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Iran can now build and deliver nukes (Clapper to Senate)
Times of Israel ^ | 1/29/2014 | Marissa Newman

Posted on 01/29/2014 9:06:46 PM PST by logi_cal869

Iran now has all the technical infrastructure to produce nuclear weapons should it make the political decision to do, Director of National Intelligence James Clapper wrote in a report to a Senate intelligence committee published Wednesday. However, he added, it could not break out to the bomb without being detected.

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In the “US Intelligence Worldwide Threat Assessment,” delivered to the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, Clapper reported that Tehran has made significant advances recently in its nuclear program to the point where it could produce and deliver nuclear bombs should it be so inclined.

“Tehran has made technical progress in a number of areas — including uranium enrichment, nuclear reactors, and ballistic missiles — from which it could draw if it decided to build missile-deliverable nuclear weapons,” Clapper wrote. “These technical advancements strengthen our assessment that Iran has the scientific, technical, and industrial capacity to eventually produce nuclear weapons. This makes the central issue its political will to do so.”

In the past year alone, the report states, Iran has enhanced its centrifuge designs, increased the number of centrifuges, and amassed a larger quantity of low-enriched uranium hexafluoride. These advancements have placed Iran in a better position to produce weapons-grade uranium.

“Despite this progress, we assess that Iran would not be able to divert safeguarded material and produce enough WGU [weapons grade uranium] for a weapon before such activity would be discovered,” he wrote. Director of National Intelligence (DNI), James Clapper (photo credit: AP Photo/Susan Walsh, File)

Director of National Intelligence (DNI), James Clapper (photo credit: AP Photo/Susan Walsh, File)

He said the increased supervision and other “transparency” to which Iran has agreed under the new interim deal, reached with the world powers in Geneva in November and finalized last week, could offer earlier warning of a breakout to the bomb. Should Iran cooperate with the interim deal, halt enrichment, and “provide transparency,” then “This transparency would provide earlier warning of a breakout using these facilities.”

Clapper told the Senate committee that the interim deal will have an impact on Iran’s nuclear weapons program’s progress and “gets at the key thing we’re interested in and most concerned about,” namely, Iran’s 20 percent enriched uranium.

Iran had also worked hard to advance its program at the Arak heavy water facility, wrote Clapper. Its ballistic missiles, he noted, of which it has “the largest inventory in the Middle East,” are “inherently capable of delivering WMD.” And its space program gives it the means to develop longer-range missiles, including intercontinental ballistic missiles.

“We do not know if Iran will eventually decide to build nuclear weapons,” Clapper wrote. But he noted that Iran’s overarching “strategic goals” were leading it to pursue the capability to do so.

The national intelligence director reiterated that imposing additional sanctions against Iran would be “counterproductive” and would “jeopardize the [interim] agreement.” He advised that additional sanctions against the Islamic Republic should only be kept “in reserve.”

The report was released a day after Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said that the interim nuclear agreement only set back the Islamic Republic’s nuclear program by six weeks.

“This agreement merely set Iran back six weeks — no more — according to our assessments, in relation to its previous position, so that the test, as to denying Iran the ability to manufacture nuclear weapons, has been and remains the permanent agreement, if such [a deal] can indeed be achieved,” Netanyahu said at a conference of the Institute for National Security Studies in Tel Aviv.

Last Wednesday, Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif accused the Obama administration of mischaracterizing the terms of an interim nuclear deal. “We did not agree to dismantle anything,” Zarif told CNN.

Zarif repeated that “we are not dismantling any centrifuges, we’re not dismantling any equipment, we’re simply not producing, not enriching [uranium] over 5%.”

The six-month deal freezes key aspects of Iran’s nuclear program, while allowing limited enrichment to continue, in exchange for some economic sanctions relief. It went into effect on January 20.

The next round of international nuclear negotiations with Iran is expected to be held in New York next month, according to officials involved in the planning.

Israel has threatened to attack Iran should it not back off from its alleged pursuit of a military nuclear capability.

On Tuesday, UN nuclear inspectors arrived in Tehran to visit Iran’s Gachin uranium mine for the first time in several years, Iran’s Atomic Energy Organization spokesman Behrouz Kamalvandi said. The visit was part of the framework of a separate deal between Iran and the International Atomic Energy Agency in November.

Read more: Iran can now build and deliver nukes, US intel reports | The Times of Israel http://www.timesofisrael.com/iran-now-has-nuclear-breakout-capability-us-intel-reports/#ixzz2rr4g4eeN Follow us: @timesofisrael on Twitter | timesofisrael on Facebook


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Israel; News/Current Events; Russia; Syria; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: iran; iraq; israel; jamesclapper; javadzarif; kenyanbornmuzzie; kurdistan; lebanon; lurch; nucleariran; nuclearweapon; russia; saudiarabia; syria; turkey; waronterror
"The sanctions that we put in place helped make this opportunity possible. But let me be clear: if this Congress sends me a new sanctions bill now that threatens to derail these talks, I will veto it. For the sake of our national security, we must give diplomacy a chance to succeed. If Iran's leaders do not seize this opportunity, then I will be the first to call for more sanctions, and stand ready to exercise all options to make sure Iran does not build a nuclear weapon. But if Iran's leaders do seize the chance, then Iran could take an important step to rejoin the community of nations, and we will have resolved one of the leading security challenges of our time without the risks of war."

POTUS POS SOTU 2014

1 posted on 01/29/2014 9:06:46 PM PST by logi_cal869
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To: logi_cal869

Obama lies yet again. This is the most serious of all the lies he told that night. To actually declare not only that Iran are being ‘inspected’, but that they are reducing their stockpile, is weapon’s grade BS.

Netanyahu better fire up the engines on Israel’s bombers. Clock’s ticking...


2 posted on 01/29/2014 9:11:56 PM PST by Viennacon
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To: logi_cal869

I believe all the talk about Israel being the primary target is nothing but subterfuge. Iran will spirit warheads around the globe through established smuggling channels, and then one day we wake up to the biggest hostage crisis in history.


3 posted on 01/29/2014 9:13:04 PM PST by SpaceBar
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To: SpaceBar

Israel = “Little Satan”

US = “Great Satan.”


4 posted on 01/29/2014 9:22:12 PM PST by Cyber Liberty (H.L. Mencken: "The urge to save humanity is almost always a false front for the urge to rule.")
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To: Viennacon
Rep Steve Stockman had a nice comment:

“It’s becoming a dangerous world and the seeds the President unknowningly [sic] or not has sown are going to bear bitter fruit and kill many.”

5 posted on 01/29/2014 9:23:44 PM PST by logi_cal869
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To: logi_cal869

NWO intelligence chiefs pushing hard to justify immense espionage and military spending. Oversight is a joke.

The banking families pushing real hard in news media as well to create fear in Americans, fear of everything.

Israel is being attacked ! We must bomb Iran ! Terrorists are all over the place ! Militarize the police ! America is paralyzed by snow and cold ! Snowden is letting out all our livesaving secrets !

According to news media, all you can trust in is American socialism and the news media.

The US government is run by the elite global financiers.


6 posted on 01/29/2014 9:24:10 PM PST by PieterCasparzen (We have to fix things ourselves)
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To: logi_cal869
Iran now has all the technical infrastructure to produce nuclear weapons should it make the political decision to do

How stupid do these idiots think we are? Those A holes made that decision a long time ago.

7 posted on 01/29/2014 9:27:04 PM PST by Mark17 (Chicago Blackhawks: Stanley Cup champions 2010, 2013. Vietnam Vet 70-71 Msgt US Air Force, retired)
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To: All


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8 posted on 01/29/2014 9:29:40 PM PST by musicman (Until I see the REAL Long Form Vault BC, he's just "PRES__ENT" Obama = Without "ID")
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To: logi_cal869

The h*ll with that mouth-breather Clapper. Lets hear what Ed Snowden has.


9 posted on 01/29/2014 9:31:37 PM PST by Zuben Elgenubi (NOPe to GOPe)
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To: logi_cal869

Want it just last year or so bammy and crew were telling us Iran was years, like ten plus years, from having a bomb? Lying POS.


10 posted on 01/29/2014 9:37:13 PM PST by ThunderSleeps (Stop obarma now! Stop the hussein - insane agenda!)
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To: Mark17

Yes, but we will be able to detect one if they set it off.

Bread and circuses on the tube tonight.


11 posted on 01/29/2014 9:37:39 PM PST by JohnnyP
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To: logi_cal869

Another Obama Kerry defense and foreign policy “achievement.” Alas!. Now USA is vulnerable ( and as their declared number one “great satan” target) to nuclear attacks from this bunch of aggressive mad men. Pray for America! .


12 posted on 01/29/2014 9:43:29 PM PST by faithhopecharity (C)
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To: Zuben Elgenubi

Why hasn’t Clapper been at the short end of an indictment for lying to Congress? Hell the feds went after Clemmons and wasted tons of money trying to do so.


13 posted on 01/29/2014 9:46:31 PM PST by Lawgvr1955 ( Sic Semper Tyrannis)
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To: Mark17

“How stupid do these idiots think we are?”

For the most part, pretty stupid, actually. They apparently aren’t wrong, either.


14 posted on 01/29/2014 9:50:51 PM PST by The Antiyuppie ("When small men cast long shadows, then it is very late in the day.")
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To: All

in ten or twenty years, when the history of this era is written, I think we’ll find that the same thing we now realize about the soviets, that they had no desire for a suicidal nuclear war, will apply to iran. and that their hatred for Israel, while probably real, was used mostly to whip up the the populace.
all governments, good or bad, always need an external enemy.


15 posted on 01/29/2014 9:53:13 PM PST by willywill
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To: logi_cal869
Sí se puede!
16 posted on 01/29/2014 9:54:27 PM PST by OneWingedShark (Q: Why am I here? A: To do Justly, to love mercy, and to walk humbly with my God.)
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To: SpaceBar

If Israel were nuke-baked, the militar-political chain reaction would put the entire world in volley-bomb mode anyway


17 posted on 01/29/2014 9:58:13 PM PST by Moose Burger
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To: Viennacon

All this hope that little Israel or the Arabs might take out the islamoNazi nuke factories was, I think, pretty much ended when Obama threatened war against anybody that dared to do it. (Remember Obama has the USAF deployed all around Iran protecting those factories.).


18 posted on 01/29/2014 9:59:44 PM PST by faithhopecharity (C)
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To: Lawgvr1955

>> for lying to Congress?

You mean the kabuki theater?

I’d rather have Clapper hunting nukes than dancing for Snowden.


19 posted on 01/29/2014 10:04:20 PM PST by Gene Eric (Don't be a statist!)
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To: Gene Eric
Clapper has already been caught lying under oath. Why shouldn't he do so once again in order to increase the power of his agency and shroud its activities in secrecy?

I don't trust the guy and Snowden has shown us the "intelligence" community in general cannot be trusted.

20 posted on 01/29/2014 10:42:08 PM PST by Robwin
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To: willywill

I’d be more inclined to take comfort in that if the Iranian leadership didn’t believe in martyrdom and madhis.


21 posted on 01/29/2014 10:51:11 PM PST by edpc (Wilby 2016)
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To: edpc; All

It is very hard to threaten suicide bombers.


22 posted on 01/29/2014 11:22:05 PM PST by gleeaikin
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To: edpc

I’m worried too. MAD worked with the Soviets because they were reasonably sane by our standards. Different political views, but still fundamentally sane. Not so with radical Islam. They believe it is their Allah-assigned duty to destroy Israel and they will be rewarded. No thought, no concern for earthly consequences. So while having a counter-strike capability is necessary (to ultimately stop them once weapons start flying) it will not deter them. I believe nothing will. That is why missile defense is vitally important - it will be needed. It will be used.


23 posted on 01/30/2014 1:26:56 AM PST by ThunderSleeps (Stop obarma now! Stop the hussein - insane agenda!)
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To: logi_cal869

World War III...coming soon to a nation near you!


24 posted on 01/30/2014 3:43:13 AM PST by BCW (Salva reipublicae)
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To: ThunderSleeps

Exactly. They believe the world needs to be washed in blood for order to be established. How can you possibly negotiate with someone like that?


25 posted on 01/30/2014 4:36:48 AM PST by edpc (Wilby 2016)
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To: edpc

we have become dangerously weakened. WE should have taken these fanatics word years ago when they threatened to destroy Israel and wipe out the great satan.

When we had MAD with the soviets we knew they had tens of millions killed last century and didn’t seem to have a taste for nuclear war. But these fanatics in IRan are not influenced by those concerns.

When the Hero of Benghazi ran he said he would sit down and talk to them, but they are giving nothing in return. Meanwhile the clock ticks as they build up their capabilities.

My one objection to going into Iraq is that we should have gone into Iran instead.


26 posted on 01/30/2014 4:41:26 AM PST by morphing libertarian
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To: willywill
“in ten or twenty years, when the history of this era is written ... they had no desire for a suicidal nuclear war”

You do understand that the mullahs view a nuclear war differently than the old Soviets (who were primarily concerned with the defense of the Motherland)?

To the mullahs nuclear war is a religious obligation. Massive blood must be spilled to bring the 12th Iman out of the well, ushering in the end of the human race which will reside in Paradise thereafter.

The mullahs do not care how many Iranians die, as those deaths would be viewed as martyrs sent to Paradise. Ayatollah Khomeini laid the foundations for that religious point of view on nuclear war Iranian deaths.

The mullahs see their citizens as cannon fodder - to be used and disposed of in any effective manner to achieve the religious end result. Any one who is not in the mullahs sect is the enemy and a means to an end, just ask the thousands of children who rode motorbikes through mine fields, clearing them one child's life at a time.

To the pact at hand: it only applies to the civilian or public side of the Iranian nuclear program - the military is free to proceed uninspected and unimpeded. And just what Obama agreed to in the secret part of the pact, no one - other than the immediate signatories - knows.

27 posted on 01/30/2014 4:43:15 AM PST by PIF (They came for me and mine ... now it is your turn ...)
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To: SpaceBar

The Gulf Arab nations are the Iranian target.

They want the twin prizes of wealth and Mecca


28 posted on 01/30/2014 4:47:34 AM PST by bert ((K.E. N.P. N.C. +12 ..... History is a process, not an event)
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To: morphing libertarian

At the time it was mentioned I believe the axis of evil was actually Syria, Iran, and North Korea. It’s been known for decades that Syria is a puppet state of Iran anyway. In my opinion the Iranians will just continue outsourcing their nuclear program to North Korea. The North Koreans are known to cooperate with Iran on missiles and nukes. That way the program continues and IAEA inspectors would never find anything in Iran.


29 posted on 01/30/2014 4:53:41 AM PST by edpc (Wilby 2016)
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To: edpc

That’s not the basis for my comment. I don’t care where they hide stuff, they should have been subjected to “regime” change. Soon we will have NK to deal with.

In the last 10 years, the whole balance of power has shifted, some away from us because we don’t have the will to turn off the TV.


30 posted on 01/30/2014 5:00:11 AM PST by morphing libertarian
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To: ThunderSleeps

Just curious: What part of missile defense stops a missile launched from a tanker 500 miles offshore?


31 posted on 01/30/2014 5:17:38 AM PST by logi_cal869
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To: logi_cal869

Moslems only make treaties when they are weak, and aborogate them as soon as they again have the advantage.


32 posted on 01/30/2014 5:29:28 AM PST by Excellence (All your database are belong to us.)
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To: logi_cal869
The Israelis have or are developing three different systems, Arrow, David's Sling, and Iron Dome. They may have some Patriot batteries too. Layered defense. Seems to be working pretty well for them so far. Question would be, are they looking out over the Med or only at their neighbors?

Us? As far as I know nothing. We used to have radars watching the oceans looking for Soviet submarine launched ICBMs. Don't know if they are still operating. I haven't heard of any deployments of defensive batteries (Patriot, Hawk, THAAD, or Aegis/BMD ships) to coastal areas where we'd get a shot at it, even if we saw it coming.

That hasn't been a priority (I guess) - more worried about countering the developing threat of ICBM launches out of NK or Iran. But with the ongoing proliferation of better and better short and medium range ballistic missiles, and unstable states developing deliverable WMD warheads... Yeah, I think closing the border and watching the oceans again are going to have to become priorities. Along with deploying systems that'd have a shot at something if it was detected.

33 posted on 01/30/2014 5:41:40 AM PST by ThunderSleeps (Stop obarma now! Stop the hussein - insane agenda!)
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To: PIF

“You do understand that the mullahs view a nuclear war differently than the old Soviets (who were primarily concerned with the defense of the Motherland)?”

in actuality, I agree with the points you made. however, since I personally can’t do much about it, I have the luxury of saying just as Obama can look right in the camera and lie to us in order to get some to believe him, it’s possible Iranian leaders like their positions of power and talk the talk they do to keep their citizens in line.


34 posted on 01/30/2014 10:48:23 AM PST by willywill
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To: willywill
“Iranian leaders like their positions of power and talk the talk they do to keep their citizens in line.”

The use Palestinian thugs for that job.

The mullahs are True Believers - a Shiite sect - and they truly do believe every word.

35 posted on 01/30/2014 2:20:34 PM PST by PIF (They came for me and mine ... now it is your turn ...)
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To: logi_cal869

Is the country truly worth saving any more?


36 posted on 01/30/2014 2:26:04 PM PST by Lazamataz (Early 2009 to 7/21/2013 - RIP my little girl Cathy. You were the best cat ever. You will be missed.)
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; cardinal4; ColdOne; ...

Thanks logi_cal869.


37 posted on 01/30/2014 5:36:50 PM PST by SunkenCiv (http://www.freerepublic.com/~mestamachine/)
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To: ThunderSleeps
I read you; I have major frustrations over it. I was referring to our multi-billion $$ BMD (Ballistic Missile Defense), which I always considered a boondoggle. NASA had maneuverable-jet tech at the time & anyone with half a brain knew it could be applied to MIRVs, or single warhead LVs. Worse, the US was pioneering HSV (hypersonic), which when applied to offensive weapons renders BMD moot. Not even going to discuss the US military complete ignorance of the Russian P700/P800 or, for that matter, its natural evolution, the Brahmos II (no designation yet).

Worse even, the image below is a mockup display of a P800 on not a military vessel, but a commercial-profile vessel.

Ironically, recent reports (last week) refer to the deployment of 'blimps'.

38 posted on 01/31/2014 8:42:59 AM PST by logi_cal869
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