Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

The 14 (Senate Races)
Hugh Hewitt.com ^ | March 14,2014 | Hugh Hewitt

Posted on 03/15/2014 8:22:56 AM PDT by Hojczyk

Here are the 14 Senate races for seats presently held by Democrats but for which Republicans are either favored to win or serious contenders:

1. West Virginia: Rep. Shelley Moore Capito v. no one. Jay Rockefeller quit after Capito got into the race. She will win, going away.

2. South Dakota: Former Governor Mike Rounds in South Dakota v. no one in South Dakota

This is a mortal lock for the popular Rounds.

3. Arkansas: Rep. Tom Cotton v. the hapless legacy senator Mark Pryor in Ark Pryor won his seat because his dad held it for years. Now the combat veteran of Afghanistan and Iraq Tom Cotton has a lead and is building it day by day, as shrinking Pryor struggles to erase all his positive endorsements of Obamacare. Most recently he was for repealing the cuts to career military COLAs after he was for them.

4. North Carolina: A businessman and former Speaker of the North Carolina House Thom Tillis is already ahead of another Obamacare booster, Denocratic incumbent Kay Hagan.

5. Michigan: Former Lt. Governor Terri Lynne Land is contesting an open seat left so by ancient Carl Levin, who has designated a no name with a propensity to disappear even more from voters’ minds. Land is running on the same ticket with popular GOP governor Rick Snyder, and has established an early lead.

6. Virginia: Ed Gillespie is running against a popular former governor-turned-senator Mark Warner, in a purple state, but Warner is tightly tied to both Obamacare and the new governor Terry McAullife, and Gillespie is a pro’s pro with terrific fundraising ability and genuine and deep roots in the Commonwealth.

(Excerpt) Read more at hughhewitt.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: 2014midterms; edgillespie; markwarner; va2014

1 posted on 03/15/2014 8:22:56 AM PDT by Hojczyk
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Hojczyk

7. Alaska: Either Mead Tradwell or Dan Sullivan will beat Mark Begich, who only won the seat six years ago because a corrupt Department of Justice prosecution of Ted Stevens hounded the late Stevens from office. Begich provided the crucial 60th vote for Obamacare, and Alaskans won’t forget.

8. Montana: Rep. Steve Daines must unseat the recently appointed John Walsh, who was gifted his seat when clueless Max (“Obamacare is a train wreck”) Baucus was exiled to China in an obvious attempt to hang on to the seat.

9. Colorado: Rep. Gardner is young, charismatic and an experienced veteran of Rocky Mountain State politics who spent years on the U.S. Senate staff of Wayne Allard, a stint in the Colorado legislature, and checked both big boxes –as a CSU undergrad and CU law grad. Mark Udall is Narack Obama in a badly fitting cowboy hat.

10. Louisiana: Rep. Bill Cassidy is in a dead heat with long-time hanger on Mary Landrieu, and will have to go through the “jungle primary” before facing Landrieu head-on a few weeks later. If, as expected, the Republicans already control the incoming majority, he will win in a romp. If the Senate hangs in the balance, more money will flow into the Lousiana race than has ever been seen there before.

11. Minnesota: Mike McFadden is a self-funding successful businessman who has an uphill but doable battle with comedian Al Franken, who along with Bernie Sanders and Barbara Boxer, define the left edge of the United States Senate. If Gopher State voters get tired of being the butto jokes because of Franken, McFadden can win here.

12. Iowa: This is an open seat, but with popular Republican governor Terry Branstad running for an easy re-election, if the GOP nominates the right candidate from among many contenders, he or she could win in November against an off-the-shelf-left-wing Democrat, blah blah blah Bruce Braley.

13. Oregon: Dr. Monica Wehby is a pediatric neurosugeon –exactly the sort of person Obamacrae booster incumbent Jeff Merkely didn’t want to face but will in November.

14. New Hampshire: Former Massachusetts senator Scott Brown has been a second-home resident of the Granite State for decades and has moved north and taken the plunge into the race against Jeanne Shaheen –a strong partisan of Obamacare.


2 posted on 03/15/2014 8:23:44 AM PDT by Hojczyk
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Hojczyk

I hope it’s a bloodbath.

But once in, they best stop wimping around and do something. Lets not forget the majority will be slim, so the senate will still be a choke point.


3 posted on 03/15/2014 8:30:41 AM PDT by 12th_Monkey (One man one vote is a big fail, when the "one" man is an idiot.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 12th_Monkey

Scott Brown will wimp. He is very Liberal.


4 posted on 03/15/2014 8:32:09 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Hojczyk
I am so skeptical. This is the Same Hugh Hewitt that had his list and links of who to donate too in 12'. I did, to give Romney a super-majority in the Senate listening to Hugh and Mick Dorris ( I did that on purpose ). Lotta good that did, we were out organized by the organized, and they totally misread the electorate. Will the 4 million from our side who stated home last time stay home still? I have no way of knowing.

We do not have a counter-valence to this...

http://neworganizing.com/

They are 10 years ahead of us.

However, their is something going on with our base via the FLA race that is bigger than anyone sees IMHO, go here:http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3133053/posts?page=16#16

5 posted on 03/15/2014 8:36:19 AM PDT by taildragger (The E-GOP won't know what hit them, The Party of Reagan is almost here, hang tight folks....)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: 12th_Monkey

We had the Senate during Bush years and I don’t remember it being much different. We still have gay marriage running ramped, abortion on demand, high taxes, large debt. I am glad to have a Republican majority in the Senate but I don’t see anything changing except that Democrats will filibuster everything.


6 posted on 03/15/2014 8:39:02 AM PDT by napscoordinator ( Santorum-Bachmann 2016 for the future of the country!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: napscoordinator

Yep, exactly. Without 60, you got nothing.


7 posted on 03/15/2014 8:44:21 AM PDT by 12th_Monkey (One man one vote is a big fail, when the "one" man is an idiot.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: 12th_Monkey

You can be 100% certain that even if we won EVERY Senate seat that up this cycle:

1. They wont impeach Obama
2. They will rubber stamp ANY nominee to the Supreme court that he chooses.
3. That they will not attempt to reign in Obama’s executive power grab
4. That they will not attempt to reign in the Judiciary and out of control judges writing laws from the bench.
5. That nothing will be done to stop the spread of gay marriage.
6. That they will move forward with “comprehensive” immergration reform (ie. amnesty)

Sure, they will put on a show to make it look like they want to things if only Obama wasn’t stopping them, but it will all be for show.


8 posted on 03/15/2014 8:44:24 AM PDT by TexasFreeper2009 (Obama lied .. the economy died.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: 12th_Monkey

“But once in, they best stop wimping around and do something. Lets not forget the majority will be slim, so the senate will still be a choke point.”

If McConnell goes down to defeat in Kentucky and the Republicans still take the Senate, I wonder if John McCain will become majority leader.


9 posted on 03/15/2014 8:45:33 AM PDT by Soul of the South (Yesterday is gone. Today will be what we make of it.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Hojczyk

With zero giving away the internet, the Dems are toast.


10 posted on 03/15/2014 8:45:46 AM PDT by DownInFlames ( I)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: TexasFreeper2009

I 100% agree. They’ll want to place nice-nice with the minority to show bipartisanship in an attempt to get “good press”

I know if I was sent their by the people, I’d be the biggest partisan @$$hole the Dems ever saw.


11 posted on 03/15/2014 8:47:42 AM PDT by 12th_Monkey (One man one vote is a big fail, when the "one" man is an idiot.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Hojczyk
I am tracking the projections from Sabato, Rothenberg, ElectionProjection and The Cook Report. Using their data I have established a Flip Index of sorts that ranks the most vulnerable incumbents of both parties at the top and the safest at the bottom.

These ratings are about 2 weeks old so we should see some updates in the next couple of weeks. Colorado is likely to move up the list when we see those updates.

Based on the projections of those 4 "Experts" here are my 12 most vulnerable Dems and 2 vulnerable Republicans with the most vulnerable at the top:

Near certain GOP takover
South Dakota
West Virginia
Montana

Likely GOP Takeover
Arkansas

Toss-Up but Dems slightly favored
North Carolina
Louisiana
Mississippi

Dems and GOP likely to hold
Alaska
Kentucky (GOP)
Iowa

Dems and GOP highly likely to hold
Colorado
Georgia (GOP)
New Hampshire
Virginia

12 posted on 03/15/2014 8:47:49 AM PDT by InterceptPoint
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Soul of the South

Lord, thats a HORRIBLE thought. But entirely possible


13 posted on 03/15/2014 8:49:05 AM PDT by 12th_Monkey (One man one vote is a big fail, when the "one" man is an idiot.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: ClearCase_guy

“Scott Brown will wimp. He is very Liberal.”

But if he assures a Repubican majority and the “death” of Dingy Harry, he’s worth doing.


14 posted on 03/15/2014 8:52:18 AM PDT by vette6387
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: InterceptPoint

Toss-Up but Dems slightly favored
Mississippi”

So you think if Cochran wins the primary he lopes to a RAT? Not from what I see.


15 posted on 03/15/2014 8:54:38 AM PDT by vette6387
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: TexasFreeper2009
You can be 100% certain that even if we won EVERY Senate seat that up this cycle: 1. They wont impeach Obama

You are absolutely correct, but not for the reasons you think. (Here's a hint: U.S. Const. Art II, §2.5)

16 posted on 03/15/2014 9:01:05 AM PDT by Labyrinthos
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: 12th_Monkey

IF the Repubs have a 59 to 41 advantage they should be able to do what they want.


17 posted on 03/15/2014 9:02:25 AM PDT by painter ( Isaiah: “Woe to those who call evil good and good evil,")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: 12th_Monkey

“Lord, thats a HORRIBLE thought. But entirely possible”

We do know McCain is an egomaniac nearing the end of his effective lifespan. Having failed in his run for President, what better way to end his career in glory than to be leader of 1/2 of Congress and one of the most powerful politicians in the country. From that post he can ensure he’ll be on the news programs every day.


18 posted on 03/15/2014 9:05:10 AM PDT by Soul of the South (Yesterday is gone. Today will be what we make of it.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: painter

Once can hope


19 posted on 03/15/2014 9:05:23 AM PDT by 12th_Monkey (One man one vote is a big fail, when the "one" man is an idiot.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: napscoordinator
We had the Senate during Bush years and I don’t remember it being much different.

Frist and Lott left much to be desired. Open-check-book George wasn't much better. He was the one who started the bail-outs, because he saw the coming disasterous economy. Even so, he still pushed and failed to get amnesty for illegals.


20 posted on 03/15/2014 9:15:23 AM PDT by TomGuy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: 12th_Monkey; All
I predict we win 9 of those 14: WV, SD, AR, LA, MT, AK, NC, MI and CO.
21 posted on 03/15/2014 9:19:07 AM PDT by Din Maker (Ted Cruz stands up to John Cornyn while Rand Paul wilts in the presence of Mitch McConnell.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Din Maker; All
I predict we win 9 of those 14: WV, SD, AR, LA, MT, AK, NC, MI and CO.
22 posted on 03/15/2014 9:20:07 AM PDT by Din Maker (Ted Cruz stands up to John Cornyn while Rand Paul wilts in the presence of Mitch McConnell.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: vette6387
So you think if Cochran wins the primary he lopes to a RAT? Not from what I see.

At this point I don't know enough about the primaries to answer that question. But what is your take on the competition for the GOP nomination:

Who is currently favored to win?

Who do we want to win?

23 posted on 03/15/2014 9:22:39 AM PDT by InterceptPoint
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: napscoordinator

I’ve always felt the same way. However, now we have Ted Cruz and Mike Lee in the Senate stirring up a hornet’s nest. GO TED AND MIKE; GO!!!


24 posted on 03/15/2014 9:23:35 AM PDT by Din Maker (Ted Cruz stands up to John Cornyn while Rand Paul wilts in the presence of Mitch McConnell.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: Hojczyk

Ping for later read.


25 posted on 03/15/2014 9:24:11 AM PDT by Din Maker (Ted Cruz stands up to John Cornyn while Rand Paul wilts in the presence of Mitch McConnell.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Hojczyk

Thanks for posting this.


26 posted on 03/15/2014 9:29:46 AM PDT by matthew fuller (No, I don't miss GWB- I miss Dick Cheney and Don Rumsfeld.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: taildragger

Hewitt is a Rino. I still remember him screaming at callers over the Harriett Miers SC appointment and the Dubai Port attempted lease.

On the other hand, compared to what we’ve endured in these hellish Obama years, we would probably carry Bush back to Washington on our backs.


27 posted on 03/15/2014 9:33:53 AM PDT by Luke21
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: napscoordinator

“We had the Senate during Bush years and I don’t remember it being much different.”

We had the Senate for 5 months in 2001, then Jeffords flipped to give the democrats the senate until 2003. We held the senate from 2003 to 2007 and lost it and the dems held it from 2007 to 2009.

For the 8 bush years, we held the senate for 4 years and 5 months. The dems held it for 3 years and 7 months.

And our majorities were slim.


28 posted on 03/15/2014 9:44:53 AM PDT by staytrue
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: TexasFreeper2009
1. They wont impeach Obama

The Senate does not impeach presidents.

29 posted on 03/15/2014 10:08:19 AM PDT by Mike Darancette (Do The Math)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Luke21
Hewitt is a Rino.

No, I don't think that Hugh is a RINO.

However, I am trying to recall what is his stance on amnesty for illegal aliens? (It's been a while since I've listened.) .

30 posted on 03/15/2014 10:17:52 AM PDT by Seaplaner (Never give in. Never give in. Never...except to convictions of honour and good sense. W. Churchill)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 27 | View Replies]

To: TomGuy

“Frist and Lott left much to be desired. “

Regarding the Bush Republican Senate majority in the 2000s.

Today we have the same equivalent loosers - maybe more.

Lamar(TN), Cochran(Ms), Graham(SC), McPain, the list goes on. It may make more sense to identify the Americans in the Senate instead of the Communist Dictators


31 posted on 03/15/2014 11:26:49 AM PDT by DanZ
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]

To: Din Maker

Hope so. A small majority is fine IF Republicans would hang together


32 posted on 03/15/2014 11:38:30 AM PDT by 12th_Monkey (One man one vote is a big fail, when the "one" man is an idiot.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: Labyrinthos

well I meant to remove him from office if the house impeached him of course.


33 posted on 03/15/2014 11:40:08 AM PDT by TexasFreeper2009 (Obama lied .. the economy died.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson