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Texas Sen. Cornyn in Danger Zone Against GOP Primary Opponent
jpupdates.com ^ | 2/16/14 | Sol Rieger

Posted on 02/17/2014 5:51:18 AM PST by cotton1706

In the latest poll out of Texas by Human Events-Gravis Marketing, there’s some trouble for current Senator John Cornyn who is running for re-election.

When asked “if the election were held today, would you vote for Republican Steve Stockman or Republican John Cornyn?” Cornyn holds a 15-point lead, 43% to 28% Stockman, while 29% of the voters are still undecided.

Douglas Kaplan of Gravis Marketing said, “Congressman Stockman is much closer than expected. Cornyn is under 50% with a significant amount still undecided, which is dangerous territory for an incumbent. The poll was conducted before Cornyn’s recent cloture vote on raising the debt limit, which could hurt him among conservative primary voters.”

When asked if they approve of Rep. Stockman, 55% said they’re unsure while 28% approved and 18% disapproved. When asked the same about Sen. John Cornyn 49% said they approve, 26% disapprove and 24% were unsure.

The poll was conducted between 2/10/14 and 2/12/14, 729 likely Republican voters articulated in the phone survey. The poll has margin of error 3.6%

(Excerpt) Read more at jpupdates.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: elections; texas

1 posted on 02/17/2014 5:51:18 AM PST by cotton1706
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To: cotton1706
Even with this positive news, the poster that is always negative on the Cornyn threads will be here to try to kill momentum. I'm getting tired of the pro-establishment trolls.

I'll be glad when Cornyn gets retired.

/johnny

2 posted on 02/17/2014 5:55:48 AM PST by JRandomFreeper (Gone Galt)
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To: cotton1706

Poll Details

Not sure of what the impact would be but this poll is only asking about Cornyn and Stockman.
Nothing is asked about the other six candidates and they will get some votes.


3 posted on 02/17/2014 5:56:54 AM PST by deport
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To: deport
I think the poll was also taken before the cloture vote. Cornyn is getting hammered for the cloture vote, and I'm sure that isn't going to help him in the polls.

/johnny

4 posted on 02/17/2014 6:00:51 AM PST by JRandomFreeper (Gone Galt)
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To: deport

Poll was taken before Cornyn’s most recent cloture vote. The poll supports strong ABC support so chance for runoff is looking better.


5 posted on 02/17/2014 6:02:51 AM PST by jimbo123
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To: JRandomFreeper

“Even with this positive news, the poster that is always negative on the Cornyn threads will be here to try to kill momentum. I’m getting tired of the pro-establishment trolls.
I’ll be glad when Cornyn gets retired.”

He’s nothing but a wet blanket.


6 posted on 02/17/2014 6:03:17 AM PST by cotton1706
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To: cotton1706

Dwayne Stovall
http://www.texansforstovall.com/
https://www.facebook.com/pages/Texans-For-Stovall/155741434543722
https://twitter.com/dwaynestovall

Steve Stockman
http://www.stockman2014.com/
https://www.facebook.com/congressmanstevestockman
https://twitter.com/stockmansenate

Linda Vega
http://www.lindavegafortexas.net/
https://www.facebook.com/lindavegafortexas.net
https://twitter.com/LindaVega4Texas

Chris Mapp
http://mappforussenate.com/
https://www.facebook.com/mappforussenate
https://twitter.com/c_mapp

Ken Cope
http://www.copetexas.com/
https://www.facebook.com/copetexas
https://twitter.com/CopeTexas

Curt Cleaver
http://www.curtcleaver.com/
https://www.facebook.com/curtcleaver
https://twitter.com/cleaver4senate

Reid Reasor
https://www.facebook.com/pages/Colonel-Reasor-for-US-Senate-Texas-Cornyn-has-to-go/216804378487564

John Cornyn
http://www.johncornyn.com/
https://www.facebook.com/johncornyn
https://twitter.com/JohnCornyn


7 posted on 02/17/2014 6:06:59 AM PST by jimbo123
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To: JRandomFreeper

Not only that, but early voting starts tomorrow. Cornyn’s cloture vote is
still on the minds of angry conservatives.
Keep him under 50% and Cornyn could be a goner in the run-off.


8 posted on 02/17/2014 6:10:23 AM PST by tennmountainman (Just Say No To Obamacare)
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To: cotton1706

He’s dead in the water. If there is a runoff, all the ABC voters will vote for any opponent. It’s over for him.


9 posted on 02/17/2014 6:16:44 AM PST by McGavin999
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To: cotton1706

Dump Cornrow.


10 posted on 02/17/2014 6:19:12 AM PST by VRWC For Truth (Roberts has perverted the Constitution)
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To: cotton1706

Ahhh. 43% and surely going down since the poll was taken. Cornyn’s got to be sweating. And him sweating has got to be making other prominent RINOs sweat, as well.


11 posted on 02/17/2014 6:34:53 AM PST by Paine in the Neck (Our Lives, our Fortunes, and our sacred Honor)
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To: JRandomFreeper

The Texas Eeyore


12 posted on 02/17/2014 6:36:21 AM PST by Paine in the Neck (Our Lives, our Fortunes, and our sacred Honor)
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To: cotton1706

The poll should have included Stovall, who presumably would have been in third place. Then we could analyze the strength of Stockman and Stovall.


13 posted on 02/17/2014 6:53:46 AM PST by Theodore R. (Alas: TX Republicans to endorse Cornball and George P! Stay tuned March 4)
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To: Paine in the Neck

This 43 percent is diehard establishment backing and includes Rick Perry and presumably his former rival, Kay Bailey Hutchison. Did Cornball back Perry or Hutchison in 2010? I can’t remember.


14 posted on 02/17/2014 7:08:50 AM PST by Theodore R. (Alas: TX Republicans to endorse Cornball and George P! Stay tuned March 4)
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To: tennmountainman

If Dewhurst and Cornball both go into a runoff, quie sabe?


15 posted on 02/17/2014 7:09:54 AM PST by Theodore R. (Alas: TX Republicans to endorse Cornball and George P! Stay tuned March 4)
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To: JRandomFreeper

I was wondering if something like this was about to come out as the Hill had an article saying it was all over and he had no traction. You can always tell you are doing well when the usual suspects try and claim its all over.


16 posted on 02/17/2014 7:13:32 AM PST by icwhatudo (Low taxes and less spending in Sodom and Gomorrah is not my idea of a conservative victory)
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To: Theodore R.

Dewhurst is not in the race. But I am guessing you are comparing some
other candidate to Dewhurst.


17 posted on 02/17/2014 7:16:51 AM PST by tennmountainman (Just Say No To Obamacare)
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To: cotton1706

Conservative commentator Hugh Hewitt said on his radio program the other day that all of the Senators and Congressmen under attack by the Tea Party—Cornyn, Graham, McConnell, Boehner, etc.—will survive the primaries.


18 posted on 02/17/2014 7:48:54 AM PST by Fiji Hill
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To: JRandomFreeper

Even with this positive news, the poster that is always negative on the Cornyn threads will be here to try to kill momentum. I’m getting tired of the pro-establishment trolls.
______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
You must be talking about Theodore. I expose him as a RINO-loving troll every chance I get.


19 posted on 02/17/2014 8:04:00 AM PST by Din Maker
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To: tennmountainman; All

In the last GOP midterm Primary in 2010, only 16.4 percent of registered voters in Texas voted. Texas is 48th in the nation in voter turn out. That is good news for our team. Conservatives who want Cornyn defeated will turn out; the uninformed, name-ID voters won’t. Now, let me say this.....

All anti-Cornyn voters need to vote early because I’m praying for high winds and thunder storms in Texas on March 4th. The anti-Cornyn voters will swim to the polls; sissy RINO supporters won’t. EARLY VOTING STARTS TOMORROW IN TEXAS; FEBRUARY 18TH.


20 posted on 02/17/2014 8:10:02 AM PST by Din Maker
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To: Fiji Hill; All

Conservative commentator Hugh Hewitt said on his radio program the other day that all of the Senators and Congressmen under attack by the Tea Party—Cornyn, Graham, McConnell, Boehner, etc.—will survive the primaries.
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
I bet he was one of the political pundits who predicted that Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst with all of his money, endorsements and name recognition would slaughter Ted Cruz. Cruz won by 8 percentage points. Kiss my a** Hugh Hewitt.


21 posted on 02/17/2014 8:14:21 AM PST by Din Maker
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To: Fiji Hill

Remember this folks: Rule of Thumb says that 85 percent of the undecided vote ALWAYS goes to the challenger(s).


22 posted on 02/17/2014 8:15:56 AM PST by Din Maker
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To: cotton1706

This independent conservative will be voting in the GOP primary for Steve Stockman who is my current congressman.


23 posted on 02/17/2014 8:19:23 AM PST by 38special (For real, y'all.)
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To: Din Maker

Hewitt’s conservative when he feels like it, but sometimes nearly approaches O’Reillian levels of “moderateness.” Pushed Romney for prez early on, to the point of writing a book about it.

I stopped listening to Hewitt after he shut down a caller with a straw man argument who was simply attempting to rationally discuss the basis for Islamic terrorism. Hewitt proclaimed that the man was trying to say that “all Muslims are terrorists.” He didn’t seem to be going there, but no one will ever know for sure because Hewitt shut him down.


24 posted on 02/17/2014 8:19:35 AM PST by william clark (Ecclesiastes 10:2)
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To: cotton1706

It is still “safe” for cornyn.

I have noticed a number of nobody dead enders poping up here on FR. These are effectivly vote splitters.

Are there any dead enders in these texas primaries?


25 posted on 02/17/2014 8:25:58 AM PST by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: Din Maker

With early voting starting tomorrow and Cornyn’s debt ceiling vote debacle
still fresh and on the minds of Texas conservatives, It looks like Cornyn will
be forced into a run-off.
And that is a great thing.
It will energize conservatives nationwide since the primary is so early.


26 posted on 02/17/2014 8:29:58 AM PST by tennmountainman (Just Say No To Obamacare)
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To: william clark

Quite the opposite. Hugh is a moderate with an occasional conservative position.


27 posted on 02/17/2014 8:33:50 AM PST by tennmountainman (Just Say No To Obamacare)
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To: tennmountainman

I’m inclined to believe you. Either way, I can’t stand to listen to him any more.


28 posted on 02/17/2014 8:36:27 AM PST by william clark (Ecclesiastes 10:2)
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To: longtermmemmory
There are no vote splitters in Texas Primaries. If no-one gets 50%+1 then it goes to a run-off with the top two vote getters.

If Cornyn is pushed into a run-off, the money and support start flowing to his challenger. Just like happened with Cruz/Dewhurst.

Cornyn is far from safe at this point. He has 7 challengers to keep him from getting to 50%+1.

/johnny

29 posted on 02/17/2014 8:38:20 AM PST by JRandomFreeper (Gone Galt)
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To: Din Maker

the zombie vote will go to the insider.

‘freeeeee stufff”

“frreeeeee stufff”


30 posted on 02/17/2014 8:38:53 AM PST by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: JRandomFreeper

so it is only a two man primary?


31 posted on 02/17/2014 8:39:36 AM PST by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: longtermmemmory
If it goes to a run-off, yes.

Right now, there are a total of 8 in the race, including Cornyn. That's 7 other candidates to take votes and keep Cornyn under 50%.

/johnny

32 posted on 02/17/2014 8:44:17 AM PST by JRandomFreeper (Gone Galt)
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To: cotton1706
Let me be the first to mention Ted Cruz and the Cruz Effect at play here.

Ted is the best RINO hunter out there right now.

33 posted on 02/17/2014 8:46:17 AM PST by Manic_Episode (GOP = The Whig Party)
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To: longtermmemmory

IN TEXAS: If no candidate gets 50% of the vote there will be a run-off between the top 2 vote getters only. It does not matter what their total vote is, just so they are the top 2 in the race. One could get 49% and the candidate with the second most could have 20%. That’s the two in the run-off. In the last Senate Race here in TX between Ted Cruz and Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst, the well-entrenched, Establishment candidate, Dewhurst just missed getting 50% of the vote by 70,000 votes. But, in the run-off, Ted Cruz beat him by 8 percentage points. We’ve got to get John Cornhole in a run-off election.


34 posted on 02/17/2014 8:55:03 AM PST by Din Maker
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To: tennmountainman

If you know anyone who is voting for John Cornyn, remind them that the GOP Primary in Tx is March 5th.

(Yes, I know it’s March 4th, but hopefully the uninformed lemmings don’t know that.)


35 posted on 02/17/2014 8:56:23 AM PST by Din Maker
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To: Din Maker

I don’t live in Texas. But conservatives nationwide will be hoping you
Texans send Cornyn into a run-off and then kick his teeth in.


36 posted on 02/17/2014 9:04:23 AM PST by tennmountainman (Just Say No To Obamacare)
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