Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Colorado Senate: Udall (D) 42%, Gardner (R) 41%
rasmussenreports.com ^ | 3/10/14

Posted on 03/10/2014 9:21:08 AM PDT by cotton1706

The first Rasmussen Reports look at Colorado’s likely 2014 U.S. Senate race finds that it's a dead heat.

A statewide telephone survey of Likely Colorado Voters shows incumbent Democrat Mark Udall with 42% of the vote, while his leading Republican challenger Cory Gardner earns 41%. Five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate in the race, and 13% are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Colorado was conducted on March 5-6, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research,

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Politics/Elections; US: Colorado
KEYWORDS: corygardner; elections; gardner; markudall; polls; udall

1 posted on 03/10/2014 9:21:08 AM PDT by cotton1706
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: cotton1706

WOW!
Now if he can stay on-message and not fall into a trap.


2 posted on 03/10/2014 9:25:44 AM PDT by Zathras
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: cotton1706

This should kill him in that state...

“•Prevent criminals from buying and carrying deadly weapons. (Aug 2008)
•Hunting & angling tradition generates income and jobs. (Mar 2008)
•Voted YES on banning high-capacity magazines of over 10 bullets. (Apr 2013)
•Voted YES on allowing firearms in checked baggage on Amtrak trains. (Apr 2009)
•Voted NO on prohibiting product misuse lawsuits on gun manufacturers. (Oct 2005)
•Voted NO on prohibiting suing gunmakers & sellers for gun misuse. (Apr 2003)
•Voted NO on decreasing gun waiting period from 3 days to 1. (Jun 1999)
•Rated F by the NRA, indicating a pro-gun control voting record. (Dec 2003)”

http://www.ontheissues.org/Senate/Mark_Udall.htm#Gun_Control


3 posted on 03/10/2014 9:31:32 AM PDT by Beagle8U (Unions are an Affirmative Action program for Slackers! .)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: cotton1706

Go Cory!!!


4 posted on 03/10/2014 9:31:46 AM PDT by MissTed ( Private Tagline - Do Not Read!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: cotton1706

WOW, and Gardner has been in the race less than 2 weeks?

OK, in before the rush, time to panic. He’s peaking too early!


5 posted on 03/10/2014 9:32:26 AM PDT by Balding_Eagle (Over production, one of the top 5 worries for the American Farmer every year.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MissTed

The important number here is not Gardner’s, but Udall’s. For an incumbent to only poll 42% is never a good sign, especially early in a campaign. The incumbent invariably has the advantage of name recognition, familiarity with record and positions on policy, etc. The challenger always is swimming uphill against these advantages.

For an incumbent to poll at 42%, the question has to be whether or not he can get to 51%. Usually a negative campaign is the only way. Of course, if Gardner makes a big gaff, it could turn around quickly as happened in the Claire McCaskill race.


6 posted on 03/10/2014 9:44:02 AM PDT by centurion316
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: cotton1706

Rasmussen is a Republican pollster. Who historically until the last two cycles been very accurate. In the last two he seems to have overestimated Republican strength. Since then he has apparently changed his model to one that is being democrat leaning in his polls. It seems as though he changed his turn out model from an overly Republican one to an overly Democrat one. So I bet Gardner is actually ahead.


7 posted on 03/10/2014 9:44:09 AM PDT by amnestynone (Lindsey Graham is feckless, duplicitous, treacherous, double dealing backstabbing Corksucker.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Balding_Eagle

Udall is a far left liberal per his voting record.

Is Colorado that freaking far left?


8 posted on 03/10/2014 9:44:58 AM PDT by Beagle8U (Unions are an Affirmative Action program for Slackers! .)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: Beagle8U

Entire Denver Metropolis is.


9 posted on 03/10/2014 9:46:47 AM PDT by ridesthemiles
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Zathras

This is before any ads. No one but the politically active knows who Gardner is and udall has name recognition going for him. I would say our chances are excellent!


10 posted on 03/10/2014 9:47:54 AM PDT by Mom MD
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: ridesthemiles

And boulder and pueblo.... The only city of size that leans right in Colorado is Colorado Springs.


11 posted on 03/10/2014 9:49:27 AM PDT by Mom MD
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: cotton1706; Impy; AuH2ORepublican; randita; Clintonfatigued; BillyBoy

Mark Udall at 42% is terrible for an incumbent.


12 posted on 03/10/2014 9:52:18 AM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: amnestynone
Rasmussen is a Republican pollster

No, Rasmussen is a former pollster. He was fired several months ago. His former polling firm has since swung far to the left.

13 posted on 03/10/2014 9:54:24 AM PDT by rhinohunter (Freepers aren't booing -- they're shouting "Cruuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuz")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: cotton1706

Is this a runoff state?


14 posted on 03/10/2014 10:07:01 AM PDT by Linda Frances (Woe to those who call evil good and good evil, who put darkness for light and light for darkness.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Beagle8U

Denver metro area is, and they have more than enough busses to move voters around the state as needed on election day.


15 posted on 03/10/2014 10:12:12 AM PDT by Balding_Eagle (Over production, one of the top 5 worries for the American Farmer every year.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: george76

PING!
We have GOT to get Udall out of there.


16 posted on 03/10/2014 10:15:32 AM PDT by RandallFlagg ("I said I never had much use for one. Never said I didn't know how to use it." --Quigley)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: rhinohunter
I was referring to Rasmussen as the company not he individual.
17 posted on 03/10/2014 10:15:36 AM PDT by amnestynone (Lindsey Graham is feckless, duplicitous, treacherous, double dealing backstabbing Corksucker.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: RandallFlagg; MileHi; dhs12345; dynachrome; Balata; bboop; BulletBobCo; Carley; ColoCowgirl; ...

Colorado Ping ( Let me know if you wish to be added or removed from the list.)


18 posted on 03/10/2014 10:19:20 AM PDT by george76 (Ward Churchill : Fake Indian, Fake Scholarship, and Fake Art)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: cotton1706

Let’s see what happens once the gop REALLY starts supporting.....UDALL!


19 posted on 03/10/2014 10:19:50 AM PDT by VerySadAmerican (".....Barrack, and the horse Mohammed rode in on.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: cotton1706

If Colorado voters go for a Democrat then they support a communists way of life. Same for any State. Democrats are communists and have destroyed much of America.


20 posted on 03/10/2014 10:22:47 AM PDT by Logical me
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Zathras

“Now if he can stay on-message and not fall into a trap.”

Exactly. But you know the media will be laying traps for Gardner at every turn. They will cover up for Udall at every turn. Hopefully over 50% of the people will be smart enough to see through this.


21 posted on 03/10/2014 10:29:48 AM PDT by Parley Baer
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: amnestynone
So I bet Gardner is actually ahead.

Udall is truly in trouble.

22 posted on 03/10/2014 10:32:37 AM PDT by Red Steel
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: cotton1706

Some well placed ‘Kay Hagan-style’ ads will finish Udall off.


23 posted on 03/10/2014 10:39:03 AM PDT by Viennacon
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: centurion316

that’s exactly right. Gardner is an unknown quantity, but Udall is a sitting Senator with an even more famous last name, and he’s pulling just 42. He’ll have a hard time bringing that up 8 points


24 posted on 03/10/2014 10:42:50 AM PDT by babble-on
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: cotton1706

I hope the people of eastern Kalifornia (Colorado) keep in mind which party supports gun rights and which party doesn’t


25 posted on 03/10/2014 10:56:00 AM PDT by 12th_Monkey (One man one vote is a big fail, when the "one" man is an idiot.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: cotton1706

13% undecided and only 42% for Udall. The only way Gardner looses is if he does something stupid. The 13% undies will break at least two to one for Gardner.


26 posted on 03/10/2014 11:12:57 AM PDT by vette6387
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: vette6387
13% undecided and only 42% for Udall. The only way Gardner looses is if he does something stupid.

Watch the Denver comPost start digging around. If he pulled a girl's pigtail in kindergarten, then that'll be headline news.

27 posted on 03/10/2014 11:23:39 AM PDT by MissTed ( Private Tagline - Do Not Read!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 26 | View Replies]

To: cotton1706

Udall has name recognition...”The son of U.S. Sen. Mark Udall has been charged with breaking into a home and cars after allegedly using heroin.”
http://www.thedenverchannel.com/news/local-news/senator-mark-udalls-son-jedediah-lee-fox-udall-in-court-thursday-on-trespassing-drug-charges-02202014


28 posted on 03/10/2014 11:28:06 AM PDT by BulletBobCo
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Mom MD

Home of LT Joe Kenda aka “Homicide Hunter”........


29 posted on 03/10/2014 11:47:19 AM PDT by njslim (T)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: Zathras

“Now if he can stay on-message and not fall into a trap.”

Yeah, I think Cory is too smart to let that happen.


30 posted on 03/10/2014 11:53:10 AM PDT by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: catnipman

I’m pretty new to CO but based on what I am hearing, I agree with you.
Having Udall complain the day after indicates he is scared.
Always a good thing.


31 posted on 03/10/2014 12:21:11 PM PDT by Zathras
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 30 | View Replies]

To: Beagle8U
The Republicans were badly split when Udall won in 2008. Wayne Allard, the incumbent, unexpectedly decided not to seek re-election. Bob Shaffer, a solid conservative, ran, but the party was still roiled by a split and Shaffer had some baggage from a previous race and bad publicity.

No need to go into all the inside baseball details, but former Governor Bill Owens made some bad decisions that split the party back in the 2004-2006 time frame.

Also, this was the election when Obama took Colorado based, in my opinion. on Bush fatigue.

32 posted on 03/10/2014 12:52:41 PM PDT by colorado tanker
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Zathras

“I’m pretty new to CO but based on what I am hearing, I agree with you.”

I know Cory. Met his family and his parents the night of his first election victory of Congress. Did some work for him to help him win his first primary by depriving all his opponents of enough Assembly votes to make the ballot, leaving Cory the only man standing. Then lead the laugh section against Betsy “Marxy” in their one and only debate, and wrote a “gonzo” account of the debate that was the number one google hit about the debate, surpassing all of the tepid and lame MSM articles that were written.

So I’ve watched Cory pretty carefully. He’s quite polished and now very comfortable with the press. The folks at the Republican caucuses last week were all ecstatic about Cory being convinced to go against Udall so early in his career. Sadly enough though, Cory is the only bona fide superstar in Colorado Republican politics. One MSM outlet said the Republican bench in Colorado is only one person deep, namely Cory Gardner.

BTW, Cory IS a conservative, just not a shell-back like myself and so many of us here, so don’t believe a word from anyone here about Cory being a RINO: there’s light-years of difference between Cory and say, Lindsey Graham, John McCain, or Chis Christy.


33 posted on 03/10/2014 12:57:42 PM PDT by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 31 | View Replies]

To: MissTed

“Watch the Denver comPost start digging around. If he pulled a girl’s pigtail in kindergarten, then that’ll be headline news.”

Yeah, no kidding! Like the crap they’ve pulled on Scott Walker claiming some sort of “illegal campaigning in college” twenty years ago. The problem is that it works with the idiots in this country a lot of the time.


34 posted on 03/10/2014 1:00:04 PM PDT by vette6387
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 27 | View Replies]

To: catnipman

Thanks for the update.
I’ll have to see if I’ve got some free funds to send his way.


35 posted on 03/10/2014 1:17:17 PM PDT by Zathras
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 33 | View Replies]

To: fieldmarshaldj

What are the odds we can take out his cousin Tom in New Mexico? It would be great if we could flush both Udall’s in the same election.


36 posted on 03/10/2014 2:10:27 PM PDT by BillyBoy (Looking at the weather lately, I could really use some 'global warming' right now!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: BillyBoy

That one is more difficult. Allen Weh is a septuagenarian retread, and he’d probably be lucky to get to 40% in the general. David Clements is much younger and harder-charging (though I believe he’s a Paulite), and would be a stronger opponent. Weh is still leading to be the nominee, however.


37 posted on 03/10/2014 2:18:47 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 36 | View Replies]

To: fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; Impy; GOPsterinMA; randita; Sun; LdSentinal; ExTexasRedhead; ...

Cory Gardner is already running even and he just announced. Get his fundraising up and some ads from the Koch Brothers and we’ve got a 50/50 chance at least.


38 posted on 03/10/2014 3:24:39 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (The War on Drugs is Big Government statism)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: Clintonfatigued
>> some ads from the Koch Brothers <<

That will drive the liberals bonkers. ;-)

39 posted on 03/10/2014 3:36:13 PM PDT by BillyBoy (Looking at the weather lately, I could really use some 'global warming' right now!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 38 | View Replies]

To: BillyBoy

That makes it an even better idea.

: )


40 posted on 03/10/2014 3:37:52 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (The War on Drugs is Big Government statism)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 39 | View Replies]

To: Beagle8U

Nearly all democrats are far left, even Republican states have elected far left democrat Senators.


41 posted on 03/10/2014 10:58:13 PM PDT by Impy (RED=COMMUNIST, NOT REPUBLICAN)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: colorado tanker; catnipman; Zathras
Getting into the weeds a bit, there are reasons Colorado turned blue from red so quickly. None of the state GOP saw it coming and few have figured out how to respond; other than replaying past political tactics. Arapahoe County Republicans have done a good job, as has a few other areas, but the state party has not.

Another star, besides Gardner, has been Scott Gessler who won the Secretary of State position. (He's running for governor in this election.)

To understand it all, it starts with Fred Barnes 2008 article on the Colorado Model. Here.

There's a quick read of how it happened from a 2010 Red State. Here.

The book mentioned is a good read, more in-depth, and shows how other states Democrats are working behind the scenes, here.

Colorado Progressive Democrats do have a good Get Out the Vote effort and it cannot be ignored.  Colorado Republicans can win but only if we are united behind a specific candidate, which hasn't happened in some of our past elections.  Democrats here work hard to depress the vote and split our tickets.

42 posted on 03/11/2014 5:09:13 AM PDT by Morgan in Denver (Democrats: The party of unintended consequences.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 32 | View Replies]

To: Morgan in Denver
few have figured out how to respond other than replaying past political tactics

They do it in Montana too. They smile and try to run as Not Too Conservative and then they lose.

43 posted on 03/11/2014 5:31:22 AM PDT by Fightin Whitey
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 42 | View Replies]

To: Fightin Whitey
They do it in Montana too. They smile and try to run as Not Too Conservative and then they lose.

I'd only add, "they lose, and wonder why?"   I do understand Republicans cannot run radical candidates and it's up to the candidate to come across as nice and electable.  But I also agree with what you are saying, we too often lose because we are afraid to stand or defend conservative positions.

With any luck, Gardner will not fall into that trap in Colorado.

44 posted on 03/11/2014 6:46:25 AM PDT by Morgan in Denver (Democrats: The party of unintended consequences.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 43 | View Replies]

To: Morgan in Denver

Good comments, and you are correct about Gessler being in the same category as Gardner.

“Colorado Republicans can win but only if we are united behind a specific candidate”

And to do that, it first requires we have sterling candidates like Gardner and Gessler, instead ones like that nutjob, Dan Maes.


45 posted on 03/11/2014 7:43:00 AM PDT by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 42 | View Replies]

To: catnipman

Thanks. I was trying to be kind and not label Maes but you’re right. He proved to be a poor candidate who was in the right place at the right time to fool a bunch of people.
As time went on he was further exposed but by then it was too late to do anything different.

Vetting candidates is really important, whether they are Tea Party supported or not. Remembering that election, I think I remember Sarah Palin would not support Maes when asked.


46 posted on 03/11/2014 10:11:50 AM PDT by Morgan in Denver (Democrats: The party of unintended consequences.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 45 | View Replies]

To: Morgan in Denver
This isn't all on the Democrats as we've had some really bad candidates and at times a divided party. Maes barely polled the 10% needed to keep the Republicans a "major" party. Remember when Bill Owens sprang Pete Coors on Shaffer? I also remember thinking when Ken Buck announced for Senate that he was trying to go too far too fast from a small county with no name recognition. I wanted him to enter state politics trying for something more in his grasp. Unfortunately, I was right and he wasn't ready for prime time.

Where is Maes now? Back undercover copping in Liberal, Kansas?

47 posted on 03/11/2014 12:09:50 PM PDT by colorado tanker
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 46 | View Replies]

To: colorado tanker

I actually received an email from Maes last week. I finally unsubscribed from his list but it was kind of interesting that he was still trying to use politics to get ahead.

I do agree with you on our having poor candidates and the so-called powers that be within the state party trying to force their candidates on us. It hasn’t worked well in the past. Bill Owens was a letdown towards the end.


48 posted on 03/12/2014 5:23:16 AM PDT by Morgan in Denver (Democrats: The party of unintended consequences.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 47 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson