Skip to comments.NH poll: Obama tanks, Shaheen and Brown in statistical dead heat
Posted on 05/12/2014 2:05:23 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
As you digest the results of Dartmouth College’s annual New Hampshire ‘State of the State‘ poll, bear in mind that Barack Obama carried the Granite State by nearly six percentage points in 2012. My Townhall colleague Dan Doherty flagged the survey of registered voters, which contains all sorts of ugliness for Democrats. The lowlights, based on a Republican-friendly (24/29/45 – D/R/I sample):
(1) President Obama’s approval rating in the state has slumped (36/54), with his personal favorability similarly underwater at (28/49). He’s down significantly in both categories compared to last year, a decline largely driven by independents and some disaffected Democrats.
(2) Obamacare is deeply unpopular among New Hampshire voters. Just 34 percent approve of the law, with 58 percent disapproving. The breakdown by political party is striking. Republicans despise the law (5/91), Democrats support it (66/22), while independents drag down its numbers (36/54). New Hampshire residents who say they’ve personally benefitted from Obamacare are outnumbered by those who’ve been harmed by nearly a three-to-one margin (10/28). The state has been uniquely impacted by “access shock.”
(3) This bar graph goes out to Sen. Rand Paul. Here’s how badly Republicans are “offending people” in New Hampshire:
This lopsided outcome has been replicated nationwide. Overwhelming majorities of Americans back common-sense voter ID laws, including strong majorities of blacks and Hispanics. Opposition is loud, and is coordinated by the professionally aggrieved class.
(4) Incumbent Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen is upside-down on both job approval (34/35) and personal favorability (34/37), though her deficits aren’t nearly as dramatic as the president’s. In a series of hypothetical November match-ups, Shaheen’s solid re-elect number tops out at 39 percent. Her lead sits within the margin of error against Scott Brown (39/36) with 25 percent undecided; against former Senator Bob Smith, Shaheen leads (38/32) with 19 percent undecided. Most of the “undecideds,” incidentally, are Republican and independent voters. Shaheen cast the deciding vote for Obamacare and repeated her party’s false “keep your plan” pledge. Here’s Brown’s latest web ad touting support from military veterans and highlighting Brown’s own service:
(5) I’ll leave you with this, just for fun. Note the only match-up that falls outside the MoE:
Let’s hope, but we went through that in 2012 with that Wrestler woman who people swore was going to win but only to be creamed in the actual results.
Where is the Ted Cruz matchup?
RE: but we went through that in 2012 with that Wrestler woman who people swore was going to win but only to be creamed in the actual results.
CT is very different from NH. For one, NH has no income tax. Secondly, this is a mid-term election.
Libertarians have been trying to get control of NH for years through the Free State Project. They are having some success but the Left still has too much influence.
...but the sky-high property taxes will kill you.
MEMO TO NH VOTERS:
<><> Ask Shaheen when Obama is dropping by to campaign for her.
<><> Ask Shaheen why she voted to subsidize O/Care by decimating Medicare Advantage for seniors.
<><> Ask Shaheen why the White House calculatedly kept the gruesome details to itself while egging on loyal lock-stepping Democrats to vote for O/Care.
<><> Ask Shaheen why the WH lied to Americans in a way so specific, it showed they knew exactly what to spin and how......via the infamous "If you like your health-care plan, you can keep your health-care plan, period."
<><> Ask Shaheen after she voted for it why she carried on for the next three years making believe she'd actually read the ACA bill and pretending she understood its implications.
<><> Ask Shaheen why she was so surprised by grassroots complaints about O/Care from her constituents.
Shaheen and her coterie of lock-stepping Dummycrats are gonna
find out real soon: NH voters did not just fall off a turnip truck.
STROLL DOWN MEMORY LANE As far back as 2008, at the presidential debate in Nashville, Democrat candidate Obama advanced his signature healthcare plan---ultimately enacted, by an historic straight Democrat party-line vote, into the "Affordable Care Act"
QUOTING 2008 OBAMA: "No. 1, let me just repeat, if youve got a health care plan that you like, you can keep it. All Im going to do is help you to lower the premiums on it. Youll still have choice of doctor. Repeated over and over ---- with the promise that every American family would be saving $2500.00 on healthcare costs.
Significantly, Obamba NEVER corrected lock-stepping Democrats, all reading from the same Democrat talking points, all of them repeating the same Democrat promises---over and over again.
LOCK-STEPPING PARTY LOYALTY NOT SEEN SINCE 1930-40's ERA EUROPE Obama And The Dems marched in lockstep. The persistent Dumbocrat drumbeat ---- in obeisance to Obama ---- kept ringing reassuringly in our ears: "If you like your plan, you can keep your plan."
Shaheen's aide looks for Obamacare enrollees who've paid for insurance, who are actually insured, for millenials duped into paying for other people's h/care and for the "underserved"....who had no insurance before ACA took effect.
Betcha Harry Reid's name might evoke similar sentiments in Senate races.
PELOSI THE MAGIC VOTE-GETTER --- FOR REPUBLICANS Seems that invoking "Pelosi" was a vote-getter......for Republicans....(cackle).
National Journal reported Repub strategists had measured which messages were most effectively persuading voters to turn in their ballots.
<><> In Jolly's race, they turned to a messagedelivered across a variety of digital platforms and emailthat focused on urging Repubs to vote now or watch Democratic Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi move one step closer to reclaiming the speaker's gavel.<><>
News reports say Obama flew off to headline several fund-raisers.
So many Democrat fund-raisers----so few campaign stops (cackle). And here's why.....Obama is near his all-time low approval ratings, and was labeled 'political poison' to the partys candidates.
Being tied to an unpopular president can be a millstone around an eager Democrat's neck. Democrats want some of the presidential pull, but Obama, himself, should get out of their way.....and stay the hell out of their districts.
Brown is scarcely better than a Democrat. He has already lost to a phony Indian by trying to out-socialist her.
thank god I do not live there - I would have to vote Mickey Mouse
even the Rs moved to leftists