Skip to comments.Ontario election looms as NDPís Horwath pans Liberal budget
Posted on 05/02/2014 9:28:22 AM PDT by Hieronymus
Ontario is heading to an election after Andrea Horwath announced Friday she will team up with the Progressive Conservatives to vote down Premier Kathleen Wynnes budget.
I have lost confidence in Kathleen Wynne and her ability to deliver, the NDP Leader told a packed press conference at Queens Park. I cant in good conscience support a government that people dont trust anymore.
(Excerpt) Read more at theglobeandmail.com ...
Wynne`s budget made Bob Raes` look like a curmudgeon penny-pincher .
Unfortunately, the corrupt and criminal neo-marxist left will probably win
Gotta love a system where Conservatives might actually gain seats because the Far Left decides to have a hissy fit that it’s not getting everything that it wants.
If the Conservatives had any skill at all, they would be able to pull off at least a minority government. The NDP really had to pull the plug to claim that a vote for them is not a vote for the liberals—having supported the minority government for the bulk of a full term, this vote would have given the Conservatives a weapon that even they might manage to use.
In a three-way race, a vote for one of your opponents can be a vote for you.
In the last Ontario provincial election, the Liberals got a majority government with just 37.62% of the popular vote. The Progressive Conservatives (no, we don’t call it the Oxymoron Party; but, perhaps we should) got 35.43%, and the social democratic NDP got 22.73%.
If the PC party just holds on to their share of the vote, and the NDP picks up a couple of points at the expense of the Liberals; the PCs could form government. (Of course, it all depends on the distribution of the vote by riding.) IOW, a leftward tilt in the vote could produce a right-leaning government. With the right distribution of votes by riding, it could be a majority PC government. That’s how the Liberals got their majority last time — the difference is that it would only take a 2 percentage point shift from centre-left to further left to produce a right-leaning government. Expect lots of loud moaning and hand-wringing if this happens.
Canadians are used to making these sorts of calculations — we call it “strategic voting”, whereby you sometimes have to support your second choice, to keep your third (or fourth) choice from winning. It’s all part of the “fun” of a multi-party, first-past-the-post system of elections. Les Québécois are past masters of that game.
I meant to add to my post #6 that the PCs will probably want to focus their attacks on the Liberals — to help the NDP swipe some of the Liberals votes, and also to pick up a few votes from right-leaning Liberals. Both the NDP and the Liberals will try to convince centre-left voters that they need to support them, to keep the right-wing hoards from trampling over everyone.
I just looked at your home page, and saw the Maple Leaf flag — I should have known. My posts above probably weren’t telling you anything you didn’t already know. I hope some other readers got something from them.
There aren’t that many Americans conversant in Canadian politics, so explanations are welcome. (I’m actually a Yank, but have spent most of my time since ‘92 in Ontario.)
I’m listening to Wynne right now. If I were her, I would have let the other two parties actually vote the budget down, but it’s her call. June 12th.
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