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Montana Senate: Daines (R) 51%, Walsh (D) 37%
rassmussenreports.com ^ | 3/19/14

Posted on 03/19/2014 11:12:33 AM PDT by cotton1706

Republican Congressman Steve Daines is well ahead of interim Senator John Walsh and fellow Democrat John Bohlinger in Rasmussen Reports’ first look at the 2014 U.S. Senate race in Montana.

A new statewide telephone survey of Likely Montana Voters finds that Daines leads Walsh by 14 points – 51% to 37%. Four percent (4%) like some other candidate in the race, and nine percent (9%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Montana was conducted on March 17-18, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Politics/Elections; US: Montana
KEYWORDS: elections; johnbohlinger; johnwalsh; montana; stevedaines

1 posted on 03/19/2014 11:12:33 AM PDT by cotton1706
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To: cotton1706

As long as Daines doesn’t pull a Rehberg, we’re in business.


2 posted on 03/19/2014 11:18:38 AM PDT by Viennacon
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; cardinal4; ColdOne; ...

Obviously Montana has to be dragged through the courts to overturn this unjust result! /s


3 posted on 03/19/2014 11:20:11 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: cotton1706
I suspect its much closer than that. Neither is particularly well liked. Montana is not a red state, in spite of what all the out of state folks try to tell you.

Daines may be ahead but nobody up here has any interest in the election at this point.

4 posted on 03/19/2014 11:28:59 AM PDT by montanajoe
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To: montanajoe
Montana is not a red state, in spite of what all the out of state folks try to tell you.

I suspect that is due to the density of the population around Helena and Missoula (UofM). This is far too endemic of the Electoral College. Unless it is changed to attenuate the effect of population centers, this Nation is not long for this Earth.

5 posted on 03/19/2014 11:39:21 AM PDT by rjsimmon (The Tree of Liberty Thirsts)
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To: montanajoe

Heard that Montana has never voted into office anyone that was appointed by a Governor to finish someone’s term.

Hope this is true


6 posted on 03/19/2014 11:42:06 AM PDT by Old Griz
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To: Viennacon

I forgot what Rehberg did. Refresh my memory please.


7 posted on 03/19/2014 11:42:37 AM PDT by Din Maker (Rand Paul, Rick Perry endorse Mitch McConnell over Bevin. Neither will ever get my vote in 2016.)
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To: Din Maker

Ran a campaign so boring, everyone fell asleep.


8 posted on 03/19/2014 11:43:49 AM PDT by Viennacon
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To: rjsimmon

Montana is an old railroad/mining/union state, and in fact is a closed shop state.

Like the Dakotas it also has large numbers of old folks, farmers and Indians who, like it or not, have been conditioned to look to the government for sustenance.

In addition the wealthy lefties who have already ruined Colorado, to name one state, are also moving to Montana in large numbers.

Still Daines is a decent fellow, good-natured and apparently squeaky clean and, as per Viennacon above, if he doesn’t fall on his face it seems he’s on track to win.


9 posted on 03/19/2014 11:47:19 AM PDT by Fightin Whitey
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To: rjsimmon
Actually, its more due to the lack of population density in the state as a whole. We just cracked a million in the last few years. We have the 4th largest land mass of any state we don't have the economic/tax base to pay for everything.

The state is heavily dependent on the Fed's to provide highway funds, farm subsidies, student loans, military pay and pensions, federal retirement, Veterans benefits and Social Security.

Anybody wanting to get elected Senator here has to guarantee Montana voters that none of those programs will be cut....

10 posted on 03/19/2014 11:53:40 AM PDT by montanajoe
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To: Fightin Whitey

Yep, the Kalifornicators are infesting Missoula, Bozeman, and likely Butte.


11 posted on 03/19/2014 11:55:41 AM PDT by QT3.14
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To: cotton1706

Did Walsh ever find that $23,000,000 of missing stimulus money from his department?


12 posted on 03/19/2014 11:55:53 AM PDT by blueunicorn6 ("A crack shot and a good dancer")
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To: QT3.14

I doubt many Kalifornicators will be attracted to Butte...although it’s my favorite Montana city...more like Bozeman, Helena and Mizzou.
Butte is now and always has been a big union town.


13 posted on 03/19/2014 12:10:57 PM PDT by Cuttnhorse
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To: Old Griz

Well the Dem’s have always held that seat its the other that went to the GOP a few times ..so I guess you need to hope that trend won’t hold true....

In Montana have to look at what it is now..it ain’t the same place I grew up in...


14 posted on 03/19/2014 12:23:59 PM PDT by montanajoe
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To: Viennacon
pull a Rehberg

What does "pull a Rehberg" actually mean?

The GOPe and msm lecture us ad infinitum about why we lost in Indiana and Missouri since it fits their narrative. But there is not one word about why we lost in Montana, and not one word about why we lost in Florida, and not one word about why we lost in North Dakota, and not one word about why we lost in Wisconsin .... etc. etc.

Since the GOPe and msm are silent about Rehberg's loss, I think I could probably guess why he lost. But would you mind confirming my suspicions?

15 posted on 03/19/2014 4:16:57 PM PDT by rhinohunter (Freepers aren't booing -- they're shouting "Cruuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuz")
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To: rhinohunter

He ran a lackluster, sleepwalkers’ campaign. Did nothing to counteract a Democrat plant Libertarian. An all round fiasco, and yes, a RINO screwup.


16 posted on 03/19/2014 4:24:55 PM PDT by Viennacon
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To: fieldmarshaldj; BillyBoy; AuH2ORepublican; justiceseeker93; randita; yongin

Very encouraging poll in Montana.


17 posted on 03/19/2014 8:27:50 PM PDT by Impy (RED=COMMUNIST, NOT REPUBLICAN)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Ping


18 posted on 03/19/2014 9:10:36 PM PDT by Impy (RED=COMMUNIST, NOT REPUBLICAN)
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To: Impy; fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; GOPsterinMA; randita; Sun; LdSentinal; ExTexasRedhead; ...

This race is a likely but not certain pick-up. The race to succeed Daines in the House is a little more iffy. Does anyone know about the Pubbie candidates in the crowded primary?


19 posted on 03/20/2014 3:46:10 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (The War on Drugs is Big Government statism)
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To: Clintonfatigued; Impy; AuH2ORepublican; BillyBoy

Drew Turiano is identified as the “Tea Party” candidate, but he has no money. I thought Corey Stapleton was supposed to be the strongest candidate, but he’s in 3rd place in the money race. Matt Rosendale has the most amount of money. Aside from Turiano, all 4 other candidates are current or former State Senators.

I’d have to yield to the folks in Montana as to which of the candidates is the most appealing. I don’t expect the GOP to lose either race this time, fortunately.


20 posted on 03/20/2014 4:12:45 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Not sure, I think both Coree Stapleton and Chamo Edmunds are running, Stapleton being the likely favorite. Not too worried here. Dems need a very good election cycle to pick up these ‘at-large’ House seats in the midwest, and they sure as hell are not getting one this time around.


21 posted on 03/20/2014 4:18:05 PM PDT by Viennacon
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To: fieldmarshaldj; Viennacon; AuH2ORepublican; Clintonfatigued; BillyBoy

News on Turiano, in addition to having only $2500 and change as of the end of last year, the “Montana Tea Party Coalition” denies any association with him.


22 posted on 03/20/2014 7:52:08 PM PDT by Impy (RED=COMMUNIST, NOT REPUBLICAN)
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To: Fightin Whitey
Montana is an old railroad/mining/union state, and in fact is a closed shop state.

Actually Montana is more of an agriculture state. The enviro-weenies have pretty much killed the mining industry around western Montana. There's still some mining, but it's nothing like it was 40 or 50 years ago. The railroads don't stop in Montana, they go right through it. Eastern Montana is seeing some benefit from the oil industry in North Dakota.

23 posted on 03/23/2014 10:50:55 AM PDT by BigSkyFreeper (You have entered an invalid birthday)
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To: BigSkyFreeper

Yes, that’s why I said “old” railroad/mining/union state.

I phrased it that way intending to describe the roots and staying power of some of the lefty politics here-—because it isn’t just the rich newcomers who elect people like Baucus, Schweitzer, Bullox and, heaven help us, Tester.

But it wasn’t very precise and I apologize.


24 posted on 03/23/2014 1:16:55 PM PDT by Fightin Whitey
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