Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Actually, Russia's Population Isn't Shrinking
Japan's The Diplomat ^ | May 01, 2014 | Ankit Panda

Posted on 05/08/2014 8:46:54 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican

Russia has its problems, but they don’t include a negative population growth rate — contrary to common wisdom. Following the collapse of the Soviet Union, birth rates among native Russians tanked and death rates began slowly climbing. Around 1992, deaths in Russia exceeded births.

Analysts of Russian affairs have ever since taken it for granted that Russia faces a demographic crisis that will slowly but surely thrust the country into a perilous state of affairs where its economy shrinks as population declines (Western sanctions over Crimea are a drop in the bucket in this picture).

The only problem with this hypothesis is that, while it was true for a majority of the 1990s and the early 2000s, the most recent data suggest that the trend has started reversing and Russia is headed towards positive population growth, with more births than deaths.

(Excerpt) Read more at thediplomat.com ...


TOPICS: Russia
KEYWORDS:

1 posted on 05/08/2014 8:46:54 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: MinorityRepublican

Right on the cusp


2 posted on 05/08/2014 8:47:40 PM PDT by Viennacon
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MinorityRepublican

This is a new development, and of the trend continues it will be a huge story. But, it’s still to early to see.


3 posted on 05/08/2014 8:49:25 PM PDT by nickcarraway
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MinorityRepublican

Most of the growth is actually in Dagestan and Chechnya. The average lifespan of a 15 year old male in Russia is under 60 years. Don’t tell that to the “Putin Hates Fags” fanboys.


4 posted on 05/08/2014 8:53:51 PM PDT by Clemenza (Lurking)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: nickcarraway

Today’s Wall Street Journal had a piece on this. They argued that the population of ethnic Russians is still declining, and the rising birth rate is only due to Moslem immigrants.


5 posted on 05/08/2014 8:55:55 PM PDT by Lurking Libertarian (Non sub homine, sed sub Deo et lege)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Clemenza
Most of the growth is actually in Dagestan and Chechnya. Dagestan and Chechnya is less populated than the State of North Carolina.
6 posted on 05/08/2014 8:56:19 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

It is a small echo baby boom that will be short lived.

And as others have stated, this mini echo boom is disproportionately among Muslim minorities.


7 posted on 05/08/2014 8:57:43 PM PDT by Reaganez
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MinorityRepublican

It will take a few more years to see if it is a lasting trend, but Russia is the only developed country I know with a rising birth rate. They are also one of the few who truly understand the effects of a demogrqaphic implosion.


8 posted on 05/08/2014 9:00:15 PM PDT by Vince Ferrer
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Reaganez
And as others have stated, this mini echo boom is disproportionately among Muslim minorities.

Russians aren't PC when it comes to dealing with restless Muslims.

9 posted on 05/08/2014 9:02:02 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: MinorityRepublican

Neither are Muslims when dealing with Christians and post Christians.

In 2050-2060 it will be the Mongol Horde all over again.


10 posted on 05/08/2014 9:05:19 PM PDT by Reaganez
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: Lurking Libertarian

Odd that you would trust the news pages of the WSJ, which lean left. Moreover, the WSJ editorial board hates anyone whose last name is “Paul” and libertarians generally. It is about as GOPe a publication as there is, and they are infected with Bill Kristol style foreign policy and a view of domestic policy that tells them that McConnell has it about right.

I don’t trust the WSJ, especially the news stories on sensitive issues, and I often wonder why I subscribed.


11 posted on 05/08/2014 9:49:32 PM PDT by achilles2000 ("I'll agree to save the whales as long as we can deport the liberals")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: Viennacon
Putin has been paying Russian women to have babies.

We just pay Mexican women to have babies.

12 posted on 05/08/2014 10:07:40 PM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: MinorityRepublican
Shrinking?
13 posted on 05/08/2014 10:23:40 PM PDT by Michael.SF. (I never thought anyone could make Jimmy Carter look good in compariso)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MinorityRepublican
Analysis: Russia's Far East Turning Chinese
14 posted on 05/08/2014 10:33:40 PM PDT by Berlin_Freeper (Land of the Free and the home of the Brave!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MinorityRepublican

Is it Russians who are reproducing, or the invading hordes of bearded savages?


15 posted on 05/09/2014 3:51:15 AM PDT by I want the USA back (Media: completely irresponsible. Complicit in the destruction of this country.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MinorityRepublican

Russia’s population may be growing, but the Russian population is not growing. Muslims in Russia are increasing in number.


16 posted on 05/09/2014 6:49:42 AM PDT by Jabba the Nutt (You can have a free country or government schools. Choose one.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: nickcarraway

My girlfriend is a Russian citizen living in Moscow, and she told me last week that the Russian government will pay roughly $11,000 to a Russian woman who has a child. Despite that, there aren’t enough people using the program so they are considering doing away with it.


17 posted on 05/09/2014 7:51:31 AM PDT by RightFighter (It was all for nothing.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: RightFighter

Then get going, pal. Marry her and let the Russkies pay for your wedding.


18 posted on 05/10/2014 7:20:01 AM PDT by 1010RD (First, Do No Harm)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: 1010RD

Well, I don’t really want to live in Russia.


19 posted on 05/10/2014 8:13:59 AM PDT by RightFighter (It was all for nothing.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: RightFighter
It sounds like a paradise.
20 posted on 05/10/2014 9:38:10 AM PDT by 1010RD (First, Do No Harm)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 19 | View Replies]

To: 1010RD

She loves it. Loves Putin. Most Russians do.


21 posted on 05/10/2014 2:15:22 PM PDT by RightFighter (It was all for nothing.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]

To: RightFighter

She sounds like an Obama voter. No offense.


22 posted on 05/10/2014 7:10:34 PM PDT by 1010RD (First, Do No Harm)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: MinorityRepublican
An even more egregious “common knowledge” falsehood is the cooked numbers the PLO uses to push the idea that demographics are on their side, so Israel should do business now with the Jew-haters or things will get worse.

The fact is, Israel's population is growing faster than the “Arab territories” and the baseline the Palestinians are working from is barely half of what is claimed.

Read Caroline Glick’s “Israel: the One State Solution.”

23 posted on 05/10/2014 7:25:46 PM PDT by cookcounty (IRS = Internal Revenge Service.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Jabba the Nutt
"Russia’s population may be growing, but the Russian population is not growing. Muslims in Russia are increasing in number."

Yes, but for now, their increase is (temporarily) overshadowed by millions of ethnic Russians migrating from Central Asian countries (former Soviet Republics Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, etc.) back to to Mother Russia.

24 posted on 05/10/2014 7:33:32 PM PDT by cookcounty (IRS = Internal Revenge Service.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: cookcounty

Heim ins Reich?


25 posted on 05/10/2014 10:39:57 PM PDT by Jabba the Nutt (You can have a free country or government schools. Choose one.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 24 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson