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UVA's 'Crystal Ball': Jeb Bush Top GOP 2016 Presidential Contender
Big Government ^ | March 20, 2014 | Tony Lee

Posted on 03/20/2014 10:52:13 PM PDT by This Just In

Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush has not made any formal moves to indicate he will run for the GOP presidential nomination in 2016, but he is already rated as the top contender by one university, even though he does not lead in any preliminary presidential polls.

(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2014election; 2016election; election2014; election2016; florida; jebbush; marcorubio

1 posted on 03/20/2014 10:52:13 PM PDT by This Just In
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To: This Just In

From the article:

“We now consider Bush the leader of the field if he decides to run,” the University of Virginia Center for Politics’s “Crystal Ball” concluded after updating its 2016 ratings.”

And I’m sure UV is not a liberal university. /s


2 posted on 03/20/2014 10:55:10 PM PDT by This Just In
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To: This Just In

I wonder how much the Bush family paid Larry Sabato to push this crap.


3 posted on 03/20/2014 10:57:25 PM PDT by TADSLOS (The Event Horizon has come and gone. Buckle up and hang on.)
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To: TADSLOS

Anything’s possible.


4 posted on 03/20/2014 11:02:01 PM PDT by This Just In
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To: This Just In

I think I am hallucinating. I am not really typing right now. This is just a bad dream.


5 posted on 03/20/2014 11:02:02 PM PDT by Psalm 144 (My citizenship is not here.)
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To: This Just In

If Jeb Bush becomes the nominee we can officially declare America a 3rd world country. Two families ruling a country or having the opportunity to rule it for 7/8 elections rarely happens in 3rd world countries. Get ready to say president Hillary, Chelsea or Jenna in the near future. Only a thoroughly corrupt political process can we even imagine it. Even if one of the Bush’s is uber conservative it doesn’t change the conclusion.


6 posted on 03/20/2014 11:02:40 PM PDT by raj bhatia
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To: Psalm 144

I think I’ll take what you’re hallucinating on.


7 posted on 03/20/2014 11:03:46 PM PDT by This Just In
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To: This Just In

Let me be the first to say we don't need anymore Bushes in office.

(Barbara's actual sentiment.)

8 posted on 03/20/2014 11:04:33 PM PDT by Slyfox (When Jesus sees a momma holding her little baby, it reminds him of his own momma.)
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To: This Just In
These people are selling crap. It's all "chatter". In other words BS.

CNN/ORC International survey

Rand Paul . . . . . 16    
Paul Ryan . . . . . 15   
Rick Perry  . . . . 11   
Mike Huckabee . . . 10    
Jeb Bush  . . . . .  9   
Chris Christie  . .  8   
Ted Cruz  . . . . .  8   
Marco Rubio . . . .  5    
Rick Santorum . . .  3   
other/no opinion  . 15  
http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2014/03/16/cnn-poll-rand-paul-goes-where-his-father-never-went/
9 posted on 03/20/2014 11:06:03 PM PDT by Ray76 (Profit from the mistakes of others, you'll never live long enough to make them all yourself.)
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To: raj bhatia

Bush isn’t going to draw the conservative vote. I doubt he’ll attract the undecided either.


10 posted on 03/20/2014 11:08:22 PM PDT by This Just In
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To: Ray76

They’re projecting, although I do believe Jeb is considering a presidential bid. Click here:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3135057/posts


11 posted on 03/20/2014 11:15:08 PM PDT by This Just In
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To: This Just In

Not the point. How many lemmings would it take to vote in Jeb as a nominee? In a fractured primary process, a small number. What does it say about a political process that the genius is seen by voters to reside exclusively in 2 families? If Jeb signed on to every conservative position espoused in this board we are still lemmings for buying into family rule.


12 posted on 03/20/2014 11:16:41 PM PDT by raj bhatia
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To: raj bhatia

You can expect that the establishment will huddle together and decide who is to run alone against half a dozen Tea Party candidates. And judging by 2012, the RINO candidate is going to get at least 25% of the ‘moderate’ Republican vote in each of the primary states. We need to amass enough votes behind one candidate to beat that comfortably.


13 posted on 03/20/2014 11:25:34 PM PDT by Corporate Democrat
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To: This Just In

Go Sarah go! Go Louie go! Take America back!


14 posted on 03/20/2014 11:29:12 PM PDT by re_nortex (DP - that's what I like about Texas)
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To: raj bhatia

Not necessarily true. It would depend on the other candidates. With GWB, the field didn’t have much to offer. It was not a question of family rule but of candidates.

However, in this case Jeb’s family is not a benefit but rather than obstacle we will not be able to overcome.


15 posted on 03/20/2014 11:29:21 PM PDT by This Just In
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To: Ray76

BTW, gotta love the “International” survey.


16 posted on 03/20/2014 11:32:47 PM PDT by This Just In
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To: Psalm 144

i won’t be showing to the polls that day but i really am starting to believe the noise we hear about him is being orchestrated.


17 posted on 03/20/2014 11:40:22 PM PDT by wiggen (The teacher card. When the racism card just won't work.)
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To: This Just In

More than projecting, selling.


18 posted on 03/20/2014 11:45:17 PM PDT by Ray76 (Profit from the mistakes of others, you'll never live long enough to make them all yourself.)
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To: Ray76

Well the whole point of projecting in this case is to sell.


19 posted on 03/20/2014 11:50:45 PM PDT by This Just In
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To: This Just In

So they predict the GOP loses again


20 posted on 03/20/2014 11:55:06 PM PDT by GeronL (Vote for Conservatives not for Republicans!)
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To: Corporate Democrat

Yes we do! It’s the only way to defeat any Rino. We need someone with the cojones that will cut government, cut out departments, wipe out Obamacare and tackle the media when he does. The only candidate who fits this bill is Cruz.


21 posted on 03/21/2014 12:08:14 AM PDT by stilloftyhenight (...staying home isn't an option.)
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To: This Just In

Click through to the article and you’ll see that this comes from Larry J. Sabato of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia. Who is Larry J. Sabato?

He wants a Constitutional Convention (his words) to, among other things:

Appoint all former presidents and vice presidents to the new office of “National Senator”

Lengthen the terms of representatives from two years to three years, and set Senate terms to coincide with all presidential elections, so the entire House and Senate would be elected at the same time as the President. (say good by to diffused power)

“Universal national service”

See his book “A More Perfect Constitution”
http://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/more-perfect-constitution-larry-j-sabato/1100624423?ean=9780802716835

A warning, he envisions this under Article V.

The Center for Politics, which he founded, conducts a National Youth Leadership Initiative where students engage in a mock Constitutional Convention. http://www.amoreperfectconstitution.com/youth_leadership_initiative.htm

http://www.youthleadership.net/2013/08/20/yli-2013-national-mock-constitutional-convention-and-election/

This Snake is Slick.


22 posted on 03/21/2014 12:10:40 AM PDT by Ray76 (Profit from the mistakes of others, you'll never live long enough to make them all yourself.)
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To: Ray76

Great info., Ray76.

Thank you. Will visit links when the sun comes up.

TJI


23 posted on 03/21/2014 12:38:55 AM PDT by This Just In
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To: This Just In

I went looking for any connections with Bush. I didn’t find any, but boy I did find some other stuff.

He’s well connected and has the prestige of the U of Virginia behind him, that’s why I say he’s slick.


24 posted on 03/21/2014 12:45:12 AM PDT by Ray76 (Profit from the mistakes of others, you'll never live long enough to make them all yourself.)
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To: This Just In

25 posted on 03/21/2014 1:15:43 AM PDT by rottndog ('Live Free Or Die' Ain't just words on a bumber sticker...or a tagline.)
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To: Ray76

I’ve been aware of Sabato for a while. A very conservative friend at work thinks highly of him. I’m not so sure, although I acknowledge he has a better than 50-50 track record in predicting election outcomes in the past. But another Bush? No thanks!

TC


26 posted on 03/21/2014 1:47:33 AM PDT by Pentagon Leatherneck
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To: This Just In
The elites continue to try to shove Hillary and Bush down out throats.

I don't think either Party wants anymore Clinton's or Bush's.

I won't vote for him-period.

27 posted on 03/21/2014 1:48:42 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: Slyfox

"We have RomneyCARE, more Saudi bowing,
and more totally open borders FOR YOU !!!"

28 posted on 03/21/2014 2:36:28 AM PDT by Diogenesis
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To: This Just In

If he is, I’m moving to Russia.


29 posted on 03/21/2014 2:36:41 AM PDT by Opinionated Blowhard ("When the people find they can vote themselves money, that will herald the end of the republic.")
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To: This Just In
“We now consider Bush the leader of the field if he decides to run,” the University of Virginia Center for Politics’s “Crystal Ball” concluded after updating its 2016 ratings.”

The University of Virginia Center for Politics apparently does not get away from the campus very much. This is a surprising finding, given that they probably have access to the Internet.

30 posted on 03/21/2014 3:11:07 AM PDT by olezip (Time obliterates the fictions of opinion and confirms the decisions of nature. ~ Cicero)
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To: re_nortex
Go Sarah go! Go Louie go! Take America back!

It won't fly in the real world. One has too much "attractiveness" while the other doesn't have enough hair!!!

31 posted on 03/21/2014 3:26:03 AM PDT by varon (Para bellum)
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To: This Just In
UVA, which calls itself the "Harvard of the South."

'nuff said.

32 posted on 03/21/2014 3:39:54 AM PDT by Timber Rattler (Just say NO! to RINOS and the GOP-E)
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To: This Just In

good luck with that.
I will not support another bush
Just tired of their compassionate conservative bull crap.
The Bush’s are NOT conservatives, never were never will be.
If he is the parties candidate then I will write in
cruz, Paul, or freaken bugs bunny.


33 posted on 03/21/2014 4:05:00 AM PDT by Joe Boucher ((FUBO) obammy lied and lied and lied)
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To: This Just In

NO......Please no more Bushes, Clintons or Kennedys.
Lets try something fresh this time.


34 posted on 03/21/2014 4:31:54 AM PDT by Yorlik803 ( Church/Caboose in 2016)
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To: This Just In

I won’t even vote if that dipshit is the GOP nominee.


35 posted on 03/21/2014 4:33:34 AM PDT by anton
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To: This Just In

Re. Bush v. Hillary
In her words, “what difference does it make?”.


36 posted on 03/21/2014 5:19:34 AM PDT by kenmcg
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To: rottndog

Most excellent.


37 posted on 03/21/2014 6:12:01 AM PDT by Psalm 144 (My citizenship is not here.)
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To: This Just In

UVA the weakest number 1 seed.


38 posted on 03/21/2014 6:20:38 AM PDT by Biggirl (“Go, do not be afraid, and serve”-Pope Francis)
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To: This Just In

Makes me want to swear.


39 posted on 03/21/2014 7:44:54 AM PDT by madison10
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To: This Just In

Larry Sabato, a noted leftist kool-aid drinker, lobbying hard for the GOP to immolate its’ 2016 chances on a sword named “Jeb”.


40 posted on 03/21/2014 8:35:11 AM PDT by Buckeye Battle Cry (Audentis Fortuna Iuvat)
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To: This Just In

If Jeb Bush is the republican nominee, I will vote third party, write in Ted Cruz or my own name, or not vote.


41 posted on 03/21/2014 6:48:19 PM PDT by VerySadAmerican (".....Barrack, and the horse Mohammed rode in on.")
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To: Slyfox

Imho, she’s behind it all. More than anything else, I believe that she wants a dynasty.


42 posted on 03/21/2014 6:57:56 PM PDT by trisham (Zen is not easy. It takes effort to attain nothingness. And then what do you have? Bupkis.)
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To: raj bhatia

well said


43 posted on 03/23/2014 12:04:42 PM PDT by Pelham (If you do not deport it is amnesty by default.)
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