I think it would be safe to say that Grimm has lost the GOP Seat for us in New York after threatening to throw a reporter over the balcony Tuesday night after the SOTU speech.
I haven’t been keeping up on current events in that much detail—I saw the headline, but didn’t know who made the comment, or more importantly, where they are from. My general impression of New York districts is that you are probably on the money—there are two sorts of NY districts—Democratic and swing. The question is whether or not he will drop out rather than lose.
Grimm is from Staten Island which a pretty Republican borough compared to the others. Chances are his seat would stay in Republican hands. SI was really hammered by the hurricane and the residents aren’t too happy with Barry.