Skip to comments.Another poll shows the new GOP frontrunner is … Mike Huckabee
Posted on 02/03/2014 6:29:15 PM PST by SeekAndFind
One poll showing him ahead is a fluke. Two polls showing him ahead? We call that “momentum.”
I’m not in the habit of making pledges, but I promise you this: I will never, ever tire of trolling you guys with numbers showing Huck as some sort of contender for the nomination. Ever.
Fourteen percent of Republicans and independents who lean toward the GOP say they would likely support Huckabee for their party’s nomination if he runs.
Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky is next at 13% followed by former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and Christie tied at 10%…
That’s a change from November, when Christie was 11 points ahead of the rest of the field. Huckabee was not tested in the November survey…
“Because Huckabee was not included in the November poll, any drop in Christie’s support among Republicans may be partly due to Huckabee as well as recent news stories. So it’s impossible to calculate exactly how much support Christie lost as a result of the bridge controversy. But it’s a pretty safe bet that the drop in Christie’s support against Clinton is due to the recent news stories about the bridge,” added Holland.
Huck siphoning support from Christie? Hmmm. In PPP’s poll last week, it was Ted Cruz whom he was stealing votes from. That made sense, since they’re both targeting social conservatives; in fact, it was among older voters, who trend more socially conservative, that Huckabee excelled in PPP’s data. CNN didn’t post the crosstabs for today’s survey but I think the pollster’s right that Christie’s dive has less to do with Huck than with Bridgegate exploding his advantage over the rest of the field. If you’re a Huck-hater and you’re looking for a silver lining in data like this possibly luring him into the field, here’s the best I can do: If he won Iowa and Rand Paul won New Hampshire, that’s as close as we’ll ever get to a pure libertarian-versus-social-conservatives battle of ideas in the primaries. I think Rand would win, mainly because he’s a lot more acceptable to Huckabee’s base than Huckabee is to his, but either way it sure would be fun to blog.
By the way, both of them get utterly crushed by Hillary in CNN’s hypothetical 2016 match-ups, 57-39 in Paul’s case and 56-39 in Huck’s. The big news from the poll, though, is that Christie’s now in the same boat. He trails 55-39 after having led her 48-46 as recently as December. In theory, that’s not a fatal wound; all he has to do is get past Bridgegate and start rebuilding his numbers to become Mr. Electable again. But how does he get past Bridgegate when Jersey Democrats are resolved to drag it out as long as possible to wound him? And how does he rebuild his numbers with independents and Democrats as we get closer to 2016 without another storm intervening? Lots of righties, me among them, have pointed out that second-term presidents rarely see their approval rating rebound once it’s nosedived like Obama’s has. I suspect the same is true of governors, especially ones who are tied down by scandal. Even if Christie comes back a little, how much would his numbers need to improve to convince center-righties that he’s worth gambling on for electability reasons more than center-right politicians whom they like better, like Scott Walker or Marco Rubio?
The Huckster? The faults pile up like skyscrapers. NO FREAKIN’ WAY.
Seriously? Polls 2 yrs out are almost solely based on name ID.
He’s a loser...NO Huckabee!
Huckabee. The Huckster. Snake Oil Salesman.
Polled front runners won’t matter until the dust settles on the 2014 mid-terms, and we see how the “new Senate” deals with Obama.
Until we have that frame of reference, there is no mechanism to project the attitude of the voters, and the personalities that best meet that demand.
Now that Christie’s screwed up, it’s time to revert to this loon? The GOP-e is insane.
I suppose this polling is the reason for the media’s group effort of editing Huck’s words to appear to mean the opposite of what he actually said about women.
Seems to me the MSM by law should have to declare all their reporting as partisan campaign donations to the rat party in general and now Hillary in particular.
Like libs, he loves to commute the sentences of violent criminals.
When he was governor he set up an account so that taxpayers who wanted to voluntarily pay more in taxes could send the money in and stop crying about raising everybody’s taxes.
Everything since that has been downhill.
Good, just what we need another idiot.
I can find no fault with Palin or Cruz. Huckaphony is a road kill diner.
It’s a trap, promise
Click on the poll. It says NOTHING about Gomer Huckleberry, Hillary or anything like that, it’s an Obama poll. Something is rotten in Denmark.
Charlatanism is never the answer.
Are we in that bad a shape that this is even conceivable?