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Another poll shows the new GOP frontrunner is Mike Huckabee
Hotair ^ | 02/03/2014 | AllahPundit

Posted on 02/03/2014 6:29:15 PM PST by SeekAndFind

One poll showing him ahead is a fluke. Two polls showing him ahead? We call that “momentum.”

I’m not in the habit of making pledges, but I promise you this: I will never, ever tire of trolling you guys with numbers showing Huck as some sort of contender for the nomination. Ever.

Fourteen percent of Republicans and independents who lean toward the GOP say they would likely support Huckabee for their party’s nomination if he runs.

Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky is next at 13% followed by former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and Christie tied at 10%…

That’s a change from November, when Christie was 11 points ahead of the rest of the field. Huckabee was not tested in the November survey…

“Because Huckabee was not included in the November poll, any drop in Christie’s support among Republicans may be partly due to Huckabee as well as recent news stories. So it’s impossible to calculate exactly how much support Christie lost as a result of the bridge controversy. But it’s a pretty safe bet that the drop in Christie’s support against Clinton is due to the recent news stories about the bridge,” added Holland.

Huck siphoning support from Christie? Hmmm. In PPP’s poll last week, it was Ted Cruz whom he was stealing votes from. That made sense, since they’re both targeting social conservatives; in fact, it was among older voters, who trend more socially conservative, that Huckabee excelled in PPP’s data. CNN didn’t post the crosstabs for today’s survey but I think the pollster’s right that Christie’s dive has less to do with Huck than with Bridgegate exploding his advantage over the rest of the field. If you’re a Huck-hater and you’re looking for a silver lining in data like this possibly luring him into the field, here’s the best I can do: If he won Iowa and Rand Paul won New Hampshire, that’s as close as we’ll ever get to a pure libertarian-versus-social-conservatives battle of ideas in the primaries. I think Rand would win, mainly because he’s a lot more acceptable to Huckabee’s base than Huckabee is to his, but either way it sure would be fun to blog.

By the way, both of them get utterly crushed by Hillary in CNN’s hypothetical 2016 match-ups, 57-39 in Paul’s case and 56-39 in Huck’s. The big news from the poll, though, is that Christie’s now in the same boat. He trails 55-39 after having led her 48-46 as recently as December. In theory, that’s not a fatal wound; all he has to do is get past Bridgegate and start rebuilding his numbers to become Mr. Electable again. But how does he get past Bridgegate when Jersey Democrats are resolved to drag it out as long as possible to wound him? And how does he rebuild his numbers with independents and Democrats as we get closer to 2016 without another storm intervening? Lots of righties, me among them, have pointed out that second-term presidents rarely see their approval rating rebound once it’s nosedived like Obama’s has. I suspect the same is true of governors, especially ones who are tied down by scandal. Even if Christie comes back a little, how much would his numbers need to improve to convince center-righties that he’s worth gambling on for electability reasons more than center-right politicians whom they like better, like Scott Walker or Marco Rubio?


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Arkansas
KEYWORDS: 2016election; 2016gopprimary; 2016polls; arkansas; election2016; gop; huckabee2016; mikehuckabee; potus
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I'm sure that someone at FR can always find fault with this candidate and that...
1 posted on 02/03/2014 6:29:15 PM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

The Huckster? The faults pile up like skyscrapers. NO FREAKIN’ WAY.


2 posted on 02/03/2014 6:33:17 PM PST by Viennacon
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To: SeekAndFind
I'm sure that someone at FR can always find fault with this candidate and that...

Especially if that candidate is nothing but a Christian Socialist believing that "Big Government" can be used to solve almost every problem like Mike "The Huckster" Huckabee believes.
3 posted on 02/03/2014 6:33:30 PM PST by SoConPubbie (Mitt and Obama: They're the same poison, just a different potency)
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To: SeekAndFind

Oy givalt!

CC


4 posted on 02/03/2014 6:33:46 PM PST by Celtic Conservative (tease not the dragon for thou art crunchy when roasted and taste good with ketchup)
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To: SeekAndFind

Seriously? Polls 2 yrs out are almost solely based on name ID.


5 posted on 02/03/2014 6:33:48 PM PST by CWW (Pray for God's Protection!)
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To: SeekAndFind

He’s a loser...NO Huckabee!


6 posted on 02/03/2014 6:34:41 PM PST by WellyP (question!)
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To: SeekAndFind
Huckabee's girth is closing in on Christie's rotund diameter.

Huckabee. The Huckster. Snake Oil Salesman.

7 posted on 02/03/2014 6:34:59 PM PST by NautiNurse (Obama sends U.S. Marines to pick up his dog & basketballs. Benghazi? Nope.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Polled front runners won’t matter until the dust settles on the 2014 mid-terms, and we see how the “new Senate” deals with Obama.

Until we have that frame of reference, there is no mechanism to project the attitude of the voters, and the personalities that best meet that demand.


8 posted on 02/03/2014 6:36:45 PM PST by G Larry
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To: SeekAndFind

Now that Christie’s screwed up, it’s time to revert to this loon? The GOP-e is insane.


9 posted on 02/03/2014 6:36:47 PM PST by Politicalkiddo (Forgiveness is the fragrance that the violet sheds on the heel that has crused it. -M. Twain)
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To: SeekAndFind

I suppose this polling is the reason for the media’s group effort of editing Huck’s words to appear to mean the opposite of what he actually said about women.

Seems to me the MSM by law should have to declare all their reporting as partisan campaign donations to the rat party in general and now Hillary in particular.


10 posted on 02/03/2014 6:36:54 PM PST by Aria ( 2008 & 2012 weren't elections - they were coup d'etats.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Like libs, he loves to commute the sentences of violent criminals.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/12/01/AR2009120102601.html


11 posted on 02/03/2014 6:36:55 PM PST by CaptainK (...please make it stop. Shake a can of pennies at it.)
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To: SeekAndFind

When he was governor he set up an account so that taxpayers who wanted to voluntarily pay more in taxes could send the money in and stop crying about raising everybody’s taxes.

Everything since that has been downhill.


12 posted on 02/03/2014 6:37:49 PM PST by morphing libertarian
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To: SeekAndFind

Good, just what we need another idiot.


13 posted on 02/03/2014 6:38:18 PM PST by bmwcyle (People who do not study history are destine to believe really ignorant statements.)
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To: SeekAndFind

I can find no fault with Palin or Cruz. Huckaphony is a road kill diner.


14 posted on 02/03/2014 6:39:26 PM PST by VRWC For Truth (Roberts has perverted the Constitution)
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To: SeekAndFind

It’s a trap, promise


15 posted on 02/03/2014 6:43:04 PM PST by Moose Burger
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To: SeekAndFind

Click on the poll. It says NOTHING about Gomer Huckleberry, Hillary or anything like that, it’s an Obama poll. Something is rotten in Denmark.

http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2014/images/02/03/rel3b.pdf


16 posted on 02/03/2014 6:43:09 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (Jealousy is when you count someone else's blessings instead of your own.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Nope.


17 posted on 02/03/2014 6:45:06 PM PST by SoFloFreeper
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To: SeekAndFind

Charlatanism is never the answer.


18 posted on 02/03/2014 6:47:11 PM PST by samadams2000 (Someone important make......The Call!)
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To: Viennacon
Nooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo!!!!

vaudine

19 posted on 02/03/2014 7:01:04 PM PST by vaudine
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To: SeekAndFind

Are we in that bad a shape that this is even conceivable?


20 posted on 02/03/2014 7:02:08 PM PST by Rebelbase (Tagline: optional, printed after your name on post)
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