Posted on 05/05/2014 2:48:19 PM PDT by justiceseeker93
Washington (CNN) – A small edge right now in a key indicator of the midterm elections could lead to a big advantage for the Republicans over the Democrats come November.
That's the suggestion from a new CNN/ORC International poll, that also indicates that President Barack Obama's lackluster approval ratings and pessimistic perceptions about the economy could also make 2014 a good year for the GOP at the ballot box.
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Six months before Election Day, the GOP has a one point edge over the Democrats (46%-45%) among registered voters nationwide in the generic ballot. The question asks respondents to choose between a Democrat or Republican in their congressional district without identifying the candidates. While that margin is well within the survey's sampling error, any advantage is noteworthy, since Republicans normally perform better among the smaller pool of those who vote in midterm elections than the wider group of registered voters.
The GOP's margin grows 48%-45% when looking just at those who say they voted in the last midterm elections, in 2010.
"The results among 2010 voters is not a likely voter model because it is still too early to get a valid estimate on who is likely to vote this year. But looking at the 2010 electorate does help adjust for the fact that midterm voters are quite different from the general public or from voters who only vote in presidential years," says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland.
"That three-point margin may not sound like much, but it's pretty much where the GOP was in the spring of 2010 before the party went on to take control of the U.S. House in November thanks to a 63-seat pick up, and made a major dent in the Democrat's majority in the Senate," Holland added.
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(Excerpt) Read more at politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com ...
Maybe Janet Yellen could help out by mailing freshly printed thousand dollar bills to every family in the country. That would certainly be cheaper than the trillions Obama has spent and no one knows where it went.
Sounds great except if the GOP is stupid enough to pass amnesty,
all bets are off.
Ping!!!
LOL!!!
That still wouldn't compensate for the medical insurance problems induced by Obamacare. Not to mention the inflationary pressures that would cause.
Passing amnesty would be Boehner's biggest boner!!!
the worm has turned..
it wont play out visibly until November...which gives the commies plenty of time to deny that its happened...
the worm has turned..
it wont play out visibly until November...which gives the commies plenty of time to deny that its happened...
Everyone assumes that elections will take place as scheduled. Let’s pray they do.
Please explain. Will enough idiots who voted for Obama turn around and vote against his totalitarian left friends running for Congress, the architects and supporters of Obamacare, etc.? And just as importantly, will our election procedures be honest enough to show how much "the worm turned" in the reported results?
If they don't or if they are not reasonably honest, I'd suggest that could be the spark of a new revolution, unfortunately.
Remember that the original American Revolution didn't just start with a single event, but resulted from a never-abating sequence of insults and abuses on the American colonists from the regime of George III, with no representation in London to redress the grievances.
“... the original American Revolution didn’t just start with a single event ...”
-
“The revolution was effected before the war commenced.
The Revolution was in the minds and hearts of the people.
This radical change in the principles, opinions, sentiments,
and affections of the people was the real American Revolution.”
~John Adams~
Washington post with interactive map.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-tran/politics/election-lab-2014
Calls my state (MI) with a 58% GOP chance of winning. It might be a touch higher because they include Rob Steele as a candidate but he’s not running for a senate seat.
the vote counting is very concerning...I dunno
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