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POLL: CORNYN WON’T WIN MARCH 4 TEXAS GOP PRIMARY
Stockman for Senate ^ | 2/17/14 | Stockman for Senate

Posted on 02/17/2014 7:52:32 AM PST by jimbo123

Just 22 months after Ted Cruz’s upset victory over Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst, Texas Republicans want to toss another high-profile establishment Republican into a runoff for a U.S. Senate seat against his conservative challenger.

A new Gravis/Human Events poll shows incumbent U.S. Senator John Cornyn (R-TX) with only 43 percent support in the March 4 Texas Republican primary, forcing him into a May 27 runoff against U.S. Rep Steve Stockman (R-TX 36.)

Stockman is in second place, grabbing 28 percent and quickly closing in on Cornyn. The remaining 29 percent were undecided.

The poll was conducted before voters knew Cornyn voted the evening of Feb. 12 to kill a Ted Cruz filibuster and advance a total suspension of Obama’s debt limit until March 2015. Cornyn’s vote to raise the debt limit set off a firestorm of opposition to him among Texas Republican voters.

Gravis Marketing conducted the poll Feb. 10-12 for “Human Events,” a prominent national conservative newspaper. It was published Monday in “Human Events” and was not commissioned by any campaign or conducted with any campaign’s knowledge.

This is the fifth poll published in Cornyn’s race. All five show Cornyn forced into a runoff. Research by polling experts shows undecided voters usually do not break for the incumbents and incumbents usually lose runoff elections.

“The buzzards are circling over John Cornyn. A runoff is an incumbent’s death sentence,” said Stockman spokesman Donny Ferguson. “This is why Cornyn refuses to release his internal poll numbers.”

(Excerpt) Read more at stockmanforsenate2014.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: cornyncloture; cornyncloturevotes; johncornyn; primarycornyn; stevestockman
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1 posted on 02/17/2014 7:52:32 AM PST by jimbo123
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To: jimbo123

I love Ted Cruz & Mike Lee. They force Pubs to show where they stand. If we support Pubs that don’t represent us, after we find out they are against us, we deserve what happens next.


2 posted on 02/17/2014 7:56:28 AM PST by wmfights
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To: All

Dwayne Stovall
http://www.texansforstovall.com/
https://www.facebook.com/pages/Texans-For-Stovall/155741434543722
https://twitter.com/dwaynestovall

Steve Stockman
http://www.stockman2014.com/
https://www.facebook.com/congressmanstevestockman
https://twitter.com/stockmansenate

Linda Vega
http://www.lindavegafortexas.net/
https://www.facebook.com/lindavegafortexas.net
https://twitter.com/LindaVega4Texas

Chris Mapp
http://mappforussenate.com/
https://www.facebook.com/mappforussenate
https://twitter.com/c_mapp

Ken Cope
http://www.copetexas.com/
https://www.facebook.com/copetexas
https://twitter.com/CopeTexas

Curt Cleaver
http://www.curtcleaver.com/
https://www.facebook.com/curtcleaver
https://twitter.com/cleaver4senate

Reid Reasor
https://www.facebook.com/pages/Colonel-Reasor-for-US-Senate-Texas-Cornyn-has-to-go/216804378487564

John Cornyn
http://www.johncornyn.com/
https://www.facebook.com/johncornyn
https://twitter.com/JohnCornyn


3 posted on 02/17/2014 7:57:28 AM PST by jimbo123
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To: jimbo123

Misleading headline. Cornyn leads by 15. It’s fine to say he won’t reach 50%, but Stockman is still a long way away.


4 posted on 02/17/2014 7:58:53 AM PST by LS ('Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually.' Hendrix)
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To: jimbo123
Tea Party? Nope, never heard of it.
5 posted on 02/17/2014 8:00:14 AM PST by JPG (Yes We Can morphs into Make It Hurt.)
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To: jimbo123

While that would be, well, awesome . . . there is zero chance of that. yeah, there may be a runoff but at this point Cornyn wins in a walk.


6 posted on 02/17/2014 8:01:01 AM PST by RIghtwardHo
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To: wmfights
Ted Cruz and Mike Lee are, indeed, the best one-two punch I've seen in the U.S. Senate in years. Not to take anything away from Tom Coburn (retiring) or Sen. Jeff Sessions (too much of a gentleman), but we need more younger brass knuckle fighters like these guys in the U.S. Senate.

Replacing Cornyn and the parrot-beaked turtle from Kentucky alone will DOUBLE those numbers.

7 posted on 02/17/2014 8:03:54 AM PST by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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To: jimbo123

I honestly don’t know much about Stockman, can someone enlighten me.

I don’t just want to vote for someone just because he is not someone else.


8 posted on 02/17/2014 8:04:13 AM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (Obama lied .. the economy died.)
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To: RIghtwardHo

Did you predict that Dewhurst would beat Ted Cruz? Most “experts” did. Texas Republicans are not the typical low-information sheeple that populate other states.


9 posted on 02/17/2014 8:05:01 AM PST by txrefugee
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To: LS

If cornholio has a runoff... he will lose.


10 posted on 02/17/2014 8:05:36 AM PST by LibLieSlayer (FROM MY COLD, DEAD HANDS! BETTER DEAD THAN RED!)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Dwayne Stovall
http://www.texansforstovall.com/
https://www.facebook.com/pages/Texans-For-Stovall/155741434543722
https://twitter.com/dwaynestovall

Steve Stockman
http://www.stockman2014.com/
https://www.facebook.com/congressmanstevestockman
https://twitter.com/stockmansenate


11 posted on 02/17/2014 8:05:55 AM PST by jimbo123
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To: LS

Misleading headline.

*****************

The source explains that.


12 posted on 02/17/2014 8:06:01 AM PST by deport
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To: LS

I guess the theory/hope is that, in a run-off, all the anti-Cornyn vote will be consolidated behind whoever the remaining opponent is. I don’t know enough to know how these things have worked out in the past, I imagine a good deal might depend on exactly who is that second place finisher.


13 posted on 02/17/2014 8:06:35 AM PST by jocon307
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To: All

Rep. Steve Stockman @StockmanSenate 2m

Why won’t Cornyn release his internal poll numbers? He given three days to comment on the poll. Why didn’t he counter with his own numbers?

https://twitter.com/stockmansenate


14 posted on 02/17/2014 8:08:27 AM PST by jimbo123
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To: RIghtwardHo
Troll. You have no clue what is going on in Texas. The polls are showing that Cornyn doesn't have the support to get to 50%, and if it goes to a run-off, the money and support starts flowing to his challenger. Just like what happened with Cruz/Dewhurst.

/johnny

15 posted on 02/17/2014 8:09:06 AM PST by JRandomFreeper (Gone Galt)
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To: jimbo123

This Texas independent conservative will be voting for Steve Stockman in the GOP Primary. He is also my congressman.


16 posted on 02/17/2014 8:12:07 AM PST by 38special (For real, y'all.)
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To: jocon307
I don’t know enough to know how these things have worked out in the past,

Cruz/Dewhurst is a pretty good example of how it works out. Cruz didn't start getting support and money until after the first vote, and going into the run-off.

/johnny

17 posted on 02/17/2014 8:12:52 AM PST by JRandomFreeper (Gone Galt)
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To: RIghtwardHo

Just have to ask ... Have you been talking with c. Rove?


18 posted on 02/17/2014 8:13:19 AM PST by no-to-illegals (Scrutinize our government and Secure the Blessing of Freedom and Justice)
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To: RIghtwardHo

I found out recently the word *Ho* has been banned in Australia. Santa has no *HO-HO-HO*.


19 posted on 02/17/2014 8:16:52 AM PST by no-to-illegals (Scrutinize our government and Secure the Blessing of Freedom and Justice)
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To: jimbo123
Right on. Let's hope for the same for B!+c# and Boner and get the trifecta.

Cantor and McCarthy too. Who else? :)

20 posted on 02/17/2014 8:18:59 AM PST by OKSooner ("As the riders went on by him, he heard one call his name...")
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To: txrefugee

Do you work for Cornyn or Rove?


21 posted on 02/17/2014 8:23:59 AM PST by tennmountainman (Just Say No To Obamacare)
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To: jimbo123

What a blessing that would be.


22 posted on 02/17/2014 8:25:26 AM PST by mulligan (I)
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To: jimbo123

I know of ZERO conservatives that will vote for Cornyn anymore. He lost everyone with his actions. I don’t see his signs in yards.


23 posted on 02/17/2014 8:31:43 AM PST by King_Corey (www.kingcorey.com -- OpenCarry.org -- http://defcad.org/)
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To: jimbo123

DONT GET COMPLACENT

He not only has to lose but LOSE BIG in order to send a message


24 posted on 02/17/2014 8:34:18 AM PST by Mr. K (If you like your constitution, you can keep it...Period.)
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To: King_Corey

Cornyn’s Facebook page says:

John Cornyn
Yesterday
Our yard signs are covering Texas, just in time for EARLY VOTING!

https://www.facebook.com/johncornyn

Snicker...


25 posted on 02/17/2014 8:34:23 AM PST by jimbo123
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To: jimbo123

The poll has Cornyn up by 12-15 points, but he isn’t going to win the primary?

Please.


26 posted on 02/17/2014 8:34:28 AM PST by SoFloFreeper
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To: SoFloFreeper

RINOS are in a panic, it seems.


27 posted on 02/17/2014 8:36:07 AM PST by jimbo123
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To: tennmountainman

Which one of those do you work for?
Looking for your coworkers?


28 posted on 02/17/2014 8:37:23 AM PST by MrEdd (Heck? Geewhiz Cripes, thats the place where people who don't believe in Gosh think they aint going.)
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To: jimbo123
I certainly haven't seen a single Cornyn yard sign.

/johnny

29 posted on 02/17/2014 8:40:11 AM PST by JRandomFreeper (Gone Galt)
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To: jimbo123

One can only hope that McConnell will feel the same fate.


30 posted on 02/17/2014 8:40:24 AM PST by erod
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To: SoFloFreeper
The poll was taken before the cloture vote. Cornyn isn't on safe ground at all. He very well could get primaried.

/johnny

31 posted on 02/17/2014 8:40:53 AM PST by JRandomFreeper (Gone Galt)
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To: SoFloFreeper
And don't forget, that 12-15 points he's up is just for Stockman. Cornyn has 7 challengers to take votes away from him and keep him from 50%+1.

/johnny

32 posted on 02/17/2014 8:42:49 AM PST by JRandomFreeper (Gone Galt)
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To: MrEdd

I live AND vote in Tennessee. My hope is that Cornyn is forced into
a run-off.


33 posted on 02/17/2014 8:47:19 AM PST by tennmountainman (Just Say No To Obamacare)
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To: JRandomFreeper

Dwayne Stovall

@DwayneStovall 3h
Reminder: Early voting in the primary starts tomorrow, and there’s no cloture on this vote!

https://twitter.com/dwaynestovall


34 posted on 02/17/2014 8:48:48 AM PST by jimbo123
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To: JRandomFreeper

Okay, well, that may be the case. Certainly would be a big story.....

I kind of wish we could also replace some DEMON RAT senators.


35 posted on 02/17/2014 8:48:52 AM PST by SoFloFreeper
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To: SoFloFreeper
One set of liberals at a time. Republican liberals stand a chance of getting replaced this election.

/johnny

36 posted on 02/17/2014 8:50:12 AM PST by JRandomFreeper (Gone Galt)
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To: jimbo123

If Cornyn gets booted, you can say goodbye to many of the GOPe as the momentum gathers to steamroll them.

A lot of the people that sat out Mitt will be ready to kick their a**es out the first chance they get.


37 posted on 02/17/2014 8:50:29 AM PST by struggle
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To: jimbo123
LOL! Cruz pushing the cloture vote is going to hurt Cornyn. I knew Stockman and Stovall would both use it. Quite a gift right before the election starts.

/johnny

38 posted on 02/17/2014 8:51:31 AM PST by JRandomFreeper (Gone Galt)
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To: TexasFreeper2009
I honestly don’t know much about Stockman, can someone enlighten me.

Stockman has strong conservative record going back to the early 1990s.

He defeated democrat Jack Brooks in 1994, which was no small feat, since Stockman was unknown and Brooks was a 40-year incumbent and chairman of the House Judiciary Committee with the backing of the NRA. Brooks allowed the 1994 gun ban to move through the committee, while Stockman ran a pro-gun campaign.

He was defeated in '96 by socialist union-puppet Nick Lampson, but was recently re-elected. He did NOT vote for John Boener for House Speaker.

The Cornyn campaign and the Houston Chronicle are running a smear campaign (ciminal allegations and ethics complaints). Nothing to see here.

39 posted on 02/17/2014 8:51:47 AM PST by Spirochete (Does the FedGov have the attributes of a legitimate government?)
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To: Spirochete

has the Tea Party endorsed Stockman?

I plan on voting, but just want to make sure my vote goes to the right conservative.


40 posted on 02/17/2014 8:54:14 AM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (Obama lied .. the economy died.)
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To: LS

you are correct if you think ‘leading’ with 45% is actual leading.

What it means to me is that 55% are AGAINST him (so far)

Your type of statement/logic is how they foisted “frontrunner” Mitt Romney on us because he was ‘leading’ with 30% of the vote. So we ended up with a candidate that 70% didn’t want.

In this race all that matters RIGHT NOW is that he does not reach 50% (plus 1)

This will force a runoff, which incumbants tend to lose (55% are against him already)


41 posted on 02/17/2014 8:54:21 AM PST by Mr. K (If you like your constitution, you can keep it...Period.)
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To: jimbo123

Texans, don’t take this for granted. Fight harder than ever before. This is the Alamo and San Jacinto all over again except the enemy is Carl Rove, the RINOs and Cornyn.


42 posted on 02/17/2014 8:57:22 AM PST by ZULU (Magua is sitting in the Oval Office. Ted Cruz/Phil Robertson in 2016.)
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To: TexasFreeper2009
One Tea Party group has endorsed Stovall. I'll be voting for Stovall, because he's been a businessman. Either one will be better than Cornyn, though. I'd be proud to have either as my Senator.

/johnny

43 posted on 02/17/2014 9:02:20 AM PST by JRandomFreeper (Gone Galt)
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To: Mr. K
Yep. Cornyn isn't running against just Stockman. He's running against 7 other candidates. If they each average a little over 7% of the vote, Cornyn goes to a run-off.

/johnny

44 posted on 02/17/2014 9:04:40 AM PST by JRandomFreeper (Gone Galt)
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To: jimbo123

To: Stockman Spokesman Donny Ferguson: Where are the Stockman radio and TV ads? Please don’t say there is no money for them. Stockman is supposed to be the one with the best chance of raising money and defeating Cornyn in a run-off election. Well, why isn’t he raising money now? Where are the ads? All Stockman has is Twitter, a blog and e-mail addresses.

Stockman has been my Congressman the last two times he served in Congress, but, I’m voting for Dwayne Stovall or Linda Vega. Probably Vega.


45 posted on 02/17/2014 9:05:57 AM PST by Din Maker
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To: jimbo123

Yes Tejas, dump Cornrow.


46 posted on 02/17/2014 9:07:42 AM PST by VRWC For Truth (Roberts has perverted the Constitution)
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To: Din Maker

Linda Vega

http://www.lindavegafortexas.net/
https://www.facebook.com/lindavegafortexas.net
https://twitter.com/LindaVega4Texas


47 posted on 02/17/2014 9:07:50 AM PST by jimbo123
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To: RIghtwardHo

Well, RIghtwardHo.... been wondering when you were gonna show up. Your RINO-troll buddy Theodore has already been here this morning. Guess you’ve been busy over at the DU.

Cornhole will be in a run-off and he will get his butt handed to him. In the 2012 Texas Republican primary for U.S. Senate, the heavily-favored Dewhurst finished ahead of Cruz by a wide 45 percent to 34 percent margin. Dewhurst lost the runoff to Cruz by 8 percentage points.


48 posted on 02/17/2014 9:09:12 AM PST by Din Maker
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To: jimbo123

Runoffs are bad news for incumbents becuase they force the public’s attention on only one issue. Most incumbents win because voters go into a voting booth with too many choices to be informed on. They just click the R or the D at the top of the ticket.


49 posted on 02/17/2014 9:12:21 AM PST by rwoodward ("god, guns and more ammo")
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To: jocon307
Traditionally, primary run-offs for an incumbent are difficult for the incumbent to win. If the incumbent could not win a majority in initial election, the turnout for the runoff tends to be more focused in getting the incumbent out of office.
50 posted on 02/17/2014 9:15:57 AM PST by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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