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Can Angela Merkel prevent a new Cold War?
Washington Post ^ | March 27, 2014 | BY ANTHEE CARASSAVA

Posted on 03/27/2014 10:48:49 AM PDT by Jim Robinson

ATHENS — For all the chest-thumping and heated rhetoric between President Obama and President Vladimir Putin of Russia in recent weeks, efforts by the West to make Moscow’s maverick leader pay for pushing his forces through Crimea have failed — miserably. U.S. and European officials already acknowledge that Crimea is a lost cause, and some assert that Putin’s lightning takeover and annexation of the peninsula mark the start of a new Cold War.

The challenge now, experts explain, is stopping Russia’s capricious autocrat of 14 years from further destabilizing Ukraine. That means stiffer sanctions if Putin provokes further trouble. But if he doesn’t, preferring instead to just pocket his victory in Crimea and leave it at that, then the way could be paved for negotiations that would allow for Ukraine’s besieged and harassed military personnel to exit Crimea peacefully, followed by free elections in Ukraine to install a legitimate national government, revamp the economy and create durable institutions.

Whatever the solution, if any, it most probably depends on German Chancellor Angela Merkel and the tetchy ties that the de facto boss of the European Union has with the Russian president.

Ever since Putin drove a tank through world order, in effect, by annexing Crimea, Merkel has made but a handful of cautiously worded public remarks, mainly underscoring the need for preserving the territorial integrity of Ukraine. But behind the scenes, the world’s most powerful female leader is at the center of it all. U.S and European officials acknowledge that if anyone can exercise any influence on Putin, potentially getting him to pull his troops back to their bases, she can.

In the 14 years they have known each other, Putin and Merkel have grown to understand each other’s realities...

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; Russia
KEYWORDS: merkel; obama; putin; russia; ukraine
Europe and the US united to do battle against Russia as Dear Leader brags? I don't think so. Merkel likely to be the one open to negotiations. Europe is ill prepared for the consequences of serious sanctions.
1 posted on 03/27/2014 10:48:50 AM PDT by Jim Robinson
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To: Jim Robinson

One detail in this article that might be questioned is how many of Ukraine’s Crimean troops are returning to Ukraine. A few sources have stated that all but a few thousand have elected to stay in Crimea.


2 posted on 03/27/2014 10:54:08 AM PDT by grania
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To: Jim Robinson

She is the one with the most at stake on the security side. My prediction is she manages to get us into a war, assuming Putin keeps moving the bar, and she won’t wind up spending a dime or committing any German resources. The Russians aren’t the only ones laughing at us. At least the Russians pay for their own national security, unlike the Germans, who leech of the US and UK so they can fund their socialism and mercantilism and run around bragging that their house is in order.


3 posted on 03/27/2014 10:54:23 AM PDT by wolfman23601
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To: Jim Robinson

Problem is Merkel needs energy to backstop any move she makes and Obama’s energy policies have taken that out of play.


4 posted on 03/27/2014 10:56:28 AM PDT by AU72
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To: AU72

Let’s give them the rest of the Ukraine..maybe that will make them happy.


5 posted on 03/27/2014 11:00:46 AM PDT by Oldexpat
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To: Jim Robinson

It’ already underway. And no, don’t think she can do much good. Remember, she is a politician.


6 posted on 03/27/2014 11:11:16 AM PDT by mulligan (I)
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To: Jim Robinson

What we see from Obama is not chest thumping. Chest thumping is an aggressive behavior. Obama is not being aggressive at all. His rhetoric is not heated, either.


7 posted on 03/27/2014 11:12:13 AM PDT by webheart (Watch out for the bots! They will disagree with you!)
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To: Jim Robinson

I’ve seen German soldiers, and they’re pretty good. The problem is that in total they have about 60,000 and most of those are in some kind of international command. Using the formula of 10:1, 10 support to 1 fighter, that means that the Germans have 6000 warriors.

Putin will push Merkl around the way he will Hillary. You’d think he had a pair of abused wives.


8 posted on 03/27/2014 11:13:17 AM PDT by xzins ( Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Those who truly support our troops pray for victory!)
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To: AU72

The EUnuchs did a good job of getting themselves into this situation with their own foolish energy policies.


9 posted on 03/27/2014 11:14:21 AM PDT by Red White and Blue patriot (USA all the way. Love it or Leave it. Ted Cruz 2016)
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To: Jim Robinson

Unlike our own “chief executive” Merkel is out to do what is best for her own country. Period.


10 posted on 03/27/2014 11:22:12 AM PDT by clintonh8r (Don't give up! The liberals are buggering and aborting themselves into extinction.)
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To: xzins

I have a lot more confidence in Angela Merkel than I do in Hilary, or John F’in Kerry, or 0bama. Yes her options are limited right now. But she is also fairly shrewd.

It looks like the Germans had already been backing away from the Green Energy BS even before the Crimea crisis. A good strategy would be to cut losses now, staunch the bleeding, and long term obtain alternate energy sources.

Well, that’s what a shrewd leader would do.


11 posted on 03/27/2014 11:22:59 AM PDT by henkster (I don't like bossy women telling me what words I can't use.)
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To: xzins

Red Storm Rising. There is nothing outside of nukes to keep Putin from riding all the way to the English Channel.


12 posted on 03/27/2014 11:23:00 AM PDT by DownInFlames
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To: Jim Robinson
Merkel is not in a position to prevent a hot war with a mere arms race (which is largely what detente was.)

Europe will either fall to Russia or China, Fall to the Muslims, or arm itself barely in time and collapse into a bloody xenophobic balkanized slaughterhouse.

I don't see any other outcome even in the short run.

Judging from Thousands of years of European history (and my own take on eschatology) my bet is on the bloody slaughterhouse outcome.

13 posted on 03/27/2014 11:25:34 AM PDT by MrEdd (vHeck? Geewhiz Cripes, thats the place where people who don't believe in Gosh think they aint going.)
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To: Jim Robinson
There's not going to be any "world war". Because the Russians know that US and European governments are a bunch of *insert female genitalia phrase here*. Putin will unite the Russias... Ukraine and Belarus both will once again be one with Rus... and that will be that.
14 posted on 03/27/2014 11:42:26 AM PDT by DesScorp
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To: Jim Robinson

The CEO of German conglomerate AG Seimens met with Mr. Putin in Moscow yesterday, signalling its going to be business as usual despite the finger wagging from western politicans.


15 posted on 03/27/2014 11:42:43 AM PDT by mac_truck ( Aide toi et dieu t aidera)
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To: Jim Robinson

If I was Merkel, I’d start running three shifts at the panzer factory.


16 posted on 03/27/2014 11:46:19 AM PDT by blueunicorn6 ("A crack shot and a good dancer")
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To: Jim Robinson
How about if Merkel and Putin start by signing a Nichtangriffspakt? Maybe with a few geheimen Zusatzprotokollen thrown in for good measure.

You know, the usual stuff... Mutual military aid, divvying up spheres of influence. That sort of thing.

Regards,

17 posted on 03/27/2014 11:46:41 AM PDT by alexander_busek (Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.)
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To: alexander_busek

Yes, I know.


18 posted on 03/27/2014 11:53:12 AM PDT by Jim Robinson (Resistance to tyrants is obedience to God!!)
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To: clintonh8r

“Unlike our own “chief executive” Merkel is out to do what is best for her own country. Period.”

And that’s part of the problem! None of the world “leaders” have a world view beyond their own borders and self-interest. Germany was trading with Iran when most of the other western countries were not. With Germany, it is totally about them and their economic interests.


19 posted on 03/27/2014 12:28:51 PM PDT by vette6387
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To: clintonh8r

“Unlike our own “chief executive” Merkel is out to do what is best for her own country. Period.”

And that’s part of the problem! None of the world “leaders” have a world view beyond their own borders and self-interest. Germany was trading with Iran when most of the other western countries were not. With Germany, it is totally about them and their economic interests.


20 posted on 03/27/2014 12:29:33 PM PDT by vette6387
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To: DownInFlames

I don’t believe any Western nation would ever use a nuke.


21 posted on 03/27/2014 2:34:07 PM PDT by VerySadAmerican (".....Barrack, and the horse Mohammed rode in on.")
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