Skip to comments.POLL: CORNYN WON’T WIN MARCH 4 TEXAS GOP PRIMARY
Posted on 02/17/2014 7:52:32 AM PST by jimbo123
Just 22 months after Ted Cruzs upset victory over Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst, Texas Republicans want to toss another high-profile establishment Republican into a runoff for a U.S. Senate seat against his conservative challenger.
A new Gravis/Human Events poll shows incumbent U.S. Senator John Cornyn (R-TX) with only 43 percent support in the March 4 Texas Republican primary, forcing him into a May 27 runoff against U.S. Rep Steve Stockman (R-TX 36.)
Stockman is in second place, grabbing 28 percent and quickly closing in on Cornyn. The remaining 29 percent were undecided.
The poll was conducted before voters knew Cornyn voted the evening of Feb. 12 to kill a Ted Cruz filibuster and advance a total suspension of Obamas debt limit until March 2015. Cornyns vote to raise the debt limit set off a firestorm of opposition to him among Texas Republican voters.
Gravis Marketing conducted the poll Feb. 10-12 for Human Events, a prominent national conservative newspaper. It was published Monday in Human Events and was not commissioned by any campaign or conducted with any campaigns knowledge.
This is the fifth poll published in Cornyns race. All five show Cornyn forced into a runoff. Research by polling experts shows undecided voters usually do not break for the incumbents and incumbents usually lose runoff elections.
The buzzards are circling over John Cornyn. A runoff is an incumbents death sentence, said Stockman spokesman Donny Ferguson. This is why Cornyn refuses to release his internal poll numbers.
(Excerpt) Read more at stockmanforsenate2014.com ...
I love Ted Cruz & Mike Lee. They force Pubs to show where they stand. If we support Pubs that don’t represent us, after we find out they are against us, we deserve what happens next.
Misleading headline. Cornyn leads by 15. It’s fine to say he won’t reach 50%, but Stockman is still a long way away.
While that would be, well, awesome . . . there is zero chance of that. yeah, there may be a runoff but at this point Cornyn wins in a walk.
Replacing Cornyn and the parrot-beaked turtle from Kentucky alone will DOUBLE those numbers.
I honestly don’t know much about Stockman, can someone enlighten me.
I don’t just want to vote for someone just because he is not someone else.
Did you predict that Dewhurst would beat Ted Cruz? Most “experts” did. Texas Republicans are not the typical low-information sheeple that populate other states.
If cornholio has a runoff... he will lose.
The source explains that.
I guess the theory/hope is that, in a run-off, all the anti-Cornyn vote will be consolidated behind whoever the remaining opponent is. I don’t know enough to know how these things have worked out in the past, I imagine a good deal might depend on exactly who is that second place finisher.
Rep. Steve Stockman @StockmanSenate 2m
Why won’t Cornyn release his internal poll numbers? He given three days to comment on the poll. Why didn’t he counter with his own numbers?
This Texas independent conservative will be voting for Steve Stockman in the GOP Primary. He is also my congressman.
Cruz/Dewhurst is a pretty good example of how it works out. Cruz didn't start getting support and money until after the first vote, and going into the run-off.
Just have to ask ... Have you been talking with c. Rove?
I found out recently the word *Ho* has been banned in Australia. Santa has no *HO-HO-HO*.
Cantor and McCarthy too. Who else? :)
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