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Looking Ahead to 2016, Hillary Clinton’s State Problem
Washingtonian ^ | Monday, December 23, 2013 | James Rosen

Posted on 12/23/2013 4:14:57 PM PST by kristinn

Take a minute to play communications director for Hillary Clinton’s 2016 presidential run. Your task: come up with a 30-second spot to run in the early primary states about your candidate’s four years as Secretary of State.

What part of the world do you start with? Iran? John Kerry now owns, for better or worse, the effort to bar the mullahs from getting the bomb. The “pivot to Asia”? The pushback on China in the Pacific has yet to take any visible shape beyond President Obama’s patented phrase. The “reset” with Russia? Really? Putin’s a pal now?

Anyone putting together a brag clip about Clinton’s tenure at State faces the question a Democratic strategist put to me in a recent e-mail: “Can she translate her record into accomplishments that are meaningful to Iowa farmers and flinty New Hampshire Yankees?”

An equally important requirement for you, the messaging guru, will be to erase from voters’ minds the footage—currently running nonstop in opponents’ negative ads—of Clinton angrily responding to Republican senators probing what she knew, and when, about the 2012 Benghazi terror attacks that killed four Americans: “What difference, at this point, does it make?”

Suddenly it dawns on you, the communications director: This isn’t going to be so easy after all . . . .

More than 150 years have passed since a Secretary of State ascended to the presidency. There’s just something elitist—a little too think-tanky—about diplomats for ordinary folks’ tastes. When Obama handed Clinton the office after he kayoed her in the 2008 Democratic primary, though, he allowed her a dignified hand up from the canvas. It was understood that by enhancing her global stature and keeping her on the front pages, Obama was also positioning her as frontrunner to succeed him. But five years later,...

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonian.com ...


TOPICS: Egypt; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; Russia; Syria; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: 2014election; 2016demprimary; 2016election; benghazi; china; egypt; election2014; election2016; hillary2016; hillaryclinton; libya; russia; soshillary; syria; venezuela; waronterror
More at the source link.
1 posted on 12/23/2013 4:14:57 PM PST by kristinn
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To: kristinn

Ok, I’ll play...

White Water ?
What difference does it make now?
Bimbo Eruptions?
What difference does it make now?
Blue dress?
What difference does it make now?
Cattle futures?
What difference does it make now?
Travelgate?
What difference does it make now?
600 FBI Files?
What difference does it make now?
Vince Foster?
What difference does it make now?
Ben Ghazi?
What difference does it make now?
Monica Lewinsky’s exboyfriend’s
wife for President?
YOU can make the difference!


2 posted on 12/23/2013 4:22:03 PM PST by tet68 ( " We would not die in that man's company, that fears his fellowship to die with us...." Henry V.)
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To: kristinn

Americans haven’t forgotten the cattle futures, Billy Dale and the missing Rose Law Firm billing records.


3 posted on 12/23/2013 4:22:40 PM PST by BenLurkin (This is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion or satire; or both.)
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To: kristinn
Everyday I look at this picture - focus on it, try to imagine it a reality, then I fly into a panic. This should be sent out to every Republican, RINO or Conservative and they should do the same as I: Focus on it, try to imagine it a reality. This is no joke: This absolutely disaster from hell could be our next POTUS unless we take action NOW and passing this photo around is a good start. Having this absolute b*tch from the deepest darkest bowels of hell as our next POTUS would be like trying to save the Hindenburg by nuking it


4 posted on 12/23/2013 4:23:12 PM PST by GrandJediMasterYoda (What do we want? Time travel. When do we want it? It's irrelevant.)
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To: BenLurkin

Benghazi:

Name one accomplishment Hillary made as Secretary of State.


5 posted on 12/23/2013 4:24:52 PM PST by Venturer (Half Staff the Flag of the US for Terrorists.)
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To: kristinn

Nail the Big icth NOW!

Stop playing nice and destroy her before she has a chance to gain momentum.

*Note to RNC - stay away, your assistance is not necessary. Let the ‘real’ Patriots carry the flag.


6 posted on 12/23/2013 4:25:51 PM PST by Dacula
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To: kristinn
If she runs she wins...

That's something nobody here wants to hear but its a fact.

The American electorate care nothing about issues..they want to make her the first Female president..

7 posted on 12/23/2013 4:25:58 PM PST by montanajoe
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To: BenLurkin
Americans haven’t forgotten the cattle futures, Billy Dale and the missing Rose Law Firm billing records.

Those are the Big Three. After the first two, I wrote them off entirely, even though many more outrages were to follow. And, you know what? This was nothing compared to Obama, who shifts billions to cronies--JP Morgan settlements to "communities", or the CGI no-bid contract grant to a company with one of Michelle's alumna buddies as an officer.

8 posted on 12/23/2013 4:28:56 PM PST by Pearls Before Swine
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To: montanajoe

Well, seeing as how a lot of folks want Sarah Palin
as the first female President, I think she’ll have
a fight on her hands.

Oh I love the motto in that picture of her...
What a difference I make.
Seems she’s aged a bit since then.

Bwhahahahahah.


9 posted on 12/23/2013 4:30:29 PM PST by tet68 ( " We would not die in that man's company, that fears his fellowship to die with us...." Henry V.)
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To: tet68
Actually Palin is the only candidate the GOP could run against her that would stand a chance.
10 posted on 12/23/2013 4:34:35 PM PST by montanajoe
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To: montanajoe

They would be fools to run a man against Hillary.
However that has not stopped them before.

Palin 2016


11 posted on 12/23/2013 4:39:19 PM PST by tet68 ( " We would not die in that man's company, that fears his fellowship to die with us...." Henry V.)
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To: montanajoe

“If she runs she wins...That’s something nobody here wants to hear but its a fact. The American electorate care nothing about issues..they want to make her the first Female president..”

She may have beaten McCain (who had nothing to offer anyway), but if things continue in this direction no Dem will win in 2016. The scales are falling from the eyes of the most stalwart Dem supporters, and I don’t see how any current Dems distance themselves enough from this disaster to win. At some point white women are going to realize they’ve been had; I fear that most of them will be 70 years old, surrounded by younger darker foreigners jabbering in tongues, when they have their epiphany - but it will happen.

They are the demographic that lost the most besides white men; while they have temporarily held onto their paychecks better, they’ve thrown away their future generations...


12 posted on 12/23/2013 4:40:47 PM PST by kearnyirish2 (Affirmative action is economic war against white males (and therefore white families).)
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To: montanajoe

I think Hillary’s only worry is will the Chicago mob field a competitive candidate in the 2016 primaries.

So far Squaw Warren is saying no.

But watch where Axlegrease, Gibbs, and Plouffy line up on the field.


13 posted on 12/23/2013 4:43:54 PM PST by nascarnation (Wish everyone see a "Gay Kwanzaa")
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To: kristinn

She has a few murder problems too.


14 posted on 12/23/2013 4:55:10 PM PST by freekitty (Give me back my conservative vote; then find me a real conservative to vote for)
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To: ETL; AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; cardinal4; ColdOne; ...

Thanks kristinn.

> More than 150 years have passed since a Secretary of State ascended to the presidency.


15 posted on 12/23/2013 5:27:57 PM PST by SunkenCiv (http://www.freerepublic.com/~mestamachine/)
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To: kristinn

The baby-killer in a pantsuit.


16 posted on 12/23/2013 5:33:54 PM PST by MuttTheHoople (Nothing is more savage and brutal than justifiably angry Americans. DonÂ’t believe me? Ask the Germa)
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To: GrandJediMasterYoda

17 posted on 12/23/2013 5:59:49 PM PST by MuttTheHoople (Nothing is more savage and brutal than justifiably angry Americans. DonÂ’t believe me? Ask the Germa)
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To: Venturer
She doesn't need any accomplishments. Just having a D after her name guarantees victory. Here's how many electoral votes she starts out with as absolute locks:

California - 55

Connecticut - 7

Delaware - 3

District of Columbia - 3

Hawaii - 4

Illinois - 20

Maine - 4

Maryland - 10

Massachusetts - 11

Michigan - 16

Minnesota - 10

New Jersey - 14

New York - 29

Oregon - 7

Rhode Island - 4

Vermont - 3

Washington - 12

This totals 212 votes. You need 270 to win. This list does not include states that lean heavily blue like PA (20), NV (6), CO (9), and VA (13.) They total 48 votes. So Hillary starts out with about 260 electoral votes. And I am not including Iowa that has gone Dem seven out of the last 8 presidential elections or WI (10 votes), which has gone Dem the last 7 elections.

Any Rep is going to have an uphill battle to win. Hillary and any other Dem will be the favorites. FL or Ohio or WI will win for the Dems.

18 posted on 12/23/2013 6:16:58 PM PST by kabar
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To: kabar

and Florida


19 posted on 12/23/2013 6:18:17 PM PST by GeronL (Extra Large Cheesy Over-Stuffed Hobbit)
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To: MuttTheHoople

LOL!!!


20 posted on 12/23/2013 6:18:42 PM PST by GrandJediMasterYoda (What do we want? Time travel. When do we want it? It's irrelevant.)
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To: kristinn

She’s a fat, drunk, cankled, old hag. The road to nowhere.


21 posted on 12/23/2013 6:20:18 PM PST by VRWC For Truth (Roberts has perverted the Constitution)
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To: kearnyirish2
At some point white women are going to realize they’ve been had; I fear that most of them will be 70 years old, surrounded by younger darker foreigners jabbering in tongues, when they have their epiphany - but it will happen.

Non-Hispanic white women voted for Romney 56%-42%. Whites voted for Romney 59% to 39%. In fact whites voted for Romney across all age groups and gender.

22 posted on 12/23/2013 6:25:55 PM PST by kabar
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To: GeronL

How are you classifying FL? Solid Dem, leaning Dem, or in play?


23 posted on 12/23/2013 6:27:43 PM PST by kabar
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To: Dacula
Nail the Big icth NOW! Stop playing nice and destroy her before she has a chance to gain momentum.

From your keyboard to God's ears!!

Stop. Her. Now.!

24 posted on 12/23/2013 6:30:11 PM PST by Right_in_Virginia
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To: montanajoe

If she runs she wins...
That’s something nobody here wants to hear but its a fact.


Not if we swift boat her first.

I’d pay big $ to support an independent ad campaign against her. A few seconds at crucial points of Juanita broadderick’s video of telling how she was raped by bill, and Hillary “thanking” Juanita for staying quiet. That could be a CHILLING ad.

There are many ads before you even get to Benghazi.


25 posted on 12/23/2013 6:35:22 PM PST by Yaelle
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To: montanajoe

If she runs she wins...
That’s something nobody here wants to hear but its a fact.


I agree with you - it seems inevitable, but then again, I thought she had it locked up last time.


26 posted on 12/23/2013 6:46:49 PM PST by volunbeer (We must embrace austerity or austerity will embrace us)
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To: Yaelle
Yes an ad withe her say on one side what difference does it make and the 4 who assassinated on the the other side.
27 posted on 12/23/2013 7:05:10 PM PST by GregB (I am voting for Sarah Palin in 2016..period!!!!)
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To: montanajoe

Unless we counter with a woman of our choosing.


28 posted on 12/23/2013 7:26:35 PM PST by blaveda
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To: montanajoe

Unless we counter with a woman of our choosing.


29 posted on 12/23/2013 7:26:49 PM PST by blaveda
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To: montanajoe

People who love Hillary REALLY love her. It’s a sickness.


30 posted on 12/23/2013 8:18:46 PM PST by VerySadAmerican (".....Barrack, and the horse Mohammed rode in on.")
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To: kabar

“Non-Hispanic white women voted for Romney 56%-42%. Whites voted for Romney 59% to 39%. In fact whites voted for Romney across all age groups and gender.”

That isn’t a huge difference; it helps, but what are the other 42% thinking? I suspect many of them are employed by the gubmint (teachers & such)...


31 posted on 12/24/2013 4:55:08 AM PST by kearnyirish2 (Affirmative action is economic war against white males (and therefore white families).)
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To: kearnyirish2
That isn’t a huge difference; it helps, but what are the other 42% thinking? I suspect many of them are employed by the gubmint (teachers & such)...

Actually it is a huge difference. Anything over 10% is considered a landslide.

You have to put these numbers into context. Women in general voted for Obama 55-44. They comprised 53% of all voters. White woman voted 56-42 for Romney, but they comprised only 38% of the electorate.

Black women voted for Obama 96-3; Latino women 76-23 for Obama; and all others (Asians, mixed races, etc.) 66-31 for Obama. Black women comprised 8% of the electorate; Latino women 6%, and other women 5%. Thus, minority women comprised 19% of the electorate compared to white women who were 38% of the electorate.

When we hear about the War on Women and the GOP's problem with women voters, it has to be placed into context. The GOP problem is primarily with minority women. They are winning the women's vote among white women handily. We are really entering an era of tribal politics. IMO the GOP should be concentrating on winning more of the white women's vote than all of these efforts on outreach to the minority community. White women make up 38% of the electorate--twice the percentage of minority women in the electorate.

White men voted for Romney 62-35 and they comprised 34% of the total electorate.

32 posted on 12/24/2013 6:37:56 AM PST by kabar
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To: GregB

That is a genius simple print ad. Or even better - a billboard.

We need to start yesterday.


33 posted on 12/24/2013 9:03:26 AM PST by Yaelle
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To: kabar

I thought the primary indicator of how white women voted was wheter or not they were married.


34 posted on 12/24/2013 1:54:09 PM PST by kearnyirish2 (Affirmative action is economic war against white males (and therefore white families).)
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To: kearnyirish2
I thought the primary indicator of how white women voted was whether or not they were married.

The CNN exit polls do not break it down by race, just marital status. According to the results, married women voted 56-42 for Romney and single women voted 62-35 for Obama. Married women comprised 60% of the women voting and singles were 40%. Coincidentally, white women voted 56-42 for Romney, the same percentage as married women in general.

I would ascribe race as being more predictive on how white women voted rather than marital status. Given data from the 2010 census, we know that 41% of black women have never married compared to 20.6% of whites. 35.6% of black women are married compared to 57.9% for whites. As far as black women are concerned, they voted 96% to 3%, so marital status is not relevant for them as far as voting is concerned.

I am not discounting marital status as an important variable. But whether it is the most important and predictive is still iffy in my mind.

In the VA governor's race, by a landslide 42 points, unmarried women favored Democrat Terry McAuliffe over his Republican challenger in the Virginia governor’s race, exit polling shows. 67 percent of unmarried women (single, divorced, widowed, or separated) voted for McAuliffe as compared to just 25 percent for Cuccinelli. 50 percent of married women voted for Cuccinelli, as compared to 41 percent of married women who supported McAuliffe.

I would have to do more research to see if there is a further breakdown of how single women and married women voted by race. Maybe it is not PC to make such breakdowns, especially if the racial component skews the data. Black women comprised 8% of the total electorate in 2012 compared to 38% for white women. But that 8% voted 96% for Obama, which can skew the data for single women. 53% of the total electorate were women so black women were 15% of the total women's vote.

And there are other reasons that single white women voted for Obama than marital status. They could be Democrats. Party affiliation is a variable. How did independent single women vote? Romney won the independent vote 50-45. And then there is age. Romney won every age group 40 and up. Obama took the 18 thru 39 group, which has the biggest proportion of single women. How much of a factor were social issues like gay marriage and abortion?

The bottom line is that we need more data to determine how important marital status was as compared to other variables.

35 posted on 12/24/2013 5:36:21 PM PST by kabar
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To: kabar

“The bottom line is that we need more data to determine how important marital status was as compared to other variables.”

I defnitely agree.


36 posted on 12/26/2013 3:09:57 AM PST by kearnyirish2 (Affirmative action is economic war against white males (and therefore white families).)
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