No modern gov will tolerate a modern para military force in their country. Branch Davidians were in trouble not because they owned 200+ rifles, but they owned 200+ rifles of the same type, ala armed para military capability. Gov will use any of the 10,000+ local, state, fed regs to justify a raid. For the Branch Davidians it was reports of child abuse after the ATF failed to prove the BD obtained rifles illegally (Koresh brother had an FFL to buy the guns). Judge ordered ATF to let the BD go and return all the legal rifles seized. That got under the Fed skin, and the BD were definitely on the gov crap list.
Same tactic is being used by Fed and MSM. Reports that the town did not want the militia on Bundy’s ranch started to surface in the MSM. Waco II????? Remember what is driving the feds crazy is an armed tactical para military unit exists in NV. The feds do not want such a unit to start forming and spreading. Better to start something and kill 100 militiamen then wait till there are 10,000 in the country. That is how modern states think no matter who is in charge. If push comes to shove, GWB will order a violent raid no quicker then Clinton ordered his on the BD compound.
I would say your 10,000 in the country in grossly UNDER estimated.
The problem this time around is that the Feds won’t be swooping in on some cult but a bunch of god fearing patriots who are also combat ready. It will touch off the long overdue reboot.