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1 posted on 03/15/2014 8:22:56 AM PDT by Hojczyk
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To: Hojczyk

7. Alaska: Either Mead Tradwell or Dan Sullivan will beat Mark Begich, who only won the seat six years ago because a corrupt Department of Justice prosecution of Ted Stevens hounded the late Stevens from office. Begich provided the crucial 60th vote for Obamacare, and Alaskans won’t forget.

8. Montana: Rep. Steve Daines must unseat the recently appointed John Walsh, who was gifted his seat when clueless Max (“Obamacare is a train wreck”) Baucus was exiled to China in an obvious attempt to hang on to the seat.

9. Colorado: Rep. Gardner is young, charismatic and an experienced veteran of Rocky Mountain State politics who spent years on the U.S. Senate staff of Wayne Allard, a stint in the Colorado legislature, and checked both big boxes –as a CSU undergrad and CU law grad. Mark Udall is Narack Obama in a badly fitting cowboy hat.

10. Louisiana: Rep. Bill Cassidy is in a dead heat with long-time hanger on Mary Landrieu, and will have to go through the “jungle primary” before facing Landrieu head-on a few weeks later. If, as expected, the Republicans already control the incoming majority, he will win in a romp. If the Senate hangs in the balance, more money will flow into the Lousiana race than has ever been seen there before.

11. Minnesota: Mike McFadden is a self-funding successful businessman who has an uphill but doable battle with comedian Al Franken, who along with Bernie Sanders and Barbara Boxer, define the left edge of the United States Senate. If Gopher State voters get tired of being the butto jokes because of Franken, McFadden can win here.

12. Iowa: This is an open seat, but with popular Republican governor Terry Branstad running for an easy re-election, if the GOP nominates the right candidate from among many contenders, he or she could win in November against an off-the-shelf-left-wing Democrat, blah blah blah Bruce Braley.

13. Oregon: Dr. Monica Wehby is a pediatric neurosugeon –exactly the sort of person Obamacrae booster incumbent Jeff Merkely didn’t want to face but will in November.

14. New Hampshire: Former Massachusetts senator Scott Brown has been a second-home resident of the Granite State for decades and has moved north and taken the plunge into the race against Jeanne Shaheen –a strong partisan of Obamacare.


2 posted on 03/15/2014 8:23:44 AM PDT by Hojczyk
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To: Hojczyk

I hope it’s a bloodbath.

But once in, they best stop wimping around and do something. Lets not forget the majority will be slim, so the senate will still be a choke point.


3 posted on 03/15/2014 8:30:41 AM PDT by 12th_Monkey (One man one vote is a big fail, when the "one" man is an idiot.)
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To: Hojczyk

With zero giving away the internet, the Dems are toast.


10 posted on 03/15/2014 8:45:46 AM PDT by DownInFlames ( I)
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To: Hojczyk
I am tracking the projections from Sabato, Rothenberg, ElectionProjection and The Cook Report. Using their data I have established a Flip Index of sorts that ranks the most vulnerable incumbents of both parties at the top and the safest at the bottom.

These ratings are about 2 weeks old so we should see some updates in the next couple of weeks. Colorado is likely to move up the list when we see those updates.

Based on the projections of those 4 "Experts" here are my 12 most vulnerable Dems and 2 vulnerable Republicans with the most vulnerable at the top:

Near certain GOP takover
South Dakota
West Virginia
Montana

Likely GOP Takeover
Arkansas

Toss-Up but Dems slightly favored
North Carolina
Louisiana
Mississippi

Dems and GOP likely to hold
Alaska
Kentucky (GOP)
Iowa

Dems and GOP highly likely to hold
Colorado
Georgia (GOP)
New Hampshire
Virginia

12 posted on 03/15/2014 8:47:49 AM PDT by InterceptPoint
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To: Hojczyk

Ping for later read.


25 posted on 03/15/2014 9:24:11 AM PDT by Din Maker (Ted Cruz stands up to John Cornyn while Rand Paul wilts in the presence of Mitch McConnell.)
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To: Hojczyk

Thanks for posting this.


26 posted on 03/15/2014 9:29:46 AM PDT by matthew fuller (No, I don't miss GWB- I miss Dick Cheney and Don Rumsfeld.)
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