin)...

With all due respect, Akin stabbed himself.

His ineptitude doesn't warrant a conservative's defense.

24 posted on 11/18/2013 5:26:25 PM PST by okie01 (The Mainstream Media: Ignorance On Parade)
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To: so_real
Again, it's that simple. The real question is ... when the GOP-E disappoints us yet again and steers the elections away from victory once more ... will enough conservatives rise up against them to win anyway? We almost had that with Cuccinelli ... almost.

You said it. Simple and straightforward. Liberal Republicans are the deciding factor to lose.

I kinda think there should be a back-up plan or at least serious consideration because daaaaaaayum, it sure is a liklihood that we'll be looking at (among other things) a Christie/Romney/McCain type as the determined presidential nominee in 2014, the GOPe again calling what it stupidly misidentifies as a "bluff." No bluff; people refuse to vote FOR something against their own moral and financial intersts. The GOPe wants them to vote "against" the Democrat, but down deep, folks know that's bull.

So when we're looking at that in early 2014, what are we conservative voters going to do to salvage as much as we can? We might as well be looking ahead.

25 posted on 11/18/2013 5:27:32 PM PST by Finny (Thy word is a lamp unto my feet, and a light unto my path. -- Psalm 119:105)
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To: Finny
Er ... presidential nominee in 2016 ... duh!
26 posted on 11/18/2013 5:30:53 PM PST by Finny (Thy word is a lamp unto my feet, and a light unto my path. -- Psalm 119:105)
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To: bigbob

With our SOS Al’s a shoe in.


27 posted on 11/18/2013 5:34:58 PM PST by justrepublican (Screaming a "Vexatious requester" at a Wellstone memorial...........)
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To: ConservativeInPA
If you noticed Susan Collins in the list, it was intentional, just my warped sense of humor.

You should have included John Cornyn (R-TX) in that list of Democrats...

28 posted on 11/18/2013 5:40:08 PM PST by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: ConservativeInPA

Need 6 of:

AK - Mark Begich (D)
AR - Mark Pryor (D)
CO - Mark Udall (D)
DE - Chris Coons (D)
IA - Tom Harkin (D) - Retiring
LA - Mary Landrieu (D)
MN - Al Franken (D)
MT - Max Baucus (D) - Retiring
NC - Kay Hagan (D)
NH - Jeanne Shaheen (D))
NM - Tom Udall (D)
SD - Tim Johnson (D) - Retiring
VA - Mark Warner (D)
WV - Jay Rockefeller (D) - Retiring

Maybe I should have CO and NM out of reach too. Still 6 of 14 or 6 of 12 should not be out of the question.


29 posted on 11/18/2013 5:42:50 PM PST by JLS
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To: ConservativeInPA

I agree. I saw that first list and thought “Those guys are safe.” So yes, those in ‘14 are the ones to defeat.


30 posted on 11/18/2013 5:46:15 PM PST by eccentric (a.k.a. baldwidow)
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To: ConservativeInPA

My thought: It’s all a pipe dream, unless the Republicans begin very soon explaining that the goal is complete repeal of Obamacare, and replacement with something people can understand. Then explain the Republican alternative.

Over and over, and in terms that are crystal clear and not wonkish.

There will be no large gains on the basis of outrage against Obamacare. The public doesn’t trust the Republicans to govern any more than they do the Democrats.

Substance and real hope, or kiss the country good-bye.


31 posted on 11/18/2013 5:52:25 PM PST by Chaguito
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To: bigbob

R’s won MN last go around. it was the failure of the recount that lost it for them.

I hope we (I am in Minnesota) have learned our lesson and we can kick the adult diaper wearing flaming lib out on his ass.


32 posted on 11/18/2013 6:24:09 PM PST by cableguymn (The founding fathers would be shooting by now..)
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To: justrepublican

At least are SOS can read the writing on the wall and is calling it quits.


33 posted on 11/18/2013 6:33:03 PM PST by cableguymn (The founding fathers would be shooting by now..)
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To: ConservativeInPA

Bookmarked.


34 posted on 11/18/2013 6:37:02 PM PST by Jane Long (While Marxists continue the fundamental transformation of the USA, progressive RINOs assist!)
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To: ConservativeInPA

no chance in MN,OR or VA....and we will blow a couple of ones we should win...someone will say something stupid


35 posted on 11/18/2013 6:39:27 PM PST by trustnooneever
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To: Viennacon

Too much corruption here in Nevada, Dingy owns the seat. He always wins by just a few votes, just enough fraud to put him over the top. This time he needed a whole lot of fraud. We will never be rid of Dingy. He has said that he will not run again but who can believe anything he says.


36 posted on 11/18/2013 6:56:30 PM PST by erkelly (Never underestimate the stupidity of the stupid party!)
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To: GOPsterinMA

I don’t know about the other states, but Angle was several points in the lead on election eve. The fraud was massive. It is utterly impossible to defeat Dingy, his fraud machine is just too good.


37 posted on 11/18/2013 6:59:23 PM PST by erkelly (Never underestimate the stupidity of the stupid party!)
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To: erkelly

Some fraud, but she was a perrenial loser that scared people. That’s what I heard from people in NV.

Reid should be long gone. He’s not.


38 posted on 11/18/2013 7:02:09 PM PST by GOPsterinMA (You're a very weird person, Yossarian.)
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To: Blackirish; okie01

With all due respect, I read what Akin said. It was good spin fodder for the liberals. But it was not offensive or scary. It wasn't even the liberal media that kept bringing his statement up. The GOPe media kept hashing and rehashing it as they drove the knife deep between Akin's shoulder blades. You may not care for Akin; you may think what he said was a mistake. But he was the *only* conservative on the ballot and could have, should have, won that Senate seat.

Here's a blast from the past for you: "Christie calls on GOP to reject Akin"

So Chris Christie stabs Akin in the back while Jim DeMint's SCF pledges $290,000 to Akin's campaign. Who do you trust to point you in the direction of solid conservatives: Chris Christie or Jim DeMint? I know the correct answer, and so do you.


39 posted on 11/19/2013 6:42:50 AM PST by so_real ( "The Congress of the United States recommends and approves the Holy Bible for use in all schools.")
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To: Finny

It sure does feel like the GOPe is going to add Chris Christie to the string of tepid republican losers. I've already stated I won't vote for him. In the days that come I'll draw republican ire for that (just as I did refusing to support Romney). But, clearly, I was not alone in my stand. I'm ready to support another Virgil Goode. Heck, though I am a birther (proudly so) and do not believe Cruz is a constitutional natural born citizen, we are in revolution mode these days and I'd vote for him if he ran against the liberals (GOP and DEM alike). I guess we'll wait to see who is on the ballot.


40 posted on 11/19/2013 6:50:02 AM PST by so_real ( "The Congress of the United States recommends and approves the Holy Bible for use in all schools.")
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To: so_real
[Akins' comment] was good spin fodder for the liberals. But it was not offensive or scary.

Just dumb.

It was a fumbled attempt to explain his otherwise admirable position. He tried to make an excuse for himself and, evidently, totally oblivious the fact that rape can result in pregnancy -- and often does.

Somebody so unprepared to explain why he believes what he believes -- or so maladroit as to engage in such a weak defense -- has no business being a serious candidate for U.S. Senator.

The likes of Karl Rove and Chris Christie should both earn our enmity for piling on as they did. But Akin deserves disdain, as well, for being too stupid (or selfish) to recognize the mess he'd made of things.

DeMint is the only party who did the right thing. But, even then, I wonder if his $290,000 might've been better invested in another conservative candidate.

41 posted on 11/19/2013 9:01:36 AM PST by okie01 (The Mainstream Media: Ignorance On Parade)
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To: erkelly

The race didn’t end up close. Fraud was NOT the margin of victory for Reid. She blew it, cause she’s a horrible candidate. At the time a few of us warned that she was a bad choice.


42 posted on 11/19/2013 1:33:03 PM PST by Impy (RED=COMMUNIST, NOT REPUBLICAN)
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To: ConservativeInPA

Carl Levin is retiring at the end of this term.


43 posted on 11/19/2013 1:39:35 PM PST by Mr. Lucky
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To: ConservativeInPA; GOPsterinMA; randita; BillyBoy; AuH2ORepublican; fieldmarshaldj; ...

We need 15 to get to 60 if that’s what you’re driving at. Remember the NJ seat is back in rat hands now.

2016 Senate is bad because we have most of those seats already. Getting 60 before 2018 is very unlikely.

If you erase every poor nomination, boneheaded mistake, and act of vote splitting from the past 3 cycles we could have 60 now.

Our target list for 2014

Tier one (Open rat seats, Expected gains): WV, SD, MT

Tier two (incumbent rats, should be wins but we may not get them all): AK, AR, LA, NC (It’s worth noting we’ve not beaten more than 2 incumbent rat Senators in any cycle since 1980)

Tier three (Open seats, could go either way) MI, IA (we have a stronger candidate in Michigan)

We also have to defend Kentucky and possibly Georgia from the rats.

Beyond that, races could develop but I have low exceptions for beating the likes of Jeanne Shaheen or Mark Udall. Franken should be meat but we have no strong candidate running.

For 2016, Reid and Bennet appear to be the only rats likely to be vulnerable (Murray could be too) and we have a lot of seats to defend.


44 posted on 11/19/2013 1:50:44 PM PST by Impy (RED=COMMUNIST, NOT REPUBLICAN)
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To: Impy

Reid Bennett and Murray were my picks too. I really hope the party in Washington state starts looking for a standout now in preparation.

I’m not so worried anymore about Georgia and Kentucky. I would be if Obamacare wasn’t in ruins, but at the end of the day, both Grimey and Nunn will have D next to their names in reasonably red states. All you have to do is tie them to Obama and they won’t get out of the starting gate.

I have previously articulated that I rate Arkansas as being easier than Montana. Let’s remember how badly Blanche Lincoln got creamed. And that was when Obamacare’s disaster was only in theory. Pryor will not survive 2014.
Montana meanwhile, has a strong Rat party, and a weak Rep party, which puts us at a disadvantage in spite of the red tint of the state.

Getting 60 is virtually impossible before 2018, but much of what follows on from that will depend on who is president after 2016.

And as an aside, FCUK Krispy Kreme for holding that senate election when he did. He could have postponed it to 2014, and Lonegan would have had a real shot against Booker. This alone should disqualify fatboy. He kneecapped a conservative for his own political gains.


45 posted on 11/19/2013 2:05:20 PM PST by Viennacon
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To: Viennacon; AuH2ORepublican

GA depends on if Broun is nominated, no worries if he’s not.

I feel good about AR and NC. Less confident on LA and especially AK, they like their incumbent porkmasters up north.

Chisty the Hutt could have at least put the Senate election on the same days as his. He DID have coattails, most people voted GOP for state legislature, only gerrymandering kept the gains so small. That and the NRSC could have resulted in Lonegan winning.

If he could have delayed it until next year that would have been even better, 1 less Senate rat for as long as possible.


46 posted on 11/19/2013 2:13:26 PM PST by Impy (RED=COMMUNIST, NOT REPUBLICAN)
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To: Impy

I was worried about Alaska, but I’m not any longer. Begich lead Sullivan by 2 points in the latest Harper poll taken in October. That’s bad news for an incumbent, and Obamacare has only gotten worse since.

Unfortunately in Louisiana, I can’t find any good polling done recently enough.


47 posted on 11/19/2013 2:21:19 PM PST by Viennacon
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To: Viennacon; fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican

With LA ones always has to worry about the stupid jungle primary. We’re lucky that Vitter won in 2004 without a runoff.

I think Landrieu would have lost 1-on-1 in Nov 2002.


48 posted on 11/19/2013 2:34:22 PM PST by Impy (RED=COMMUNIST, NOT REPUBLICAN)
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To: Impy

Am I correct in saying that there is not a primary at all for the parties in Louisiana? Everyone just runs for the office, right?


49 posted on 11/19/2013 2:36:57 PM PST by Viennacon
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To: Viennacon

bttt


50 posted on 11/19/2013 3:46:48 PM PST by txhurl (tagline test)
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