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As Goes North Carolina, So go Republican hopes to take over the Senate
The Weekly Standard ^ | April 18, 2014 | Fred Barnes

Posted on 04/19/2014 12:24:58 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued

To win the Senate, Republicans must win North Carolina. While it’s mathematically possible to take the Senate without ousting Democratic senator Kay Hagan, the chances of that happening are close to zero. For Republicans, North Carolina is necessary. It’s the key to control of the Senate.

Obama Hagan

It’s number six on my list. That is, there are five states where capturing Democratic seats appears more likely—West Virginia, South Dakota, Montana, Louisiana, Arkansas. Then comes North Carolina. Assuming Republicans don’t lose any of their own seats, those six pickups would give Republicans a 51-49 majority. And with it, the political equation in Washington would change. Republicans would be on offense, President Obama and Harry Reid on defense.

But winning in North Carolina is no cinch for Republicans. Two facts stand out. One, Hagan is extremely vulnerable. She’s a Reid follower who voted for Obamacare and most of the president’s agenda.

(Excerpt) Read more at weeklystandard.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Politics/Elections; US: Arkansas; US: Louisiana; US: Montana; US: North Carolina; US: South Dakota; US: West Virginia
KEYWORDS: abortion; arkansas; deathpanels; fredbarnes; harryreid; kayhagan; louisiana; montana; northcarolina; obamacare; southdakota; weeklystandard; westvirginia; zerocare
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To: HANG THE EXPENSE

NC does not have Voter ID as of March 26, 2014 chart, see bottom for colors:

http://www.ncsl.org/research/elections-and-campaigns/voter-id.aspx


41 posted on 04/19/2014 5:25:49 PM PDT by Kackikat
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To: Clintonfatigued

As Shamnesty goes ...


42 posted on 04/19/2014 5:29:52 PM PDT by VRWC For Truth (Roberts has perverted the Constitution)
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To: Kackikat

I thought it was passed.Is it held up by DOJ?


43 posted on 04/19/2014 5:55:52 PM PDT by HANG THE EXPENSE (Life's tough.It's tougher when you're stupid.)
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To: fwdude

Amen brother. It’s only a matter of time until we become as Sodom.


44 posted on 04/19/2014 5:59:44 PM PDT by stevio (God, guns, guts.)
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To: HANG THE EXPENSE

Not sure, I will check out online, if I can’t find answer then I’ll get back to you later in week...I haven’t kept up with Voter ID info.

Easter is big deal here.


45 posted on 04/19/2014 6:05:39 PM PDT by Kackikat
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To: brothers4thID

My experience says that Louisiana is a not a likely win. Landrieu always looks vulnerable and she always ends up squeaking to a win
__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________-

Yes, thanks to the Black vote in New Orleans (N’yawlins if you’re a native), but since Hurricane Katrina, and the long “rebuilding process” after the hurricane, the minority population of New Orleans has decreased dramatically. The Landrieus always counted on New Orleans to bail them out. Well, New Orleans is not the voting bloc it once was. Mary Landrieu barely won in ‘08 when a black Presidential candidate was on the Dem Ticket. Obama is not on the ballot this time. And, every Dem who voted for ObamaCare is accused, now, of casting the “deciding vote” for ObamaCare. BUT, Louisiana folks remember very well, that Mary L. truly was the deciding vote. It cost taxpayers a lot of money for Obama to buy her off. Remember? It was called “The Louisiana Purchase”. LA folks have NOT forgotten that and they can’t wait to vote against her fat a**.


46 posted on 04/19/2014 6:11:24 PM PDT by Din Maker (Rand Paul, Rick Perry endorsed McConnell over Bevin. Neither will ever get my vote in 2016.)
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To: HANG THE EXPENSE

North Carolina—HB 351: vetoed

The above was on the page link I sent you with map...I guess that is why it’s grey.

The reason would be we have a huge black population in big cities in NC; Charlotte, Greensboro, New Bern, Wilmington, Raleigh ....lots of protests and lobbying for it not to pass, too many politicians decided to keep their seats.

I am not surprised either, we have huge population of illegals in Apple Country, and other concentrated areas too.
Lots of northern libs moving here with their blue votes, so 2014 may have been targeted by democrats to increase the left vote margins.


47 posted on 04/19/2014 6:16:16 PM PDT by Kackikat
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To: Repeal The 17th

I agree with your chart for the most part. But, I would switch NC and MT. I’d put MT in the “Likely” column and NC in the “Possibly” column. There is no real strong GOP candidate running in the GOP Primary in NC. Hagan may pull it out.


48 posted on 04/19/2014 6:17:48 PM PDT by Din Maker (Rand Paul, Rick Perry endorsed McConnell over Bevin. Neither will ever get my vote in 2016.)
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To: chris37

She will be re-elected.
_______________________________________

How much would you like to bet on that Chris?


49 posted on 04/19/2014 6:19:24 PM PDT by Din Maker (Rand Paul, Rick Perry endorsed McConnell over Bevin. Neither will ever get my vote in 2016.)
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To: Clintonfatigued

http://www.senate.gov/legislative/LIS/roll_call_lists/roll_call_vote_cfm.cfm?congress=113&session=1&vote=00097

Whoever runs against Hagan, the NRA will pound her for this vote. That bill would have done nothing to stop Adam Lanza. She’s toast in NC!


50 posted on 04/19/2014 6:55:14 PM PDT by neverdem (Register pressure cookers! /s)
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To: LostInBayport

I so am!


51 posted on 04/19/2014 7:00:26 PM PDT by Tonytitan
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To: brothers4thID

Actually her second and third wins were not that close; the first one was said to have been stolen from Woody Jenkins. But Trent Lott refused to investigate.


52 posted on 04/19/2014 9:56:35 PM PDT by Theodore R. (It was inevitable: Texans will always be for Cornball and George P.!)
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To: Repeal The 17th

Montana belongs in “likely” for sure. I have it #3 behind SD and WV, the rat Walsh is trailing in the polls and fundraising.

VA belongs in maybe, Warner is personally popular.


53 posted on 04/19/2014 11:42:54 PM PDT by Impy (RED=COMMUNIST, NOT REPUBLICAN)
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To: Clintonfatigued; AuH2ORepublican; randita; BillyBoy; Viennacon; fieldmarshaldj
While it’s mathematically possible to take the Senate without ousting Democratic senator Kay Hagan, the chances of that happening are close to zero

Not really. You could say it's our 6th most likely pickup and thus a bellwether/#51 but it could fall or rise out of sequence depending on who the nominee is and whether he makes a blunder or not. The same is true of any other race.

54 posted on 04/19/2014 11:47:38 PM PDT by Impy (RED=COMMUNIST, NOT REPUBLICAN)
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To: WHBates

I am with you 1000% on this matter!!!! Our elections are fraudulent, for
Obammie to have won there is NO DOUBT in my mind this is so!!! The absolute proof for me was the number of government agencies that came
down on the TEA PARTY GROUP TRUE THE VOTE!!!! The name alone
brought the FBI, IRS, OSHA, & ATF to her front door!!! This was the absolute proof to me that our elections are corrupt!!! WHY is it such a PROBLEM to show an ID??? EVERYONE has ID why all of this EARLY
VOTING days ahead of voting day and then of course absentee ballots
everywhere & motor voter!!!! OUR ELECTIONS ARE AS CORRUPT AS THEY CAN BE NO QUESTION ABOUT IT!!!!


55 posted on 04/20/2014 12:17:08 AM PDT by Kit cat (OBummer must go)
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To: Kackikat

Happy Easter to you and all.


56 posted on 04/20/2014 7:17:09 AM PDT by HANG THE EXPENSE (Life's tough.It's tougher when you're stupid.)
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To: Din Maker

Nothing, I’m not a gambling man, but never ever underestimate the stupidity of the voter.

Never underestimate the effectiveness of the demonrat ground game on election day.

And never ever underestimate the non-ground game of the GOP on election day.

We shall see.


57 posted on 04/20/2014 7:36:26 AM PDT by chris37 (Heartless.)
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To: HANG THE EXPENSE

HAPPY EASTER TO ALl!

*** and thank you.


58 posted on 04/20/2014 7:40:10 AM PDT by Kackikat
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To: chris37

That also works in favor of Tillis in NC.


59 posted on 04/20/2014 7:43:21 AM PDT by csmusaret (Will remove Obama-Biden bumperstickers for $10)
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To: Theodore R.
Actually her second and third wins were not that close

Close or huge, they were still wins. Winning by a thousand votes still has the same result as winning by a million.

60 posted on 04/20/2014 7:47:44 AM PDT by DoodleDawg
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