In my Eastern European War brackets I pick Russia to invade and beat Ukraine. Crimea is not connected by land to Russia. The Russians will want a land bridge from Crimea to Russia. They will need it for gas lines, oil pipelines, roads, etc.
You are spot on. I read a foreign publication which was reporting “issues” in Kherson and Donetsk. Looking at road maps of the area, it seems to me that the major “European Highway” running on the South of Ukraine to Russia would be a good supply route for the RF. The Spetznatz, along with titushkys are already in place.
I was ready to correct you. The I enlarged my map. I thought there was a bridge there. I was wrong. They should build one.