Posted on 01/12/2014 9:29:29 AM PST by Kaslin
At long last, there’s a bit of sanity coming out of a Georgia poll.
A survey released this week by InsiderAdvantage/Fox 5 says Governor Nathan Deal enjoys a wide lead in his bid for re-election. He doubles the support of Democratic state Senator Jason Carter, also the grandson of a certain former president, 44-22 percent.
That tally represents a stark contrast to the narrative that’s repeatedly been pushed by national forces eager to see purple streaks hit the state far sooner than most expect.
MSNBC’s Chris Hayes declared a “liberal movement is brewing in the Peach State.” Public Policy Polling rolled out poll after poll showing Carter was running neck and neck with Deal, and much the same with Michelle Nunn’s chances of claiming a Senate seat for Harry Reid.
Yet all of that was flawed logic.
PPP’s gamed polls offered no measurable proof. Between August and October of 2013, they’d have you believe Georgia’s electoral composition was altered to the tune of near-double digits, and all for the purpose of pushing the red state gone blue storyline in 2014. Onlookers who criticized a survey showing Nunn up 6 over three of her would-be GOP competitors are validated by today’s results.
Though the Senate contest wasn’t included in the poll, it’s highly unlikely that the same audience that gave Deal a 22 percentage point lead over Cater would do enough of a 180 to put a different Democrat in the lead, or dangerously close striking distance for that matter.
To be fair, a gap that wide is highly unlikely to hold over the course of the coming year, as evidenced by Deal not cracking 50 percent in this survey.
Carter will probably raise enough money to burn a wet mule, and he doesn’t have even token primary opposition to make him come off the warchest until then. His last name is Carter, amounting to a double-edged sword in a state like Georgia, but he also doesn’t carry the baggage of former Governor Roy Barnes (Deal’s 2010 opponent), so it’s possible he’ll run better than him.
Yet that hardly means an upset is in the cards.
A separate poll conducted late last year, and not testing head to head contests, placed Deal’s personal favorability at 54 percent and the Republican-dominated General Assembly at 47 percent. That’s compared to 42 percent for President Obama and 11 percent for Congress.
That’s to say nothing of Obamacare. A third of respondents in yet another survey said they felt it’d worsen the quality of healthcare, and 47 percent said they expected to be paying more thanks to the unpopular law.
Carter’s walked a tightrope on the issue, calling it a “mess” but simultaneously advocating for expanding the state’s Medicaid rolls. No matter how much he spins, though, it’s remarkably unlikely that he’ll be able to draw the distance needed from president, party, and policies to actually score a win.
It’s an unenviable task, really.
Democrats are great at wasting our money in Washington; I’m ok with them wasting some of their own in Georgia.
Lying and political propaganda helped get their Marxist comrades elected elsewhere. They will continue to use the methods. This battle, let alone the war is far from over.
Its hard to believe that a Democrat would win anything in GA, but the RINO’s like Chambliss and Isaakson have certainly tarnished the Republican label there.
I doubt that Deal is one of the five percent of authentic conservatives in the GOP.
But if he hasn’t done anything too liberal like RINO Governor Corbett did here in PA with a 28 cent a gallon tax hike on gas, Deal will probably get re-elected.
Remember that all Liberals lie.
And why do they lie ?
They lie because it comes natural to them.
That is a fact and they can't help it.
With the collapse in Obama’s approval rating, I’m ready to call the Georgia seat SAFE
Is this spawn of Amy Carter?
I am not sure why you are worried about Chambliss and Isakson since you are from PA. Are you planning to vote in GA in November?
You mean Jason Carter? No he is her cousin. His father is her older brother, Jack Carter
between Deal and Carter???? no brainer
Since I am a conservative from PA, I thought it would be good to offer some analysis of the situation in GA from my perspective.
Conservatives are 48 votes short of a majority in the US Senate because of liberal Republicans like your two US Senators.
There’s a hot primary for the US Senate coming up in your state later this year, too. I hope a real conservative wins that contest.
I am a conservative from Tennessee, but I don’t butt in other states elections in.
What about the Senate race? I can’t believe Georgians would vote for that idiot simply because of her name. She’s far left ..now trying to deny it..
Thanks.
For folks who promote population control and limited resources, these Dems sure are prolific in the reproduction dept.
You mean Jason is Amy’s nephew.
Georgia is a state in transformation.
Just 55% of Georgia's population is non-Hispanic white.
31% are Black, most of whom are eligible to vote.
9% are Hispanic, but it's difficult to calculate the eligible voters since the Census Bureau counts ALL people “present” in a state, including Green Card and Illegal Alien residents.
In the past, the Old South has been reliably Republican, but only because non-white voter turn out has been historically low, and also because white voter turn out is exceptionally strong, and because Southern whites vote 75% or higher for Republicans.
Two things have changed.
First, the Democrat Party has made non-white voter turn out it's number one priority in 2014.
Second, for the last ten years, the Republican leadership has done everything possible to demoralize Conservatives.
Combine those two facts with two Democrat candidates named “Carter” and “Nunn,” and Conservatives have a VERY serious political problem in Georgia.
Former Democrat, career politician Deal knows where his bread is buttered. Georgia is a conservative state.
We are, but Atlanta and the bedrooms communities eat at that base. That one metro area takes a hugs amount of revenue and encourages entitlement mentality.
In my little town near the NC border the influx of Hispanics has toppled the school system. The immigrants children have little or no prior education (their parents even less) and standards have been lowered to accommodate them. The entire school year now revolves around passing the base testing; that’s all that matters.
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