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Poll: Tom Cotton Leads Mark Pryor in Arkansas
The Washington Free Beacon ^ | March 10 , 2014 | Washington Free Beacon Staff

Posted on 03/10/2014 2:20:51 PM PDT by Hojczyk

Republican Rep. Tom Cotton leads Democratic Sen. Mark Pryor in the race for Arkansas senator, according to a new poll released Monday by Hickman Analytics Inc.

U.S. News reports:

A poll released Monday by Hickman Analytics Inc. shows Cotton with 51 percent support compared to 42 percent for Pryor among voters most likely to turn out in November. Though Pryor has used the firm for polling in the past, he is not currently a client, according to his campaign.

Among a broader swath of voters, including those less likely to turnout, Pryor closes the gap with Cotton, with the candidates each tallying 46 percent.

The poll shows that voter turnout will be crucial for Pryor.

The poll reveals just how critical a high turnout will be for Democrats in Arkansas. Democrats have historically struggled to get voters to the polls during midterm elections. The most likely voters in midterm elections tend to be older, white and male voters, a constituency that favors Republican candidates. In Arkansas, Democrats are betting on a battle over raising the state’s minimum wage will give Pryor a boost; the issue is expected to appear on the ballot in the November election and could mobilize a core Democratic constituency.

Already Pryor has sought to to distance himself from the Affordable Care Act and unpopular President Barack Obama, who has a 65 percent unfavorable rating in the red state. The HAI poll shows that Pryor is viewed more favorably than Obama. Forty-seven percent of voters view Pryor favorably compared to the 36 percent who view him unfavorably. Thirty-six percent of voters, on the other hand, view Cotton favorably compared to 28 percent who view him unfavorably.

(Excerpt) Read more at freebeacon.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Arkansas
KEYWORDS: polls

1 posted on 03/10/2014 2:20:51 PM PDT by Hojczyk
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To: Hojczyk

Didn’t Mark Pryor get the job through a smear campaign in the 1st place?


2 posted on 03/10/2014 2:25:09 PM PDT by albie
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To: Hojczyk

He’s done. We need to see polling like this in Alaska and Colorado.


3 posted on 03/10/2014 2:26:02 PM PDT by Viennacon
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To: Hojczyk

Good. Better if Cotton was a Tea Party type.


4 posted on 03/10/2014 2:33:39 PM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: Hojczyk

AR, MI, CO, NC, WV, LA, MT, SD, IA, perhaps NH and maybe a few surprises! Throw in conservative replacements in NE, KY, SC, GA, TN and the US Senate could be a very different place come next January!


5 posted on 03/10/2014 2:44:11 PM PDT by cotton1706
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To: Hojczyk

The last time Pryor ran for reelection, Arkansas had only 1 Republican in the Congressional delegation.

Since then, the other Senate seat changed with Boozman defeating Lincoln (D).

Boozman held the only Republican House seat at that time. Now, the other 3 House seats have shifted to the Republicans.

Pryor now is the only Democrat in the Congressional delegation.

If Pryor loses, and the House seats remain the same, the Congressional degelation will have done a complete shift from Democrat to Republican, except for District #3, which was already Republican.


6 posted on 03/10/2014 2:52:15 PM PDT by TomGuy
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To: Viennacon

I thought Begich was relatively safe compared to others. They like the big spenders like Murkowski and Don Young.


7 posted on 03/10/2014 2:53:04 PM PDT by ObamahatesPACoal
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To: Parley Baer

He is on immigration and domestic spending.

He will be the only likeable Neocon amongst the losers in the Senate like Mccain, Ayotte and Graham.


8 posted on 03/10/2014 2:54:42 PM PDT by ObamahatesPACoal
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To: Hojczyk

Pryor is toast.

our attention needs to move to
Iowa, Colorado and Michigan


9 posted on 03/10/2014 3:10:14 PM PDT by RockyTx
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To: Hojczyk

Pryor is going down. He is in the wrong party for Arkansas at this time. Clinton could not win here now.


10 posted on 03/10/2014 3:13:08 PM PDT by therut
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To: Hojczyk; fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; Impy; GOPsterinMA; randita; LdSentinal; Viennacon; ...

Was this poll taken after Mark Pryor’s “military service gives Tom Cotton a sense of entitlement” remark? If other polls produce similar results to this one, we can count it as “Leaning Republican.” Pryor does not act like he’s confident of reelection.


11 posted on 03/10/2014 3:30:45 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (The War on Drugs is Big Government statism)
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To: therut

Voting for ObamaCare cooked his goose. He knew the writing was on the wall when Blanche Lincoln got showed the door but I’ll bet some promises were made to pacify him. We’ll see if Obama nominates him to some hokey gubmint job or leaves him stranded.


12 posted on 03/10/2014 3:33:04 PM PDT by BipolarBob
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To: Clintonfatigued

Pryor sounds desperate.


13 posted on 03/10/2014 3:33:46 PM PDT by BipolarBob
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To: Hojczyk

Hojczyk, if you’re from Arkansas, you could start a regular thread on your home state politics. There’s a lot going on there this year and Freepers would appreciate your input and knowledge.


14 posted on 03/10/2014 3:37:03 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (The War on Drugs is Big Government statism)
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To: Hojczyk

Fortunately, the people in Arkansas can see through the “war on woman” BS


15 posted on 03/10/2014 3:38:01 PM PDT by BRL
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To: Hojczyk; All

This is great. The only thing that scares me is the Election is still 8 months away and anything can happen.


16 posted on 03/10/2014 3:50:35 PM PDT by Din Maker (If Ted Cruz gave Rand Paul one of his balls, they'd both have one.)
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To: BRL; All

Fortunately, the people in Arkansas can see through the “war on woman” BS
______________________________________________________________________________________________________________

That’s because they know the Big Daddy of the Democratic Party, Bill Clinton, very well. They know it’s not the Republicans bedding everything with a skirt, raping staffers and getting oral sex from a little girl in the Oval Office.


17 posted on 03/10/2014 3:54:20 PM PDT by Din Maker (If Ted Cruz gave Rand Paul one of his balls, they'd both have one.)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Cotton would have to screw up royally to lose this. The question now is by how wide a margin will Pryor lose by. Blanche lost by 21% in 2010 to Boozman. I’m figuring Pryor will lose by around 10%.


18 posted on 03/10/2014 4:33:58 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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To: Hojczyk

Incumbents, like Pryor and Udall (D-CO) who are only polling at 42% are in very deep trouble. Especially these two guys who have very well known names and deep political roots. The political wonks will probably rate these races as “toss ups”, but I think that in reality these two races are headed into the R column.


19 posted on 03/10/2014 4:36:08 PM PDT by centurion316
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To: Parley Baer

Cotton is a Reagan Republican. He’s also graduated from the Army Airborne and Ranger schools and has led men in combat. I’d rather the Reagan Republican label than the Tea Party label any day.


20 posted on 03/10/2014 5:56:39 PM PDT by MSF BU (n)
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To: Hojczyk

Yes.... Arkansas citizens time to pick Cotton!


21 posted on 03/10/2014 8:21:59 PM PDT by ExCTCitizen (2014: The Year of DEAD RINOS)
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