Skip to comments.U.S. storm team predicts below-average Atlantic hurricane season
Posted on 04/11/2014 8:57:48 AM PDT by kingattax
MIAMI (Reuters) - The 2014 Atlantic hurricane season is expected to be quieter than normal, with a below-average number of storms and hurricanes, a leading U.S. hurricane forecasting team said on Thursday.
Forecasters at Colorado State University (CSU) predicted this year's season will see nine tropical storms, three of which will intensify into a hurricane and one becoming a major hurricane with winds of at least 111 miles per hour.
A typical season has 12 tropical storms, with six hurricanes and two major hurricanes, according to CSU. The hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30.
Phil Klotzbach, who heads the CSU team, said the lower forecast was based on cooler waters in the tropical Atlantic and expectations that El Nino, the climate pattern that creates wind shear, making it harder for storms to develop into hurricanes, will form this year.
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Stopped clock right twice a day rule applies here.
That mean batten down the hatches, Dog Zebra! Whatever they predict, expect the opposite.
If I lived along the coast I’d be laying up supplies even as we speak!
Of coarse you know what this means, We are going to have a very active Hurricane season!
That was my reaction.
When they predict low activity there will be hell to pay here on the Outer Banks of NC.
Finally learned their lesson, I guess. For the past 2 or 3 years, they’ve predicted higher than normal. Epic fail.
Not that these guys aren't smart and kinda cool.......Why do they bother to guess??
No one cares!!!
It's not like 5 million more people will vacation on the east coast based on their predictions.
watch it be a banner year. Then they can say AGW is worse than they thought.
You could be right on with that: here's Joe Bastardi's forecast.... he concurs with fewer huricanes, but expects storm development that does occur to be centered on ... yes, the OBX.
“Whatever they predict, expect the opposite.”
Believe it or no weather prediction is big business. Lots of companies pay money to get predictions so they can plan and budget for things like evacuating oil rigs or running large projects where weather has a huge impact. I saw an article rating ten companies on the accuracy of their predictions. The US National Weather Service was dead last. Us taxpayers are getting ripped off. It’s one of the TFU agencies that needs to hit the dust bin of history.
I bet they're wrong this time, too.
Yup. Everybody on the east and gulf coasts stock up now!
Throwing darts at a mix of ‘more or less’ tags is just as accurate.
Guess I'd better go to Home Depot and buy some plywood.
I find irony in the fact that Colorado State University is landlocked and just about as far away from the Atlantic as one could be.
At least Dr. Gray doesn’t believe in AGW. I’ll hand him that.
Doesn’t really matter, it only takes one hurricane.
Which means we're gonna have a hugely busy season with hurricanes out the wazoo..................
I bet the U.S. Storm team couldn’t even win a bronze in the Glowbull Warming Special Olympics.
Uh oh! Watch it. They have been 180 degrees wrong the past few years.
Have been through enough hurricanes to last the rest of my life, the last being Ike. But it certainly would be interesting to watch all our new northern friends who are among the almost 5 million people in Houston prepare to evacuate. Before the last million arrived getting out of our area on our highway system was like trying to put three pounds of dog do in a one pound bag.
Looking at their prediction performance over the years, this leaves me worried.
We are screwed. These clowns haven’t been right since 2005...
expecting the opposite was my first reaction especially after they predicted a horrible season a couple of years ago and we had zero (no not the head of the current administration which actually would be a good name for a beautiful day for golf).
Have they compared these predictions with monkeys and a dart board?
Yep - A forecast brought to you by people who couldn't pour piss from a boot if you wrote instructions on the heel. I'm in southern Louisiana, and this forecast does not bode well for this hurricane season.