Skip to comments.Election Lawfare and the 2014 Senate Races
Posted on 05/02/2014 4:08:13 AM PDT by Kaslin
With a wave of the pen --actually, 90 pages of waving-- U.S. Federal District Judge Lynn Adelman in Milwaukee struck down Wisconsin's three year old voter identification law on Tuesday. As The Atlantic's Andrew Cohen noted yesterday "[i]t is far from certain that the ruling will withstand review by the very conservative 7th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals or the even more conservative Supreme Court, which in 2008's Crawford v. Marion County declared that state voter-ID laws could be constitutional."
In other words, Cohen admits that Adelman almost certainly got it wrong, that his ruling will be reversed, and that the Wisconsin voter identification law, like most such laws, is quite constitutional as a means of preventing future voter fraud even if the record before a particular court doesn't include instances of past voter fraud. Do we really need to prove that Philly, Chicago, and yes, Milwaukee, are home to voter fraud before acting to require that a voter present identification before voting?
In fact some commentators are attempting to argue in the aftermath of Adelman's unusual ruling that voter i.d. can only be required where a record of past fraud is abundant. That's absurd, of course. Voting is a highly regulated activity, and just because an eight-year Democratic state senator and three-time Congressional candidate-turned federal judge wants to invent a new standard that helps Democratic machines that may not be too particular about whom they round up on election day doesn't mean he gets to. (Yes, Adelman is a Clinton appointee with a long record of partisan involvement prior to joint the bench. Good for him. Long may pols become judges. Let's just be clear-eyed about the bias he brought with him to the bench.)
The Adelman opinion is interesting only because it is the opening act in a long summer and fall of election lawfare. "Lawfare" is a term to describe that portion of the war on terror that takes place inside of courtrooms as the American justice system and other international legal systems try to adapt to the relatively new world of stateless terrorists and the due process, if any, they are owed by various nation-state legal systems. Most have been shocked by the verdicts coming of out Egypt in the aftermath of the trial of hundreds of Arab Spring activists, but this is only the recent act in a world-wide drama of law meeting terrorism. (Robert C. O'Brien was recently on my show reporting on the proceedings underway in Gitmo for the mastermind of the 9/11 attacks.)
Election lawfare began to arrive in American politics in the aftermath of the close 2000 presidential election, and then followed in rapid succession in the Washington State governors' race of 2004 and then in the famed Al Franken-Norm Coleman recount in the Minnesota U.S. Senate race in 2008.
With 14 Democratic seats and control of the U.S. Senate on the line this fall, expect a lot of overtime elections and instant replay flaps. I spent part of Wednesday's radio show talking with election law veteran, friend and colleague Craig Engle --formerly General Counsel of the National Republican Senatorial Committee, Federal Elections Commission lawyer and now a partner with Arent Fox--and with "the Smart Guys" Erwin Chemerinsky and John Eastman (dean and dean emeritus respectively of UCI Law School and Fowler School of Law at Chapman) talking through the Wisconsin case. Even though I suspect Adleman will be reversed in fairly short order, the importance of the case is not what it did but what it portends.
Engle, Chemerinsky, and Eastman all stressed the reality of the situation --transcripts of their interviews will be posted here later in the day-- and that reality is that elections will increasingly be decided in courtrooms, not on election day, and that the identities of the judges and the lawyers involved will matter a great deal. The voter identification battle in the larger red-blue war is being fought on a dozen other fronts. Some states are moving to much-harder-to-police mail voting systems, and Colorado's "Permanent Mail-in Voter" list almost guarantees shenanigans on a massive scale. Litigation over these laws will take place from now through November and beyond. The recounts and contested vote proceedings are going to get more prolonged and messier, not quicker and more straightforward.
My 2004 book and the continuing work of John Fund have detailed the country's vast history of vote fraud. Voter fraud in America is a fact of life. It does matter in close elections. Always has. Always will. And reformers aren't going to stop trying to make sure that "one registered voter, one vote cast by that registered voter" is the standard in practice and not just in theory. If elections lose legitimacy, so do the laws that follow them, and the judges confirmed by the men and women elected in those elections. Rick Hansen's Election Law Blog is a great place to keep track of everything being written and said on the subject.
Fraud and counter-fraud is as old as the Republic, then, but what is very new is the courtroom phase of elections, where teams of very specialized lawyers parachute in from D.C. to first monitor voting, then challenge suspect ballots and then litigate over who counts what. There aren't many specialists like Engle, and the average practitioner before the Federal Elections Commission who organizes super pacs, keeps the donations legal and reported. and both donor and candidate away from the grey areas of the law isn't used to the high stakes drama of Bush v. Gore or Coleman v. Franken. A new breed of super-elections lawyer has developed in the last decade-and-a-half.
Count on meeting these lawyers through the media this fall, and the smart campaigns are already putting them on retainer and their teams on notice, and not just so that FEC rules are complied with, though that matters a great deal as well. (The large field of would be 2016-presidential candidates have also learned from the 2012 primaries that these lawyers are necessary as well to keep track of and comply with ballot qualification laws in 50 states. Only two candidates --Mitt Romney and Ron Paul-- qualified for the ballot in all fifty states last time around.) These lawyers are making hotel reservations in 14 different states and getting to know the addresses of county election boards and the names of clerks in the offices of various Secretaries of States. Prepping the election law battlefield is underway.
2014 has more than a dozen Senate races any one of which may decide the contours of President Obama's last two years and thus the fate of any Supreme Court nomination that may come along in that period. With stakes that high, the decision in Wisconsin Tuesday isn't even an opening act, more like an orchestra tuning up.
The judge's ruling is unconstitutional without the Crawford v. Marion County Scotus decision.
DimocRATS lie, steal and cheat and want NOTHING to stand in their way.
Getting tired of it? Do something about it:
A case for impeachment. The State of Oklahoma is showing the way by impeaching half of their Supreme Court. Legislators are supposed to protect the rights of the people from government, all branches of government. Who else is going to step up to the plate. Let’s get some spine GOP. Cowards.
There is no voter fraud, Runt Paul said so, and he is a Libtardian who knows stuff like that./sarc
Of course they cheat, lie and steal. That’s the only way they win an election.
The problem with cheating and stealing to win elections is, as the article states, it undermines the legitimacy of the office holder placed into office under such circumstances, and therefore the laws that are produced.
My fear right now is that the Democrats are so power mad and power hungry that they don’t realize that they are dragging the nation directly towards a frightning abyss. IMHO, unless something changes and soon, we’re looking at the inevitability of political assassinations. And I’m not talking about some nutcase kid with a handgun that decides to gain noteriety by popping a Congressman (like what happened with Gabby Giffords), but more along the lines of a fed up farmer who, feeling nothing to lose by it, decides to take out a politician or judge (being redundant there, probably) with a scoped hunting rifle.
The consequences of THAT happening, let alone becoming a trend, are damn near inconceivable. It would be catastrophic, we’d have exactly the same sort of outcome Robert E. Lee avoided by surrendering the Army of Northern Virginia to Grant and telling his boys to accept defeat, go home and live in peace.
But I feel, deep in my bones, we’re on the verge of that happening. I fear for my country, but perhaps more importantly I fear for my children ...
More on Judge “Addleman’s” decision to strike down Wisconsin’s Voter ID law.
FReep Mail me if you want on, or off, this Wisconsin interest ping list.
“The recounts and contested vote proceedings are going to get more prolonged and messier, not quicker and more straightforward.”
And THIS is why we need TRUE Conservative candidates who can COMMUNICATE, win and win BIG!
Yeah. Whatever. I’m not holding my breath. A good majority of the GOP are a bunch of entrenched, self-serving, roll-over-belly-up weenies. Drain the Swamp!
Can you point me to some good articles about what Oklahoma is doing ? I want to spread it around the twitter and Facebook world.
I agree with you. When the government goes lawless and you have a corrupticrat like Harry Reid posturing about the law is the law and you have President Obama telling us one minute that ObamaCare is the law of the land and the next minute, he’s illegally re-writing the law of the land. When you have courts from the Supreme Court on down, where judges decree their own opinions and not the law, you leave only violence as the way to strikc back.