Skip to comments.PDS (Particularly Dangerous Situation) Tornado Watch - Arkanasas
Posted on 04/27/2014 2:08:00 PM PDT by dirtboy
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 100 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 335 PM CDT SUN APR 27 2014
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 335 PM UNTIL 1100 PM CDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... NUMEROUS TORNADOES EXPECTED WITH A FEW INTENSE TORNADOES LIKELY WIDESPREAD LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER LIKELY SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 80 MPH POSSIBLE
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH OF DE QUEEN ARKANSAS TO 50 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF PINE BLUFF ARKANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 95...WW 96...WW 97...WW 98...WW 99...
DISCUSSION...DISCRETE STORMS ARE BEGINNING TO DEVELOP ALONG THE DRYLINE NEAR THE RED RIVER IN SE OK...WHILE OTHER CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FARTHER S IN NE TX THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS WILL MOVE ENEWD INTO THE WARM SECTOR AND MATURE...AND WILL ENCOUNTER AN INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR TORNADOES IN AR. LOW-LEVEL SHEAR IS VERY STRONG ALONG A RESIDUAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ACROSS CENTRAL AR...AND THE LOW LEVELS WILL SLOWLY WARM AND MOISTEN IN THE WAKE OF EARLIER CONVECTION. DISCRETE SUPERCELLS MOVING INTO THIS ENVIRONMENT WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LONG TRACK...STRONG/VIOLENT TORNADOES WELL INTO THE EVENING.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
Last county in Mississippi shaded in green in the NE sector. Its pretty wet. I just hope the red doesn’t move over here and goes NE of here. In the past Arkansas is just a day’s notice of what we are going to get.
Hopefully this won’t escalate to a PDDS (pretty darn dangerous situation).
Weather Channel is APOPLECTIC nothing much has happened.
If I was cynical I would think they WANTED problems so they could push the man made global warming/climate change agenda.
Hopefully this wont escalate to a PDDS (pretty darn dangerous situation).”””
Or a Palin Derangement Syndrome....
Lets hope they get a break and a WWA occurs. (Weatherman Wrong Again)
See! This is what happens when HOT meets COLD!!,can someone explain this to Al Gore?
A somewhat more readable version:
Urgent - immediate broadcast requested tornado watch number 100 nws storm prediction center norman ok 335 pm cdt sun apr 27 2014
The nws storm prediction center has issued a
* tornado watch for portions of southwest and central arkansas extreme southeast oklahoma
* effective this sunday afternoon and evening from 335 pm until 1100 pm cdt.
...This is a particularly dangerous situation...
* primary threats include... Numerous tornadoes expected with a few intense tornadoes likely widespread large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter likely scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80 mph possible
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles north of de queen arkansas to 50 miles east northeast of pine bluff arkansas. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (wous64 kwns wou0).
Remember...A tornado watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings.
Other watch information...Continue...Ww 95...Ww 96...Ww 97...Ww 98...Ww 99...
Discussion...Discrete storms are beginning to develop along the dryline near the red river in se ok...While other convection is expected to develop farther s in ne tx the remainder of the afternoon. These storms will move enewd into the warm sector and mature...And will encounter an increasingly favorable environment for tornadoes in ar. Low-level shear is very strong along a residual outflow boundary across central ar...And the low levels will slowly warm and moisten in the wake of earlier convection. Discrete supercells moving into this environment will have the potential to produce long track...Strong/violent tornadoes well into the evening.
Aviation...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 24035.
(Converted using this site: http://convertcase.net/ )
Why do weather services persist in pretending we still live in the age of the Teletype?
The agenda is important, but their biggest “target” is viewers. They’ve been remaking/re-branding the channel for the last couple of years, but much of their reality programming hasn’t worked out very well. So, they’re always on the lookout for a major weather event to juice the ratings.
I’m a weather buff and I’ve been watching their coverage since early afternoon. I think you said it well when described them as being in full “apocalypse” mode. They’ve actually got Jim Cantore broadcasting from the Storm Prediction Center in Norman, but I’ve noticed they’ve put him in a small room with one of the SPC’s coordinating mets who just happens to be his former college classmates.
Still, it’s a bit funny that the “experts” at TWC put Mike Bettes in SW Missouri when most of the tornadic activity has been in Nebraska and Iowa (so far), and conditions are getting ripe in SE Oklahoma and much of Arkansas is under a PDS watch.
A friend of mine who’s still in broadcast news tells me that wall-to-wall weather coverage will boost your ratings 15-20% at a minimum, and if you’ve got a met who’s well known in the market, the ratings go even higher.
There will be a lot of “weather-gasms” on the TWC and at local stations in the south and Midwest over the next couple of days.
I try to like TWC but I just can't.
much of their reality programming hasn't worked out very well.
That said I really enjoyed the admittedly stupid Iceberg Hunters!
There’s a storm southeast of Dallas right now that looks worse than those in Arkansas.
Been in Pittsburgh radio since the early '80's.
Very difficult market to predict.
Waiting to retire I can say today it's all smoke and mirrors, Has been for a long time.
I have my own modest PWS and it is more accurate than TV/radio forecasts.
One problem is radio now relies on TV forecasts (branding/cross promo) which typically covers a larger area. So we forecast snow in our "local" area when in reality it can be a hundred miles away or a thousand feet higher in elevation.
One year to retire...not that it means much in radio...but I don't want to make waves, LOL! My company has gone from 30+ markets to less than 20 in a few years. Tulsa, OK City and west of the Mississippi are all sold.
Outside of Pittsburgh and a couple of FL stations the company is done.
It always does >:P
There are reports from spotters that there are multiple large tornadoes on the ground between Nevada, MO and Joplin, MO. Scary.