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As Goes North Carolina, So go Republican hopes to take over the Senate
The Weekly Standard ^ | April 18, 2014 | Fred Barnes

Posted on 04/19/2014 12:24:58 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued

To win the Senate, Republicans must win North Carolina. While it’s mathematically possible to take the Senate without ousting Democratic senator Kay Hagan, the chances of that happening are close to zero. For Republicans, North Carolina is necessary. It’s the key to control of the Senate.

Obama Hagan

It’s number six on my list. That is, there are five states where capturing Democratic seats appears more likely—West Virginia, South Dakota, Montana, Louisiana, Arkansas. Then comes North Carolina. Assuming Republicans don’t lose any of their own seats, those six pickups would give Republicans a 51-49 majority. And with it, the political equation in Washington would change. Republicans would be on offense, President Obama and Harry Reid on defense.

But winning in North Carolina is no cinch for Republicans. Two facts stand out. One, Hagan is extremely vulnerable. She’s a Reid follower who voted for Obamacare and most of the president’s agenda.

(Excerpt) Read more at weeklystandard.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Politics/Elections; US: Arkansas; US: Louisiana; US: Montana; US: North Carolina; US: South Dakota; US: West Virginia
KEYWORDS: abortion; arkansas; deathpanels; fredbarnes; harryreid; kayhagan; louisiana; montana; northcarolina; obamacare; southdakota; weeklystandard; westvirginia; zerocare
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1 posted on 04/19/2014 12:24:58 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued
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To: fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; Impy; GOPsterinMA; randita; Sun; LdSentinal; ExTexasRedhead; ...

To win the Senate, Republicans must win North Carolina. While it’s mathematically possible to take the Senate without ousting Democratic senator Kay Hagan, the chances of that happening are close to zero. For Republicans, North Carolina is necessary. It’s the key to control of the Senate.

Obama Hagan

It’s number six on my list. That is, there are five states where capturing Democratic seats appears more likely—West Virginia, South Dakota, Montana, Louisiana, Arkansas. Then comes North Carolina. Assuming Republicans don’t lose any of their own seats, those six pickups would give Republicans a 51-49 majority. And with it, the political equation in Washington would change. Republicans would be on offense, President Obama and Harry Reid on defense.

But winning in North Carolina is no cinch for Republicans. Two facts stand out. One, Hagan is extremely vulnerable. She’s a Reid follower who voted for Obamacare and most of the president’s agenda.


2 posted on 04/19/2014 12:25:54 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (The War on Drugs is Big Government statism)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Whoops, a part of the article twice by mistake. Very embarrassing.


3 posted on 04/19/2014 12:27:31 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (The War on Drugs is Big Government statism)
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To: Clintonfatigued

My experience says that Louisiana is a not a likely win. Landrieu always looks vulnerable and she always ends up squeaking to a win.


4 posted on 04/19/2014 12:27:57 PM PDT by brothers4thID (Death had to take him sleeping, else he would have put up a fight.)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Hagan will lose NC.

She rode in on O’asshat’s coattails in 2008 and this state is doing remarkably better with a Governor and Congress both leaning conservative.

Obamacare is a disaster and she voted for it.


5 posted on 04/19/2014 12:33:54 PM PDT by eyedigress ((zOld storm chaser from the west)/ ?s)
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To: Clintonfatigued

If the Republicans take over the Senate, I pray that one of the squishy Senators doesn’t decide to switch to Dem. They are truly desperate to hold their power.


6 posted on 04/19/2014 12:36:06 PM PDT by goosie
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To: goosie

Shades of Jumpin Jim Jeffords!


7 posted on 04/19/2014 12:38:08 PM PDT by upchuck (Support ABLE, the Anybody But Lindsey Effort. Yes, we are the ABLE!!)
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To: Clintonfatigued

The Democrats are now openly the party of anti-God, anti-RKBA, sodomy, communism, and abortion on demand. That it is so hard to dislodge them and easily take over the Senate speaks of how ill our society now it.

I believe it is terminally ill.


8 posted on 04/19/2014 12:40:37 PM PDT by fwdude ( You cannot compromise with that which you must defeat.)
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To: brothers4thID

I think I’m like many people that think we are beyond throwing the bums out at the ballot box. I no longer believe that we conduct legitimate elections on a national basis, true or not it’s how many people feel. We seem to be run by an unelected bureaucracy, I see very little difference, right now, between the US and Putin’s Russia. I’m not really happy that I feel that way.


9 posted on 04/19/2014 12:45:20 PM PDT by WHBates
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To: goosie

Even if Republicans are in the majority there are at least five or six Senators that cross the line on a regular basis. Until they are gone and we have dependable Conservatives in their place not much will change.


10 posted on 04/19/2014 12:47:34 PM PDT by Grams A (The Sun will rise in the East in the morning and God is still on his throne.)
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To: Clintonfatigued

GOP will never get the Dead vote, which may decide the Senate.


11 posted on 04/19/2014 12:48:55 PM PDT by Huskrrrr
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To: brothers4thID

Landrieu always looks vulnerable and she always ends up squeaking to a win.

**********************

It depends upon how well the Landrieu machine can mobilize the vote. Landrieu is
polling in the low 40%. Nov. 4, 2014 is still a long ways off.

Magellan-Strategies poll
http://www.slideshare.net/MagellanStrat/magellan-strategies-louisiana-general-election-survey-topline-results-032414

Real Clear Politics - Other polls
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/louisiana_senate_race.html


12 posted on 04/19/2014 12:50:36 PM PDT by deport
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To: Clintonfatigued
"Weakly Standard", huh? Touting yet another GOPe RINO.

Tillis has the backing of what’s known by its critics as the Republican establishment. The U.S. Chamber of Commerce, the National Rifle Association, National Right to Life, and the super-PAC American Crossroads are backing him. The Chamber and Crossroads are running TV ads. An implicit threat comes with funding by the establishment, that it will dry up if Tillis isn’t the nominee.

Here's the guy we want: Brannon, 53, has issues, not all of them libertarian ones. He’s been endorsed by GOP senators Mike Lee of Utah and Rand Paul of Kentucky.

Anything might be better than Hagan, though, I suppose, but Tillis' supporters don't engender confidence.

13 posted on 04/19/2014 12:51:44 PM PDT by Robwin
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To: WHBates
I see very little difference, right now, between the US and Putin’s Russia.

Big difference. In Russia, Christianity is the official religion, muzzies are controlled, and queers aren't allowed to recruit kids.

Here? Not so much.

/johnny

14 posted on 04/19/2014 12:56:12 PM PDT by JRandomFreeper (Gone Galt)
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To: Grams A

“there are at least five or six Senators that cross the line on a regular basis. “

Who are the one’s on your list?

Probably Kirk, Mirkowski, McLame, Hatch, Linda (who we hope will be gone), but who else?


15 posted on 04/19/2014 1:00:08 PM PDT by vette6387
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To: goosie

“If the Republicans take over the Senate, I pray that one of the squishy Senators doesn’t decide to switch to Dem. They are truly desperate to hold their power.”
*******************************************************************

That’s always possible, but probably not likely this cycle. More likely is Angus King (Independent [caucusing with ‘RATS], Maine) coming over to caucus with Republicans. That may be OK but he would serve as a RINO reinforcement to the RINO faction in the Senate. The Republicans should not allow him to vote for leadership positions, etc. but otherwise allow him to caucus with them.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/04/10/angus-king-republicans_n_5125400.html


16 posted on 04/19/2014 1:00:09 PM PDT by House Atreides
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To: goosie
If the Republicans take over the Senate, I pray that one of the squishy Senators doesn’t decide to switch to Dem. They are truly desperate to hold their power.


17 posted on 04/19/2014 1:04:16 PM PDT by LostInBayport (When there are more people riding in the cart than there are pulling it, the cart stops moving...)
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To: deport

Also remember that Oil and Gas resources are very important to the state of Louisiana. Landrieu
was placed on the U.S. Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources and made Chair
Person earlier this year. To me that was an effort to enhance her election possibilities.


18 posted on 04/19/2014 1:09:24 PM PDT by deport
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To: fwdude

You aren’t wrong, since man is terminally ill period. Human “goodness” exists, but it never has been or will be “good enough”. Thus the Lord Jesus!

Society has been more or less restrained throughout history by God’s civil authorities and the mysterious working of his Holy Spirit. It’s not scientific, though. Many inequities necessarily befall a fallen race. I don’t think we know a fraction of the horrors we’ve been spared by His invisible workings.

The horrors that have occurred I chalk up to the price of the Fall. We are spared from the wrath of Almighty God through Christ (if we call on his name), but we—I.e. humanity— are not spared the ripple effects of our rebellion in Eden.

Bless you!


19 posted on 04/19/2014 1:10:51 PM PDT by avenir (I'm pessimistic about man, but I'm optimistic about GOD!)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Yeah, and we’re going to beat Hagan! Go Brannon: http://gregbrannon.com/


20 posted on 04/19/2014 1:11:08 PM PDT by JSDude1 (Defeat Hagan, elect a Constutional Conservative: Dr. Greg Brannon!)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Likely
AK
AR
MI
NC
SD
WV
Possibly
CO
IA
LA
MT
VA
Maybe
MN
NH
OR


21 posted on 04/19/2014 1:12:34 PM PDT by Repeal The 17th (We have met the enemy and he is us.)
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To: vette6387
Who else:

Ayotte, Flake, Collins

22 posted on 04/19/2014 1:13:30 PM PDT by grania
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To: brothers4thID

Well, Landrieu is a name the voters recognize, and that is really the only thing that actually matters.

She will be re-elected.


23 posted on 04/19/2014 1:14:10 PM PDT by chris37 (Heartless.)
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To: Clintonfatigued
Whoops, a part of the article twice by mistake. Very embarrassing.

Not a problem. Most don't even read the article anyway and so would never notice :-)
24 posted on 04/19/2014 1:16:17 PM PDT by wonkowasright (Wonko from outside the asylum)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Obama won NC by a slim margin in 2008, so just keep the dead from voting and the Republicans should win!

Kay Hagan....former Senator from NC!


25 posted on 04/19/2014 2:20:38 PM PDT by Kackikat
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To: grania

“Ayotte, Flake, Collins”

My bad! Of course these three. I am surprised Flake can breathe, his nose is so far up McLame’s you know what (but then again he’s competing for “space” with Linda). Can you imagine though, Flake and Reid are both Mormons? Ayotte and Collins are giving GOP women a bad name, and they will be problematic in a GOP-lead Senate.


26 posted on 04/19/2014 2:21:12 PM PDT by vette6387
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To: vette6387

Collins, Ayotte and our other Senator from Texas - Cornyn!

If the voters can get rid of Linda, will be interesting to see if Ayotte gets the message, since she always seemed to follow Linda and McCain’s lead.


27 posted on 04/19/2014 2:22:53 PM PDT by Grams A (The Sun will rise in the East in the morning and God is still on his throne.)
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To: Clintonfatigued

All empty rental units in NC are going to be leased month to month by transplants be flown, bussed or otherwise transported in from northern cities, courtesy DNC. I hope some Republican realtors will be able to catch it as it happens, it almost worked in 2012.


28 posted on 04/19/2014 2:25:29 PM PDT by gusopol3
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To: LostInBayport

Where’d that picture come from?! It is truly gruesome! Best pic of a Dem that I’ve ever seen. And it’s not even Photoshopped.


29 posted on 04/19/2014 2:53:08 PM PDT by Tonytitan
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To: Clintonfatigued

The Weekly Standard is promoting RINO challengers to Arizona’s AG and Walter Jones.

http://www.weeklystandard.com/articles/resistance_782747.html

“And here’s a quote from Mark Brnovich’s campaign video in Arizona: “Arizonans deserve an attorney general who understands the federal and the state constitution, that makes sure that all of our rights and liberties are protected, and whether that’s protecting us from federal encroachment, such as Obamacare, and making sure that the rule of law is upheld.””

Arizona already has an AG who does that.


30 posted on 04/19/2014 2:53:40 PM PDT by ObamahatesPACoal
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To: brothers4thID

Landrieu voted against Bush’s amnesty in 2007. That is one advantage she doesn’t have now. They are talking about running a bunch of black candidates in conservative districts so they can get turnout.

http://www.redstate.com/diary/joesquire/2014/03/27/landrieus-strategy-someone-bail/

Fleming holds LA-4, and has been for a while now. He’s a solid conservative that I don’t actually see losing, but there is heavy speculation that Shreveport mayor Cedric Glover, who is term-limited, will run against him. Glover is black, and the hope from the Landrieu camp is that his campaign would bring out a higher black vote that would benefit Landrieu.


31 posted on 04/19/2014 2:58:22 PM PDT by ObamahatesPACoal
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To: Grams A

“If the voters can get rid of Linda, will be interesting to see if Ayotte gets the message, since she always seemed to follow Linda and McCain’s lead.”

Yeah, she’s about as independent a thinker as Joe Biden! She is more about being “liked” than doing anything substantive if it means putting herself out there. very weak person.


32 posted on 04/19/2014 3:01:41 PM PDT by vette6387
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To: Clintonfatigued

At 51-49, the Dems would flip a GOP Senator with threats of... whatever. Then it’s 50-50, and the majority is gone once again. Then the GOP caves on rules changes to accomodate a majority-less Senate... SSDD


33 posted on 04/19/2014 3:06:25 PM PDT by Teacher317 (We have now sunk to a depth at which restatement of the obvious is the first duty of intelligent men)
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To: Clintonfatigued

A couple of other states are in play, including Iowa.


34 posted on 04/19/2014 3:09:09 PM PDT by TBP (Obama lies, Granny dies.)
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To: Tonytitan

Some info on the photo here:

http://thebluesite.com/2008/09/14/leftist-nut-photojournalist-jill-greenberg-proves-herself-the-loon-we-knew-her-to-be/


35 posted on 04/19/2014 3:21:20 PM PDT by deport
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To: Clintonfatigued

That party is as much a threat to us as the rats. Crats and Rats, what`s the difference?


36 posted on 04/19/2014 4:11:23 PM PDT by nomad
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To: Tonytitan

I went searching and found it. Be glad I reduced it to a quarter of its original size!


37 posted on 04/19/2014 4:12:43 PM PDT by LostInBayport (When there are more people riding in the cart than there are pulling it, the cart stops moving...)
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To: Clintonfatigued
Assuming Republicans don’t lose any of their own seats

There's a good chance they'll lose one if not two; Michelle Nunn will clobber Paul Broun in Georgia and Alison Lundergan Grimes stands a chance at ousting Mitch McConnell in Kentucky.

38 posted on 04/19/2014 4:17:43 PM PDT by Drew68
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To: Kackikat

NC has voter ID now and it did not have it in 08 IIRC.Might be harder for the commies to steal this one.


39 posted on 04/19/2014 5:04:01 PM PDT by HANG THE EXPENSE (Life's tough.It's tougher when you're stupid.)
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To: HANG THE EXPENSE

There was a variety of types and to make a point the Freepr posted about six pics of various tanks?? and labeled the town where they went. That particular tank looked old and boxed.

Ansell2 swears what I said was BS, but I saw it on a threat here around a week ago, or at least a few days back.


40 posted on 04/19/2014 5:16:11 PM PDT by Kackikat
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To: HANG THE EXPENSE

NC does not have Voter ID as of March 26, 2014 chart, see bottom for colors:

http://www.ncsl.org/research/elections-and-campaigns/voter-id.aspx


41 posted on 04/19/2014 5:25:49 PM PDT by Kackikat
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To: Clintonfatigued

As Shamnesty goes ...


42 posted on 04/19/2014 5:29:52 PM PDT by VRWC For Truth (Roberts has perverted the Constitution)
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To: Kackikat

I thought it was passed.Is it held up by DOJ?


43 posted on 04/19/2014 5:55:52 PM PDT by HANG THE EXPENSE (Life's tough.It's tougher when you're stupid.)
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To: fwdude

Amen brother. It’s only a matter of time until we become as Sodom.


44 posted on 04/19/2014 5:59:44 PM PDT by stevio (God, guns, guts.)
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To: HANG THE EXPENSE

Not sure, I will check out online, if I can’t find answer then I’ll get back to you later in week...I haven’t kept up with Voter ID info.

Easter is big deal here.


45 posted on 04/19/2014 6:05:39 PM PDT by Kackikat
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To: brothers4thID

My experience says that Louisiana is a not a likely win. Landrieu always looks vulnerable and she always ends up squeaking to a win
__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________-

Yes, thanks to the Black vote in New Orleans (N’yawlins if you’re a native), but since Hurricane Katrina, and the long “rebuilding process” after the hurricane, the minority population of New Orleans has decreased dramatically. The Landrieus always counted on New Orleans to bail them out. Well, New Orleans is not the voting bloc it once was. Mary Landrieu barely won in ‘08 when a black Presidential candidate was on the Dem Ticket. Obama is not on the ballot this time. And, every Dem who voted for ObamaCare is accused, now, of casting the “deciding vote” for ObamaCare. BUT, Louisiana folks remember very well, that Mary L. truly was the deciding vote. It cost taxpayers a lot of money for Obama to buy her off. Remember? It was called “The Louisiana Purchase”. LA folks have NOT forgotten that and they can’t wait to vote against her fat a**.


46 posted on 04/19/2014 6:11:24 PM PDT by Din Maker (Rand Paul, Rick Perry endorsed McConnell over Bevin. Neither will ever get my vote in 2016.)
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To: HANG THE EXPENSE

North Carolina—HB 351: vetoed

The above was on the page link I sent you with map...I guess that is why it’s grey.

The reason would be we have a huge black population in big cities in NC; Charlotte, Greensboro, New Bern, Wilmington, Raleigh ....lots of protests and lobbying for it not to pass, too many politicians decided to keep their seats.

I am not surprised either, we have huge population of illegals in Apple Country, and other concentrated areas too.
Lots of northern libs moving here with their blue votes, so 2014 may have been targeted by democrats to increase the left vote margins.


47 posted on 04/19/2014 6:16:16 PM PDT by Kackikat
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To: Repeal The 17th

I agree with your chart for the most part. But, I would switch NC and MT. I’d put MT in the “Likely” column and NC in the “Possibly” column. There is no real strong GOP candidate running in the GOP Primary in NC. Hagan may pull it out.


48 posted on 04/19/2014 6:17:48 PM PDT by Din Maker (Rand Paul, Rick Perry endorsed McConnell over Bevin. Neither will ever get my vote in 2016.)
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To: chris37

She will be re-elected.
_______________________________________

How much would you like to bet on that Chris?


49 posted on 04/19/2014 6:19:24 PM PDT by Din Maker (Rand Paul, Rick Perry endorsed McConnell over Bevin. Neither will ever get my vote in 2016.)
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To: Clintonfatigued

http://www.senate.gov/legislative/LIS/roll_call_lists/roll_call_vote_cfm.cfm?congress=113&session=1&vote=00097

Whoever runs against Hagan, the NRA will pound her for this vote. That bill would have done nothing to stop Adam Lanza. She’s toast in NC!


50 posted on 04/19/2014 6:55:14 PM PDT by neverdem (Register pressure cookers! /s)
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