Skip to comments.2013--- The amazing, surprising, Africa-driven demographic future of the Earth, in 9 charts
Posted on 04/19/2014 9:55:28 AM PDT by dennisw
Traffic moves through downtown Lagos, Nigeria.
The United Nations Population Division, which tracks demographic data from around the world, has dramatically revised its projections for what will happen in the next 90 years. The new statistics, based on in-depth survey data from sub-Saharan Africa, tell the story of a world poised to change drastically over the next several decades. Most rich countries will shrink and age (with a couple of important exceptions), poorer countries will expand rapidly and, maybe most significant of all, Africa will see a population explosion nearly unprecedented in human history.
If these numbers turn out to be right they're just projections and could change significantly under unforeseen circumstances the world of 2100 will look very different than the world of today, with implications for everyone. It will be a place where today's dominant, developed economies are increasingly focused on supporting the elderly, where the least developed countries are transformed by population booms and where Africa, for better or worse, is more important than ever.
Here is the story of the next 90 years as predicted by UN demographic data and explained in nine charts. The charts are interactive; move your cursor over them to track and compare the data.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
(1) The big story will be Africa
Right now, with a couple of exceptions, Africa’s population density is relatively low; it’s a very big continent more sparsely populated than, say, Europe or East Asia. That’s changing very quickly. The continent’s overall population is expected to more than quadruple over just 90 years, an astonishingly rapid growth that will make Africa more important than ever.
And it’s not just that there will four times the workforce, four times the resource burden, four times as many voters. The rapid growth itself will likely transform political and social dynamics within African countries and thus their relationship with the rest of the world. (More on this further down.)
They must have made a lot of progress against AIDS?
Africa has not changed much in all it’s history. Imagine people living in mud huts in this day and age. It is their gov’ts they have that keep them living like the socialists/dictators want them too.
Africa: The Failed Continent
They need an Ataturk or some other forward thinker who can grind the old tribalism under foot and usher in an age of reason and Weaternism.
The politically correct crowd says that Africa has problems due to the last vestiges of colonialism.
Not unlike how the politically correct crowd in America blames residual racism, the legacy of slavery and Jim Crow, etc. for problems among minorities.
One by one, countries in Africa gained independence, and so many of them have gone downhill in many ways since they became independent countries. How can they realistically blame colonialism for their problems 50 or 60 years later????
There is no need for us to wonder what is wrong with Africa.
We have experienced African leadership ourselves.....
As always, the Left must, must, MUST ignore the simple Truth that Culture matters.
It won’t happen if they don’t have the food sources and clean water to support the population growth, or the natural resources and infrastructure to support it.
so much for the population depleting AIDS epidemic
But why do I think it not a UN prediction. .it a UN agenda..a prophecy they intend to see gets fulfilled
At the very end of the article he mentions: "And that's the story of the world's demographic future, nine decades of population booms and declines that will have unforeseeable but surely transformative political and economic consequences.
When you add tribalism and the problem if food production hampered by corruption and governmental incompetence, my guess is that his projections "ain't gonna happen!"
Yeah, the only thing we need to do is pay “reparations”, maybe by means of a “Global Warming” tax on rich nations in order to launder welfare payments to third world nations through the U.N.
That should fix everything.
It has long been my thought that there will be migration into Africa by the growing populations in Asia,specifically India.
Africa has wide open spaces and what seems to be a passive, less educable population that can be dominated by the middle class Indians. Indians are or seem to have no tradition of operations beyond their traditional tribal borders. It is my thought that the aggressive migration pressure will force the move into Africa.
That is essentially the same force now in process here with the pressure being exerted in the south. The same for Europe, the force coming from North Africa and the middle east.
They’ve got the natural resources at least. That’s the one thing they have in abundance.
Africa has been The Next Big Thing since 1960.
And we can’t overlook the AIDS epidemic going on there. . .and with illegal aliens flooding in from places like Africa, carrying with them all sorts of nasty diseases and such, and with third-world mind-set when it comes to keeping he body clean, we in the states will suffer an explosion of ‘eradicated’ third-world aliments.
Oh joy. . .
According to all those alarmist paperback books by "renowned" scientists, experts and other over-educated twerps who were allergic to real work, we were all supposed to be dead by 1990, give or take.
Then along came skeptics/satirists like P.J. O'Rourke and Tom Wolfe, to make fun of them all and make their alarmist pronouncements seem silly. But that didn't stop them from getting Nobel prizes and Pulitzers for their dopey theories.
Dos India have the exportable middle class for that? I can understand the logic since it would be a cheap move comparatively versus Europe or Americas but without a glut of mobile professionals and a hospitable environment, it seems like Africa would chew them up.
Got to protect the wildlife there in Africa.... got to take huge swaths of land and turn it into animal refuge, like the Federal government is doing here in the USA.
In my view, there is a difference in Africa. Africa has not the means to prevent nor stop some terrible plague that could kill millions in the large cities once begun.
The big difference between then and now is that they control the gov’t and they’ll be damned if it’s going to be avoided.
We gave thew keys to the church to Jim Jones and we’re surprised the Kool-Aid at the mixer tastes funny.
Wishful thinking from the We H8 Whitey crowd at WaPo.
Absent massive material aid from the exterior of Africa, they will end up living in thatched huts on meager food supplies as their population outruns the capability of their ‘societies’ to feed them.
They will resort to collectivist solutions run by Big Chief Strongmen like South America, ending in food shortages, panics, massacres and chaos.
Throw in intertribal hostility and you get 1000 Rwandas.
The population will thus self control through the usual evolutionary mechanisms.
You raise a good question.
I base my thoughts on Indian populations here and Saudi Arabia. We have an explosion of multigenerational Indian families that pretty much have taken over the running of hotels/motels. There are professionals and doctors forming the basis of Indian communities in some rather small American cities. The same is true of doctors and engineers and accountants and such in the Gulf region.
In my thought some will migrate from where they are to Africa where they will be in control rather than in the background. They will expand in to large colonies in East Africa drawing others from their home in India.
They will grow and get control over time.
Africa has wide open spaces and what seems to be a passive, less educable population that can be dominated by the middle class Indians.
They've come and gone and won't be going back any more than the English and French governments will.
Look up what happened in Uganda under Amin.
China, though, probably will play a major role in African development.
There are indeed a lot of descendants of South Asians in Africa. Not only that, there is some movement towards Africans converting to Hinduism, even though Hinduism does not proselytize and there is no traditional way to ‘convert’ to it.
The easily farmable land is already in use. They can grow more using irrigaion and fertilizer, but the resulting food will cost more than Africans can pay.
Perhaps the Chinese will come in and play “cowboys and Africans”?
They will be ruthless in ways the Indians and Europeans will not, and no one will criticize.
The Africans will end up as slaves in everything but name only.
But it’s either that or regular overpopulation / starvation cycles for them.
More likely the Africans will be exterminated.
The article is a pro immigration piece-——suggests that immigration will save the USA.
Now now...not supposed to breathe the truth....
Right now, with a couple of exceptions, Africas population density is relatively low; its a very big continent more sparsely populated than, say, Europe or East Asia. Thats changing very quickly. The continents overall population is expected to more than quadruple over just 90 years, an astonishingly rapid growth that will make Africa more important than ever.
And its not just that there will four times the workforce, four times the resource burden, four times as many voters. The rapid growth itself will likely transform political and social dynamics within African countries and thus their relationship with the rest of the world.
Not to mention eradicating all non-human life on the continent. Even now with it’s “low” population density and being “sparsely populated”, wildlife is being erased at a staggering level to make room for people.
What I was thinking too!!! We have our own Supreme Emperor Hussein Dwayne Elizondo Mountain Dew Herbert Camacho
China is colonizing Africa economically and politically, from using it as a dumping ground for really cheap knock off goods to buying large chunks of farmland there to mining.
Fortunately, it is literally, physically impossible.
All large African cities, sustained by foreign charity, are one epidemic away from extinction.
We may see something similar in Nevada after the BLM drives Bundy off his ranch: the Desert Tortoise National Park. Hordes of tourists, probably thousands every year, will flock to the site to see the tortoises in their natural habitat. Schoolchildren will be taught to venerate the name of Harry Reid as a great conservationist, up there with John Muir, Theodore Roosevelt, and Gifford Pinchot.
How did their last 30 years of demographic predictions turn out?
Camp of the Saints comes to mind.
four times the resource burden = four times the opportunity
But, what if a group of liberty minded individuals were to carve out a coastal city, write a Constitution much like our own, and thrive there much like Hong Kong?
You cannot overlook a culture that rationalizes raping a baby to remove your curse of AIDS.
Sub-Saharan Africa is genetically defective. When genetic science catches up to empirical observations, Sub-Saharan Africans will be like Zombies in the gene pool.