Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

NOAA Public Severe Weather Outlook (Southeastern Tornado Outbreak Possible)
NOAA Storm Prediction Center ^ | DEC 21 2013 | SPC

Posted on 12/21/2013 12:38:09 PM PST by Colonel Kangaroo

PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1050 AM CST SAT DEC 21 2013

...WIDESPREAD SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI TO OHIO VALLEYS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

The NWS Storm Prediction Center in Norman, OK is forecasting the development of a few intense tornadoes and widespread damaging winds over parts of the Lower Mississippi to Ohio valleys this afternoon and tonight.

The areas most likely to experience this activity include:

Northwest Alabama Southeast Arkansas Central and Northeast Louisiana much of Mississippi Western and Middle Tennessee

Elsewhere, severe storms are also possible from parts of the Ohio Valley to the Gulf Coast.

A potent jet stream disturbance now over west Texas will track northeast into Red River Valley later today, before accelerating northeast into the mid-Mississippi Valley tonight and early Sunday.

Associated with this disturbance, an area of low pressure now forming over northeast Texas will become better organized as it moves northeast into southern Arkansas this afternoon, northwest Tennessee this evening, and the lower Ohio Valley early Sunday.

Ahead of the low, a broad flow of unseasonably warm and humid air will surge north from the western Gulf of Mexico into the lower Mississippi, the lower Tennessee, and the Ohio Valleys through early Sunday.

The increasing moisture and strong wind field that will accompany the jet stream impulse will create an environment favorable for bands of rotating thunderstorms capable of both potentially strong tornadoes and damaging wind over a broad swath extending from eastern Texas and southern Louisiana northeastward into the lower Mississippi and lower Tennessee Valleys.

Although the severe weather threat is expected to be greatest this afternoon through early tonight over parts of Louisiana, Arkansas, Mississippi, and Tennessee, a more conditional risk for tornadoes and damaging winds will persist into early Sunday from the central Gulf Coast northeast into the mid-Ohio Valley.

State and local emergency managers are monitoring this developing situation. Those in the threatened area are urged to review severe weather safety rules and to listen to radio, television, and NOAA Weather Radio for possible watches, warnings, and statements later today.

..Mead/Corfidi.. 12/21/2013


TOPICS: US: Alabama; US: Arkansas; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Tennessee; US: Texas
KEYWORDS:
It might be a good idea for people in the lower Mississippi Valley to keep an eye on the weather. The upper air wind forecasts suggests the storms will be fast, moving in a generally NE direction at over sixty mph, probably obscured by rain and nightfall.

Hopefully it will be a bust, but it's important not to be caught off guard in case something does happen.

1 posted on 12/21/2013 12:38:09 PM PST by Colonel Kangaroo
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Colonel Kangaroo

Looking on NOAA website radar, ‘my zip code’, yup, it do cometh!

Everybody, I hope you get to hunker with your’s, grab some comfort food, check your emergency supplies, and stay dry, warm, and safe!


2 posted on 12/21/2013 12:41:56 PM PST by Terry L Smith
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Colonel Kangaroo

Much rain on frozen tundra here in Indiana and much more to come. It took me 35 years but I finally got a house on TOP of the hill.


3 posted on 12/21/2013 12:42:17 PM PST by nascarnation (Wish everyone see a "Gay Kwanzaa")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

There’s already tornado watches from SE Texas to the West Tennessee-Kentucky border.


4 posted on 12/21/2013 12:43:01 PM PST by Colonel Kangaroo
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Colonel Kangaroo

“It’s beginning to look a lot like Kansas, before she goes to Oz...”


5 posted on 12/21/2013 12:47:30 PM PST by Ingtar (The NSA - "We're the only part of government who actually listens to the people.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Colonel Kangaroo

We have full blown flood warnings in effect here.


6 posted on 12/21/2013 12:47:37 PM PST by EBH ( The Day of the Patriot has arrived.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Colonel Kangaroo
One of my favorites to monitor when WX get's nasty...

HERE (auto-refresh every 2 min.)

7 posted on 12/21/2013 12:48:10 PM PST by RckyRaCoCo (Shall Not Be Infringed)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Colonel Kangaroo
South Louisiana, close to the coast, winds 20, gusting to 30mph+ out of the south, temp in the 80's, very high humidity.

Mess fixing to come in from the west.
Probably will get pretty mean north Louisiana and above by the looks of it.

8 posted on 12/21/2013 12:55:19 PM PST by The Cajun (Sarah Palin, Mark Levin, Ted Cruz, Mike Lee, Louie Gohmert......Nuff said.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: The Cajun

I am hoping that all that nasty weather does not slip much further eastward. I don’t need it hitting here in East Central Miss tonight!


9 posted on 12/21/2013 1:08:07 PM PST by Red_Devil 232 (VietVet - USMC All Ready On The Right? All Ready On The Left? All Ready On The Firing Line!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: RckyRaCoCo

Thanks, that’s a much quicker way to get the warning info than the NOAA warning map.


10 posted on 12/21/2013 1:09:47 PM PST by Colonel Kangaroo
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: Red_Devil 232
The timing as to when it's going to start *hauling* northward is what I'm watching closely on radar.

The air is loaded with moisture.
Conditions are really ripe.

11 posted on 12/21/2013 1:12:46 PM PST by The Cajun (Sarah Palin, Mark Levin, Ted Cruz, Mike Lee, Louie Gohmert......Nuff said.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: Terry L Smith
Not a good day to travel.

The latest mesoscale discussion from the SPC seems hopeful that the storms may turn into a linear squall line event which would be much better than isolated supercells forming in the presence of the strong winds aloft.

12 posted on 12/21/2013 1:14:55 PM PST by Colonel Kangaroo
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: nascarnation

We’ve got an ice storm warning here in southern Michigan.


13 posted on 12/21/2013 1:18:30 PM PST by cripplecreek (REMEMBER THE RIVER RAISIN!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: cripplecreek

Those are always the worst. Power lines and tree damage. Hopefully it doesn’t happen.


14 posted on 12/21/2013 1:20:16 PM PST by nascarnation (Wish everyone see a "Gay Kwanzaa")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: nascarnation

Yeah I gotta go get bread and milk.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i6zaVYWLTkU


15 posted on 12/21/2013 1:22:15 PM PST by cripplecreek (REMEMBER THE RIVER RAISIN!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: Terry L Smith

Is Florida going to be okay? There’s some mighty strong winds coming out of the south ....


16 posted on 12/21/2013 1:25:32 PM PST by Ken522
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: nascarnation
Now they're saying there's a sixty percent chance of a watch issuance for Western Kentucky and extreme Southern Indiana.


17 posted on 12/21/2013 1:36:16 PM PST by Colonel Kangaroo
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Ken522

It’s the usual Southwest to Northeast track.

I’d say you are good till Spring.


18 posted on 12/21/2013 1:40:37 PM PST by Terry L Smith
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: Ken522

Right now they have only the Florida panhandle for a slight risk for Sunday. Nothing yet concerning any problems for this evening and nothing at all concerning the rest of the state.


19 posted on 12/21/2013 1:41:51 PM PST by Colonel Kangaroo
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: The Cajun

I want it to hitch a ride on The city of New Orleans headed north at a Fast pace!


20 posted on 12/21/2013 1:45:13 PM PST by Red_Devil 232 (VietVet - USMC All Ready On The Right? All Ready On The Left? All Ready On The Firing Line!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: Colonel Kangaroo
Doesn't hurt to look at the Big Map to see what's coming and from where, also helps to gauge line intensity(strengthening/weakening).
21 posted on 12/21/2013 2:20:08 PM PST by RckyRaCoCo (Shall Not Be Infringed)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: Colonel Kangaroo


22 posted on 12/21/2013 3:08:29 PM PST by TomGuy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson