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Rasmussen: Cassidy Is Now Beating Landrieu (Louisiana Senate)
The Hayride ^ | January 30, 2014 | Scott McKay

Posted on 01/30/2014 10:51:20 AM PST by abb

Here’s a fresh piece of trouble for Mary Landrieu…

Incumbent Democrat Mary Landrieu runs slightly behind Republican challenger Bill Cassidy in Rasmussen Reports’ first look at the 2014 U.S. Senate race in Louisiana.

A new statewide telephone survey of Likely Louisiana Voters finds Cassidy, a U.S. congressman, with 44% support to Landrieu’s 40%. Five percent (5%) like some other candidate in the race, while 11% are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The poll was done on Tuesday and Wednesday and the sample was 500 people.

Cassidy being up 44-40 on Landrieu really isn’t all that surprising – or at least Landrieu being at 40 isn’t all that surprising. She’s had trouble getting much above 40 in all but the most obviously slanted Democrat polls over the past six months and there isn’t a lot going on that would favor improvement in those numbers. So a slide from the 42-43-44 percent she was showing in the fall to 40 now is very foreseeable.

That Cassidy would be at 44 shows he may be picking up steam.

Rasmussen didn’t detect much support for Rob Maness or Paul Hollis, and the guess here is Maness would poll better than some portion of five percent if the election was today. But that said, it’s not a great survey for Maness – and Hollis’ media blitz following his announcement for the race doesn’t appear to have been effective.

Be that as it may, it’s hard to imagine Maness’ or Hollis’ voters would be Mary voters in a runoff; you can add that five percent to Cassidy’s total (or at least four of that five percent, if you want to hedge a little). That would put Cassidy at 48 or 49 percent in a runoff without even getting to the undecided vote – and if Mary is at 40 percent after 17 years in office, what would make anyone think she could get 85-90 percent of the undecideds she would need to win?

Short answer: that’s not going to happen.

Even shorter answer: she’s cooked if these numbers are even remotely accurate. Something sizable will have to happen for her to change the dynamic.

Landrieu is going to need to find a poll which has drastically different numbers than these, and soon – because if she doesn’t, it’s possible that the national Democrat money might start going someplace else and she might find herself at parity or even disadvantage to Cassidy before it’s done.

Which leaves us with some parting advice for Cassidy: do NOT sign on to the House GOP’s immigration plan, whatever it is. Leave that hot potato in the oven. All it can do is hurt your chances to become tainted with that when if you wait a year you can be part of something that might actually be good policy when Republicans hold both houses of Congress.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: cassidy; landrieu; louisiana; senate
Good news.
1 posted on 01/30/2014 10:51:20 AM PST by abb
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To: abb

I sure hope Cassidy is a staunch 100% conservatives, otherwise he’s lost the Freeper vote. /s


2 posted on 01/30/2014 10:53:08 AM PST by CatOwner
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To: abb

Hey..here’s a thought..the Dems can take the $$ they’d have sent Mary and instead send it to Wendy in Texas..


3 posted on 01/30/2014 10:53:58 AM PST by ken5050 (This space available cheap...)
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To: abb
I can't remember the name of that song with the memorable line "Then Mary Landrieu, she raised up her tutu and she sold us out like a common road whore!"

Can anybody help me here?

4 posted on 01/30/2014 10:55:41 AM PST by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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To: abb

Not Good Enough.

The GOP CAN’T win close elections. The New Orleans gangsters, like the Chicago or Newark Gangsters will manufacture as many DemocRat votes as they need to win in a close elections


5 posted on 01/30/2014 10:56:21 AM PST by ZULU (Magua is sitting in the Oval Office. Ted Cruz/Phil Robertson in 2016.)
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To: CatOwner

Mrs. abb & I live and vote in Louisiana, and we both will be voting for him.


6 posted on 01/30/2014 10:56:37 AM PST by abb
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To: abb
If H.R. 7 comes to the Senate floor, it may really cook Landrieu's goose. She will be pressured by Reid/Obama to vote against, and the people of Louisiana will roast her if she votes against House Resolution 7.

She has gotten in trouble in the past over abortion.

And I am tired of her.

Obamacare is cooking Landrieu's goose as well...

7 posted on 01/30/2014 10:59:25 AM PST by topher (Traditional values -- especially family values -- which have been proven over time.)
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To: abb

Obumma will throw her a bone with the flood insurance extension and she will look like a hero. Makes me sick.


8 posted on 01/30/2014 11:00:48 AM PST by katwoman5779
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To: ken5050

Wendy in Texas.

She’s got the baby killers over a the Girl Scout cookie pushers behind her


9 posted on 01/30/2014 11:03:35 AM PST by stanne
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To: ZULU

You’re right, Dems can easily manufacture sufficient votes to cover a mere 4% deficit. They won’t even break a sweat doing this. You need at least a 6 or 7 point advantage to be anywhere near safe.


10 posted on 01/30/2014 11:03:44 AM PST by Starboard
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To: ken5050

They bought and voted out her first election and have been buying it since then. Her family name served her well enough when she was a presentable blonde. However, her fondness for pork chops and fried chicken (and the resulting topographical changes resulting therefrom) have not stood her in good stead.

Here’s hoping she’s relegated to the pile of forgotten, hagged out Louisiana politicians forever.


11 posted on 01/30/2014 11:26:21 AM PST by Gaffer
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To: CatOwner

I’m with Ronald Reagan.
I’ll take 80%.


12 posted on 01/30/2014 11:28:29 AM PST by MistrX
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To: abb

Headline day after election:
“Democrat operative finds box of ballots in car trunk, votes clinch victory for Landrieu.”


13 posted on 01/30/2014 11:30:46 AM PST by MistrX
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To: MistrX
"I’m with Ronald Reagan. I’ll take 80%."

I agree, but so many conservatives here are in the 100% or nothing boat. They either want everything fixed NOW or they're not voting. Obama is the result of such thinking.

14 posted on 01/30/2014 11:34:09 AM PST by CatOwner
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To: CatOwner

I’ve only voted for one “perfect candidate” in my lifetime, since I first began voting in 1971. In 1982, I ran for a city council seat and pulled the lever for myself.

Every other election, I had to vote for the lesser of two evils.


15 posted on 01/30/2014 11:39:04 AM PST by abb
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To: abb
I've contributed to Maness, but I know little about LA politics. I'm surprised Cassaday's campaign has never asked for money from me. Usually I'm on everyone's list.
16 posted on 01/30/2014 12:20:37 PM PST by JoeFromSidney (Book: Resistance to Tyranny. Buy from Amazon.)
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To: CatOwner

He’s not. Was rejected out of hand by SCF. We can do better than that in Louisiana, so I back Maness, but he is going to have to blitz it to be in with a shot.


17 posted on 01/30/2014 12:30:36 PM PST by Viennacon
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To: Gaffer

If another poll confirms she’s mired at 40, I’m going to move Louisiana where I moved Arkansas... into the sure pickup column. Buh bye Mary!


18 posted on 01/30/2014 12:31:32 PM PST by Viennacon
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To: CatOwner

He’s good enough for a general election but we could do better in the primary.

Hollis, I think, is going fishing for a future run. When Vitter leaves in 2015 to be governor, we’re going to have a seat to fill and I think he wants to get his name out as a hopeful so he has a shot then.

The ideal guy would be Senate Conservative Fund backed candidate Rob Maness.

If Cassidy wins the primary, I think most conservatives will vote for him without feeling like they’re compromising though he isn’t as courageous as we want.


19 posted on 01/30/2014 12:43:12 PM PST by Bogey78O (We had a good run. Coulda been great still.)
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To: CatOwner

IMHO, Cassidy is a well concealed RINO. If he were the only opponent to ML, I would hold my nose while casting my vote for him. My choice is Manness, the teal party choice at this time and also of Michael Berry, who hates Landrieu.


20 posted on 01/30/2014 12:44:28 PM PST by LaMudBug
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To: Starboard

In a state wide race in Louisiana, the Demorats get 96% of the black vote, the union vote and also are supported by the Sheriff’s of the different Parishes; add to that the white liberal eggheads and it comes awfully close to 50%, plus the mayor of N.O. is ML’s brother.

It will be a close election, IMHO....


21 posted on 01/30/2014 12:53:59 PM PST by LaMudBug
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To: Viennacon

We need Jeff Landry to run.


22 posted on 01/30/2014 1:35:28 PM PST by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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To: abb

Good, couldn’t happen to a bigger b*tch!

(sorry John)


23 posted on 01/30/2014 2:41:20 PM PST by Leofl (I'm from Texas, we don't dial 9-11)
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To: LaMudBug

I don’t think Maness holds up very well in a one-on-one race against Landrieu. He’s only lived in Louisiana a few years and still owqns a (subsidized) farming operation in Indiana. It would be hard for him to escape the carpetbagger label.


24 posted on 01/31/2014 6:12:38 PM PST by Plummz (pro-constitution, anti-corruption)
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