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GOP poll shows McConnell up big over Bevin
The Hill ^ | 3/10/14 | By Alexandra Jaffe

Posted on 03/19/2014 6:48:50 AM PDT by ChildOfThe60s

Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) has a nearly 40-point lead over his primary challenger, Matt Bevin, in a new Republican survey of the Kentucky Senate GOP primary.

The survey, conducted by Public Opinion Strategies for the pro-McConnell group Kentuckians for Strong Leadership, gives McConnell 61 percent support to Bevin’s 23 percent support.

That’s an increase in support from an early-February independent survey of the race, which showed McConnell ahead by only 26 points. But it’s actually a decrease from the last GOP survey of the race, conducted by Wenzel Strategies at the start of February, which gave him a 42-point lead.

It’s likely McConnell’s primary lead is somewhere between those two numbers — significant double-digits, still a favorable position just over two months out from Election Day.

The polling memo also notes McConnell maintains a 33-point lead over Bevin even among voters who say they’ve heard of the GOP challenger, an indication that, even if Bevin manages to increase his profile in the state, he’ll find it difficult to break ahead.

McConnell's persistently high unpopularity has given Democrats reason to believe he's one of the GOP's most vulnerable senators this cycle, but the new survey gives McConnell a surprisingly high approval rating among GOP primary voters, with 67 percent approving of his job performance, while just 25 percent view him unfavorably.

Bevin, in contrast, is seen favorably by just 21 percent of primary voters and unfavorably by 15 percent.

McConnell has sparked the ire of conservatives throughout his career but that frustration ran particularly high last month, when he was one of a handful of Republican senators to vote to raise the debt limit.

The fallout from the move was on display last week when McConnell received a lukewarm reception from activists at the Conservative Political Action Conference just outside of Washington, D.C.

But this survey, which was conducted Feb, 24-26, about 10 days after the vote, seems to indicate he still retains some good will with Republicans.

The survey was conducted among 400 likely Republican primary voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.

McConnell is favored in his primary, and expected to encounter Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes in the general election in Kentucky.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Kentucky
KEYWORDS: bevin; kentucky; lundergangrimes; mattbevin; mcconnell; mitchmcconnell
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Not that I've expected any miracles, but this is just sickening. McConnell has lied repeatedly about having a desire stop or repeal ObamaCare. If the Pubbies take the senate and he gets reelected & becomes majority leader, they will do NOTHING about ObamaCare.

Some choice we will get here. Grimes the commie or McConnell the RINO accommodater. Sh1t.

1 posted on 03/19/2014 6:48:50 AM PDT by ChildOfThe60s
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To: ChildOfThe60s

Have there been any ads for Bevin?


2 posted on 03/19/2014 6:51:52 AM PDT by Biggirl (“Go, do not be afraid, and serve”-Pope Francis)
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To: ChildOfThe60s

A sad reality: many Republican voters are low information voters too.


3 posted on 03/19/2014 6:52:09 AM PDT by Starboard
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To: ChildOfThe60s

let’s not sugar coat it, conservatives are just a minority.

It’s getting worse when so-called Republicans get a taste of “free stuff”, they become RINO. now Republicans itself is turning into RINO by definition.


4 posted on 03/19/2014 6:53:36 AM PDT by VAFreedom (maybe i should take a nap before work)
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To: Biggirl

This is just anecdotal, but I was at Wal-mart yesterday. I saw no bumper stickers FOR McConnell and at least three Ditch Mitch stickers.


5 posted on 03/19/2014 6:57:23 AM PDT by The Working Man
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To: ChildOfThe60s

If Mc Connell becomes Majority Leader, that means Crews will get appointed to the “Sanitation Committee” which will allow him plenty of time to campaign in Iowa.


6 posted on 03/19/2014 6:59:58 AM PDT by Old Retired Army Guy
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To: Starboard

You mean in other words “stupid” voters?


7 posted on 03/19/2014 7:02:00 AM PDT by Biggirl (“Go, do not be afraid, and serve”-Pope Francis)
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To: ChildOfThe60s

I’ll bet that is an M M M poll..


8 posted on 03/19/2014 7:02:37 AM PDT by CMailBag
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To: ChildOfThe60s

If Bevin doesn’t realize what he’s up against, then he’ll lose.

If McConnell gets back in, it may turn out that it is he who does not know what he’s up against. It is he and the other old-thinking, self centered, ignorant, corrupt, passive, Obama enabling republicans who are the problem. They are either out, or forget it.

Per Steyn and also John Hawkins this morning, a few conservatives in the congress here and there is just not going to cut it. If McConnell loses, what’s the difference if people don’t really replace him? If Bevin’s not up to beating him now, then he wouldn’t be up for moving ahead once he’s in, where the real fight is.

Cruz had to beat Bushy Dewhurst - I the primary. That’s the other republican.

The senate race against the Dem, whoever that was, was easy.

Then he had to get ahead of what’s going on in the senate. Talking sense to Feinstein was impressive, but the real fight is against those republicans who would call him wacko to the nation. what’s going on behind the scenes there?

No. If Bevin can’t get ahead now, forget it. These guys can NOT act the victim once they’re in the Senate. THat’s where it Starts.


9 posted on 03/19/2014 7:02:50 AM PDT by stanne
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To: ChildOfThe60s

That’s sad to hear. I hope to see alternative polling data to show there is a chance. Unfortunately, a lot of voters are not engaged and react to the millions dumped into the race. Money does matter a great deal in politics.

If only Washington Republicans fought as hard in their jobs as they do in primaries.

In this race, too, we need to remember how hard it is to remove a sitting leader. Reid came from political death rattle to reelection in 2010...not because the opposition was bad, but because they have literally unlimited resources at their disposal...money, political machines, etc.


10 posted on 03/19/2014 7:04:33 AM PDT by ilgipper
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To: VAFreedom
let’s not sugar coat it, conservatives are just a minority.

I thought 70% of the base are conservative? I'm sure Kentucky republicans were told how conservative mc is because of his voting record, which is misleading. I'm sure mc had all the gop money he needed to keep his job. Maybe people are scared of change. With mc they won't get any change, just whatever o wants. Does Bevin have any dirty laundry or did they make up stuff?

11 posted on 03/19/2014 7:08:41 AM PDT by Linda Frances (Woe to those who call evil good and good evil, who put darkness for light and light for darkness.)
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To: ChildOfThe60s

I live in Kentucky. Sadly, Bevin is done.


12 posted on 03/19/2014 7:08:53 AM PDT by Reagan79 (Today, I consider myself the wisest Latina Woman on the face of the earth.)
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To: Linda Frances

‘Conservative’ means different things to different people.


13 posted on 03/19/2014 7:09:40 AM PDT by dfwgator
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To: ChildOfThe60s

Has Sarah Palin used her clout to help here?


14 posted on 03/19/2014 7:11:11 AM PDT by don-o (He will not share His glory and He will NOT be mocked! Blessed be the name of the Lord forever!)
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To: ChildOfThe60s

When Cornball scored so easily in TX, it also meant McC is unstoppable in KY and Grahama in SC too. These are “wave” things. Voters are asleep at the switch nationwide.


15 posted on 03/19/2014 7:11:50 AM PDT by Theodore R. (It was inevitable: Texans will always be for Cornball and George P.!)
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To: Reagan79

KY people are just like their compatriots elswhere. They want a familiar name who can win.


16 posted on 03/19/2014 7:12:54 AM PDT by Theodore R. (It was inevitable: Texans will always be for Cornball and George P.!)
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To: Theodore R.

The Government Party wins again.


17 posted on 03/19/2014 7:13:25 AM PDT by dfwgator
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To: ChildOfThe60s

Begins has 60 days to close the gap.


18 posted on 03/19/2014 7:15:20 AM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: VAFreedom

Correct, plus there is the reality of politics, and how perception becomes reality through a process that is fueled with Party money and influence.

I dislike McConnell as much as anyone, but anyone who thinks that the Senate Minority Leader is going to lose his primary to a newcomer with only 21% favorability is delusional.


19 posted on 03/19/2014 7:17:23 AM PDT by bigbob (The best way to get a bad law repealed is to enforce it strictly. Abraham Lincoln)
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To: ChildOfThe60s

Well it looks like Mitchie may get to be majority leader. Nothing the Tea Party initiates will ever get to the floor of the Senate for a vote. RINO’s will still rule.


20 posted on 03/19/2014 7:19:07 AM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose o f a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped.)
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To: ChildOfThe60s
survey, conducted by Public Opinion Strategies for the pro-McConnell group

sounds like the McConnell camp is preparing to steal the election

21 posted on 03/19/2014 7:24:22 AM PDT by drypowder
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To: ChildOfThe60s
I just want to point out that Public Opinion Strategies (POS... heh) is the same polling firm that had Romney convinced he had the Presidential election in the bag - so convinced that he had only prepared his victory speech. In a Washington ComPost piece from November of 2012, POS's Neil Newhouse explained that they had based their opinion on surveys showing an electorate that 'favored' Republicans. We all know how that turned out.

Going forward, Newhouse explained that they would be including more 'young voters' in their sampling. They also decided it would be wise to do one third of their respondents via cell phone.

Just a little food for thought here.

22 posted on 03/19/2014 7:25:55 AM PDT by liberalh8ter (The only difference between flash mob 'urban yutes' and U.S. politicians is the hoodies.)
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To: ChildOfThe60s

Hey that’s great.

Pretty much why I am going to vote for Ted Cruz and NO ONE ELSE.


23 posted on 03/19/2014 7:27:08 AM PDT by chris37 (Heartless.)
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To: ChildOfThe60s

If this was true, he would not be this worried


24 posted on 03/19/2014 7:28:11 AM PDT by Mr. K (If you like your constitution, you can keep it...Period.)
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To: The Working Man

get out and rally the base if you can!!

Get a handful of those bumper stickers and pass them out

Put up signs

WE NEED A BIG WIN


25 posted on 03/19/2014 7:29:03 AM PDT by Mr. K (If you like your constitution, you can keep it...Period.)
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To: ChildOfThe60s

Just shows how stupid and ignorant the voters are. Sad.


26 posted on 03/19/2014 7:29:10 AM PDT by mulligan (I)
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To: VAFreedom

Fact # 1 - This is a poll presented by The Hill, like in Kirstin Powers et al. - BIG time libs.

Fact # 2 - The GOP establishment is backing turkey throat

Fact # 3 - Its very hard to beat an entrenched incumbent - they have YEARS to use their office to dispense favors to constituents and corporations. The Constituents give them votes, the corporations give them money.

Fact # 4 - Nobody said it would be easy to take our country back. But remember those people who DIED at places like Bunker Hill, Gettysburg, the Argonne Forest, Chateau Thierry, Iwo Jima, etc. We OWE it to them to keep trying.


27 posted on 03/19/2014 7:29:38 AM PDT by ZULU (Si vis pacem, para bellum)
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To: ChildOfThe60s
"The survey, conducted by Public Opinion Strategies for the pro-McConnell group Kentuckians for Strong Leadership, gives McConnell 61 percent support to Bevin’s 23 percent support."

Designed to bust morale IMO, and it seems like it's working, by the comments so far. If conservatives are willing to throw in the towel this easily, well...

28 posted on 03/19/2014 7:30:34 AM PDT by PoloSec ( Believe the Gospel: how that Christ died for our sins, was buried and rose again)
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To: Theodore R.

Cornball did NOT score easily in Tx. He did not even get 60% of the vote.

For an incumbant, that is terrible.


29 posted on 03/19/2014 7:31:25 AM PDT by Mr. K (If you like your constitution, you can keep it...Period.)
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To: dfwgator

Why don’;t you just SHUT UP

You are here to demoralize, that’s all...


30 posted on 03/19/2014 7:32:15 AM PDT by Mr. K (If you like your constitution, you can keep it...Period.)
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To: drypowder
sounds like the McConnell camp is preparing to steal the election

The Cook County Machine is working overtime here. McConnell's comments last weekend to the NYT that they are going to "crush Conservatives everywhere" was not just wishful thinking on his part. He knows what their machine is going to do to every single Conservative in the country. There will never be another Ted Cruz Mike Lee or Rand Paul again if they can help it.

Its all part of the MarxoFascist national coup that took place. The GOP Ruling Class are Judenrats and like the prospect of sharing where the power now lies.

31 posted on 03/19/2014 7:33:20 AM PDT by INVAR ("Fart for liberty, fart for freedom and fart proudly!" - Benjamin Franklin)
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To: Biggirl

Let’s just say the Tea Party voters are better informed. :)


32 posted on 03/19/2014 7:37:48 AM PDT by Starboard
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To: ChildOfThe60s
Public Opinion Strategies for the pro-McConnell
group Kentuckians for Strong Leadership..the HILL
considering these sources, the polling maybe ...
very skewed, to favor Reid's *itch McConnell (Wdc-GOP/e)

i'm stickin' w/ Matt Bevin, i don't/won't vote for whores like Mitch.

33 posted on 03/19/2014 7:39:38 AM PDT by skinkinthegrass (The end move in politics is always to pick up a gun..0'Caligula / 0'Reid / 0'Pelosi)
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To: ZULU
Consider the Psy-Ops being done and repeated on all local media AD NAUSEUM today:

The survey, conducted by Public Opinion Strategies for the pro-McConnell group Kentuckians for Strong Leadership, gives McConnell 61 percent support to Bevin’s 23 percent support.

Says pretty much what you need to know.

Nobody said it would be easy to take our country back. But remember those people who DIED at places like Bunker Hill, Gettysburg, the Argonne Forest, Chateau Thierry, Iwo Jima, etc. We OWE it to them to keep trying.

Like the aforementioned events listed above - defeating tyranny is going to require more than casting a ballot. Civility means nothing to tyrants, power is everything and they will use all power to retain their power.

A fact seemingly LOST on a people who fell asleep at the wheel wondering how to get control of their ship back.

34 posted on 03/19/2014 7:40:51 AM PDT by INVAR ("Fart for liberty, fart for freedom and fart proudly!" - Benjamin Franklin)
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To: ChildOfThe60s

The gopE has taken a play out of the democrat handbook. “Who else are you going to vote for, dummies?”

Well, as for me, I’ll vote third party, write a name in or stay home and save my gas. I will never vote for another republican.


35 posted on 03/19/2014 8:04:44 AM PDT by VerySadAmerican (".....Barrack, and the horse Mohammed rode in on.")
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To: ChildOfThe60s

“GOP poll” not sure how trust worthy that is. “GOP polls” had Romney beating Obama too.


36 posted on 03/19/2014 8:05:32 AM PDT by Robert DeLong (u)
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To: ChildOfThe60s

If I was in Kentucky I’d vote for the democrat. McConnell and his ilk need to get a slap in the face. Wouldn’t he be shocked if the democrat won in a landslide!


37 posted on 03/19/2014 8:06:00 AM PDT by VerySadAmerican (".....Barrack, and the horse Mohammed rode in on.")
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To: Theodore R.

If Bevin is no more competition than what Cornyn had, them Mitch is a shoe-in.

You can not drag in some underfunded unknown in the last minute and beat well established and heavy funded incumbents.


38 posted on 03/19/2014 8:09:06 AM PDT by X-spurt (CRUZ missile - armed and ready.)
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To: VerySadAmerican

The Democrat will win against McConnell, he has a 60% unfavorable rating in the state.

Mitch is running even with the Dem, and when Bevin’s voters vote for the Dem or stay home he will lose.

Actually that will be better than him in the Majority leader post. It will send a message to the GOPe, that funding Obamacare is not an issue you win on.


39 posted on 03/19/2014 8:26:18 AM PDT by Zenjitsuman (New Boss Nancy Pelosi)
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To: ChildOfThe60s

When I saw Rand Paul endorse Mitch I knew Bevin was done for.

Rand Paul was endorsed by the Tea Party and Mitch wants to smite the Tea Party.

Paul is an opportunist and cannot be trusted. He is not a Tea Party conservative.

Paul is just like Rubio, even on amnesty, Paul just wants to
do it over a few years, not immediately.

Paul is phony


40 posted on 03/19/2014 8:31:50 AM PDT by Zenjitsuman (New Boss Nancy Pelosi)
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To: Biggirl
Have there been any ads for Bevin?

Bevin is running radio ads pretty frequently, but not too many TV ads.

A few weeks ago, McConnell was FLOODING The airwaves... he even purchased local ads during the Super Bowl. But, he's slowed down now. I guess, they think Bevin is toast.

41 posted on 03/19/2014 8:39:29 AM PDT by SomeCallMeTim ( The best minds are not in government. If any were, business would hire them!)
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To: The Working Man
This is just anecdotal, but I was at Wal-mart yesterday. I saw no bumper stickers FOR McConnell and at least three Ditch Mitch stickers.

I've had a Bevin bumper sticker on my car for about a week now. Hope to get my yard sign soon.

42 posted on 03/19/2014 8:40:26 AM PDT by SomeCallMeTim ( The best minds are not in government. If any were, business would hire them!)
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To: SomeCallMeTim

When they think Bevin, they could be in for a possible surprise.


43 posted on 03/19/2014 8:40:45 AM PDT by Biggirl (“Go, do not be afraid, and serve”-Pope Francis)
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To: ChildOfThe60s

So what happened with Bevin’s campaign.


44 posted on 03/19/2014 8:42:46 AM PDT by Red White and Blue patriot (USA all the way. Love it or Leave it. Better dead than Red. Putin = Hitler 2014)
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To: ChildOfThe60s

McConnell and his like is exactly why i will not vote for the GOP again.If there isn’t a Tea Party person in there i wont vote!Lets get this shooting war going before we,i get to old to fight these bastards.


45 posted on 03/19/2014 8:46:15 AM PDT by spincaster (Spincaster)
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To: X-spurt
If Bevin is no more competition than what Cornyn had, them Mitch is a shoe-in.

Bevin is better candidate than the squirrels who ran against Cornyn. I doubt Matt will "disappear" in the final weeks of the campaign.

But, he is a relative unknown... he's never run for ANY office. So, he had zero name recognition. It's a HUGE hurdle for someone trying to take on the Minority Leader in the Senate.

46 posted on 03/19/2014 8:47:53 AM PDT by SomeCallMeTim ( The best minds are not in government. If any were, business would hire them!)
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To: Mr. K
Cornball did NOT score easily in Tx. He did not even get 60% of the vote.

...and that was with only 10% of eligible voters in the state making the effort to vote. If just 10% more would have gotten off their ass and voted in the primary, I have no doubt that Cornyn would be facing a runoff.

47 posted on 03/19/2014 8:48:31 AM PDT by TADSLOS (The Event Horizon has come and gone. Buckle up and hang on.)
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To: Mr. K

He did not even get 60% of the vote.

*********

That is correct. Cornyn only got 59.44% of the vote with the remainder split
amongst seven hopefuls with one getting 19.33% and another 10.71%.


48 posted on 03/19/2014 8:54:12 AM PDT by deport
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To: Linda Frances
Does Bevin have any dirty laundry or did they make up stuff?

It's pretty minimal, but... enough for Mitch to use it effectively. The two biggest negatives have been:

On his LinkedIn page, at the TOP HEADING, Bevin listed "MIT" on his education line. Further down the page, he listed the full details of the "MIT Sponsored" Executive MBA program. MIT has denied all affiliation with the group that ran the program. But, the program clearly DOES have MIT in their name, and MIT printed ON the diploma. And, the classes were taught in MIT-owned buildings. So, personally? I don't think it's such a big deal. MIT should protect their brand better. But, it sounds TERRIBLE when Mitch claims "Bevin lied on his resume about attending MIT".

That charge went unanswered FAR for too long. IMO, it hurt Bevin more than anything else.

The only other negative I've seen is: Bevin claims he is against government bailouts. But, during the 2008 crisis, he told investors in a letter that the TARP bailout was an "effective policy". I'm not sure those two positions are entirely contradictive...But, whatever... Mitch has made a big deal of it.

IMO, it's much ado about nothing. But, against a candidate about whom so little is known?? It's been killer.

49 posted on 03/19/2014 8:58:44 AM PDT by SomeCallMeTim ( The best minds are not in government. If any were, business would hire them!)
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To: deport; Mr. K

Do you think Cornyn and the GOPe give a rat’s ass about whether they got 60% or not?? HELL NO!

All they needed was 50% plus 1, and they GOT it. Now, Cornyn is safe for another SIX YEARS!

I’m sick of people sugar-coating that loss. That was TEXAS! Losing that seat to a RINO was crushing.

It exposes our problem: Good people don’t want to run.


50 posted on 03/19/2014 9:01:35 AM PDT by SomeCallMeTim ( The best minds are not in government. If any were, business would hire them!)
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