Skip to comments.Why Hillary Clinton Will Win in 2016
Posted on 04/02/2014 9:29:25 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
On Tuesday, House Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan, R-Wis., presented his 2015 budget proposal. The Senate Democrats did not provide any such proposal; President Barack Obama's proposal posited an unending federal deficit and massive tax increases. Ryan's proposal, by contrast, lowered the rate of increase of spending moderately (by $5.1 trillion over the next decade), struck Obamacare from the rolls, and suggested revamps to Social Security and Medicare. This was possibly the dumbest thing Ryan could have done.
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., immediately jumped on the budget proposal, suggesting that Ryan's budget came from "Kochtopia," and that it had been produced in reality by the nefarious Koch brothers. The former Clinton administration secretary of labor called the budget "cruel and unusual punishment." Ryan, Democrats claimed, was mean, nasty, heartless, brutal.
The same day Ryan laid out his blueprint for spending, Obama and his minions claimed victory for Obamacare, trumpeting their fudged sign-up numbers for the Affordable Care Act. "7.1 million Americans have now signed up for private insurance plans through these market places! 7.1! Yep!" Obama blustered. Never mind the fact that Obama had canceled some 5 million health care plans and then threatened people with fines for failing to repurchase under Obamacare; never mind the fact that the administration would not release numbers on how many Americans had paid for Obamacare; never mind that well under 1 million Americans who previously lacked health insurance took advantage of the Obamacare exchanges to get into the market. Obama had wanted his 7 million; now he had his 7 million.
Republicans reacted with predictable confusion and outrage. They suggested -- rightly -- that Obama had "cooked the books." They complained that sign-up numbers did not justify the entire overthrow of the health insurance system. And Obama, the man who canceled plans, doctors and drugs for millions of Americans, responded thusly: "Why are folks working so hard for people not to have health insurance?"
This is why Republicans will lose in 2016.
Democrats understand the art of narrative. Republicans do not. Republicans would rather have Ryan wave around a 100-page budget backed by all the stats. Democrats would rather point at Ryan and say he hates children. Americans don't have time to read 100-page budgets. Case closed.
Republicans would rather complain about each and every aspect of Obamacare. They enjoy debunking Obama's falsified statistics and singling out his corruption of data. Democrats would prefer to point at those Republicans and suggest that they don't care enough about poor, sick children. Americans don't have time to wade through media falsehoods or read beyond the headlines. Case closed.
In 2016, the Democratic Party will nominate Hillary Clinton. Her narrative has already been written by the media: starry-eyed young Republican turned disenchanted leftist seeking honesty and accountability in government; wronged woman married to a charming rogue, victimized by a viciously sexist right-wing conspiracy; first lady, senator, jet-setting secretary of state; elderly grandmother called once more to public service by her ailing country. You can all but hear the music swell and the slow clap begin as she steps to the microphone.
What, precisely, is the Republican narrative? Is it Ryan's CPA-style approach to government management? Is it Chris Christie's government-as-huggable-friend Hurricane Sandy routine? Is it Jeb Bush's riches-to-riches story?
Republicans continue to lose because Republicans get distracted from story by information. Democrats continue to win because they never let information get in the way of a good story. Until Republicans figure that simple truth out, no amount of truth will put a Republican back in the Oval Office.
-- Ben Shapiro, 30, is a graduate of UCLA and Harvard Law School, a radio host on KTTH 770 Seattle and KRLA 870 Los Angeles, Editor-in-Chief of TruthRevolt.org, and Senior Editor-at-Large of Breitbart News. He is the New York Times bestselling author of "Bullies: How the Left's Culture of Fear and Intimidation Silences America." He lives with his wife and daughter in Los Angeles.
I’d say Ben nailed it, unfortunately.
E.G. - in other words, “Why CW-II will start in 2017”
Keep a close eye on Chelsia Clinton, and any possible “grandmother” factor, meaning, would Hillary rather be changing future grandchildren’s diapers?
She looks like hell now. Three years will only make her look more haggard and overweight.
Let's look at the list of Republican candidates since Nixon . . .
Don’t often agree with the analysis on this site but I’d say this one is (unfortunately) spot on.
I wonder if she’ll use Kim K. Fertility clinic?
She's already delegating that to others
"Government is like a baby. An alimentary canal with a big appetite at one end and no sense of responsibility at the other."
Got to remember that when a man grows older, he is considered “distingrished”. When a grows older, she is considered “haggared”.
Democrats, with the willing help of the media, have a slick game going.
They criticize republicans as the “party of no” and complain (dishonestly) that republicans never offer their own plans and solutions.
Then when republicans do offer a plan the democrats and the media attack it unmercifully.
“Got to remember that when a man grows older, he is considered distingrished. When a grows older, she is considered haggared.
Correction, when a woman grows older.
Hopefully it will be Ted Cruz with a copy of the Constitution in one hand and a Bible in the other.
I agree Ben nails it here. Repubs can make all the logical, statistical, valid arguments they want, but Americans don’t respond to that type of message. They respond to “my opponent wants you to starve, because he’s going to take that government check from you.”
Americans, sadly, aren’t that interested in arcane ideals such as liberty, self-determination or rugged individualism. They want to know if the gravy train is going to keep on rolling, and anyone who attempts to stop it is evil.
We are sadly a very badly divided country.
Yup. Communists always understood the stupidity of the masses and used propaganda.
And of course that tells you who the Communists in this country are.
Cruz has the narrative right. But bumbling suits like Boner and McNobody don't even know they need a narrative other then "don't rock the boat, my lobbyists don't like it".
Much as I like Ted Cruz, he speaks on a rhetorical plane that hovers high above half of Americans' comprehension level.
The United States, battered by eight years of Obama’s Marxism, simply will not survive another Leftist Democrat.
Putin knows it, the Chinese know it - everyone knows it; except, apparently, the American electorate.
chelseas father is Webb Hubble.
One that can only survive if it splits at least two or three ways. It can't continue as a 50-state entity.
That is why post number 3 is close to correct.
But I had heard late last year that this year will be the year for planning to have her family, Chelsea on a human interest report.
Well, truthfully, to counter dem voter fraud we need +25%.
We are heading that way now!
I doubt if anything that comes out of her will be human let alone interesting.
I would vote for that ticket.
That was what I had heard on a radio news report.
You forgot someone.
Our Republic will not survive.
The frog in the pot.
There won’t be more than a peep of protest, if that.
He nailed it alright. And he’s explained why nothing ever changes for the better.
While I’m a “conservative”, I’ve kind of given up on the Republicans. It strikes me as a broken brand; kinda reminds me of American Motors. You just can’t win with ugly.
Sure about that? I can be RIGHT you know.
Keep a close eye on the TP movement.
If she gets pregnant conservatives will want it aborted.
OK, yesterday I posted a thread on Ryan's newst rehashed fictional budget resolution, and I have a similar point.
What was Ryan's point in this(his) show on this? especially with this show of nothing? (his resolution scam)
He touted this same crap in early 2011, then again in 2012 and then he lost with Romney, then again in early 2013, and now again,
There already is a real budget in place (in law) with his (Paul Ryan's) and Patty Murray's name on it.
Are we really supposed to rally to Ryan just because on MSNBC they are once again complaining about Ryan's newest rehashed fiction budget resolution? (Yes I know it worked with many here in 2011 , but not with me, and then with some suckers again in 2013m, but jeeze)
I agree with the author. Republicans never learn.
The GOP does not understand the art of communications. The consultant class does not have a clue as to how to reach the American people.
The American people are going to elect Hillary because the economy has been pumped up, people are not hungry and scared. In 1980 inflation was out of control and jobs were scarce. The people were afraid so they went for Reagan. This time, everything to then according to the press is hunky dory and Oblahblah is doing just great.
Unfortunately, a significant portion of the GOP will fight that tooth and nail, and do all they can to subvert such a candidacy. For them it would be the beginning of them getting the scraps while Conservatives had a seat at the table.
They are getting fat just fine with the status quo, so why support the shift?
Let’s say we win the senate handily in 2014. 2016-we concentrate on getting to 60 even with her in the W.H. All we will have to do is put pressure on those Rats who are up in 2018 to counter balance the Rinos. The country will be run by the folks in congress. Will they call it political rape? Not with the hildibeast in charge.
There is only one reason that Hillary will win and its the exact same reason that Obama won. The GOP Establishment will deliberately take a dive.
I do but I’m not expecting much; numbers count. I don’t see much of the TP in terms of numbers outside of Texas.
Give it time, give it time.
“Understand your forces and understand your opponents and in one hundred battles you will not be defeated.”
We still don’t understand the power of fear.
“Yes, the Democrats want to give you free things, but there is no more free stuff to give. If you vote for the Democrats, they will destroy everything. You will receive nothing. The Republicans want to build the country back up. Then, there might be some help for people in trouble. With the Democrats, there will be nothing. You will be out in the street trying to catch cats to eat.”
Rather conservatives will cheer because it will keep Hillary OUT.
The Republican candidate can win if he/she keeps the message simple. Obamacare is bad. Pound it into the ground and pound it some more.
Democrats focus on narrative because they own the media. Republicans have to hammer back, but it’s an uphill slog. Ocare is part of the message, but I would give at least equal attention to un/underemployment, and pitch that hard to the millenials and minorities. “Obama has stolen your future” is not a hard message to sell, given the realities. “Obama” has grown Medicaid, food stamps and disability, but he’s shrunk jobs” is also not hard to sell.
We can’t expect results at the Federal level when we must go against GOPe and the commies.
Article V, secession and CW2 in that order are the only real ways we have left to advance liberty.
You got it. Gov handouts. Ya can't beat it along with total corruption. The idiot that can't name a US senator or how many there are has a same vote as we do. I'm sure we can see the next prez - the Hildabeast or Jeb. That outcome is assured to go dem.
No, that’s all the Pub candidates since Nixon.