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Polls show Democrats competitive in Southern Senate Races
The Hill ^ | May 12, 2014

Posted on 05/12/2014 2:50:07 PM PDT by SMGFan

Democrats in three top southern Senate races are holding their own — and even running ahead in a few cases — against Republicans in a new poll out Monday. A new series of NBC News/Marist polls show Democrats in Arkansas, Kentucky and Georgia are running even or ahead of their GOP opponents.

(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Arkansas; US: Georgia; US: Kentucky
KEYWORDS: 2014midterms; 2014polls
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where will the polls be in September...
1 posted on 05/12/2014 2:50:07 PM PDT by SMGFan
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To: SMGFan

You can dismiss the NBC/Marist polls, as they are apparently “registered voters” polls. Unless they are likely voters with the proper partisan balancing, they are useless.


2 posted on 05/12/2014 2:56:49 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

No, they are useful in demoralizing certain people.


3 posted on 05/12/2014 3:00:10 PM PDT by SMGFan (Sarah Michelle Gellar is now on twitter @RealSMG)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

I dunno—I’ve been asking for a long time just what the Republicans are giving conservatives like me to vote for.

I held my nose in 2012 and voted for Romney, but no more.


4 posted on 05/12/2014 3:03:10 PM PDT by Arm_Bears (Shoot cops that shoot dogs.)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

right you are.

for the next 5 months, the lefty polls will all be pushing their “Pollaganda” like they do every election cycle.


5 posted on 05/12/2014 3:03:21 PM PDT by kingattax (America needs more real Americans.)
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To: SMGFan

Some of these polls at this time are meant simply to encourage donations to the “endangered” DimocRAT Senate candidates.


6 posted on 05/12/2014 3:04:36 PM PDT by House Atreides
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To: kingattax

I don’t blame them....they work and actually turn out to be accurate.


7 posted on 05/12/2014 3:05:02 PM PDT by napscoordinator (Governor Scott Walker 2016 for the future of the country!)
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To: Arm_Bears

I held my nose in 2012 and voted for Romney, but no more.


Same here. This time I’m voting for the democrat in my state. I’d rather get it over with than prolong the agony.


8 posted on 05/12/2014 3:07:51 PM PDT by laplata (Liberals don't get it .... their minds are diseased.)
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To: laplata
This time I’m voting for the democrat in my state. I’d rather get it over with than prolong the agony.

It'll be a cold day in Hell when I ever pull a lever for a Dem.

9 posted on 05/12/2014 3:09:57 PM PDT by Leroy S. Mort (If you have a Boehner lasting more than 23 years, seek immediate medical attention)
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To: laplata

I want to give you an opportunity to say that was sarcasm before I tell you what I think of that statement.


10 posted on 05/12/2014 3:12:36 PM PDT by Williams
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To: fieldmarshaldj

There are probably about 10,000 posts from the 2012 presidential election where people explained that the polls were skewed due to democrat sample bias, registered votes bias, etc... And in the end, the polls were pretty close, and often Obama ended up doing better than the polls indicated. So if republicans are close or behind, you better start worrying. Especially if we are talking about a great candidate like Tom Cotton who should be ahead by double digits in Arkansas.


11 posted on 05/12/2014 3:13:51 PM PDT by MrShoop
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To: Leroy S. Mort

I want to know if he’s serious. Voting left wing Democrat is NOT an acceptable option for conservatives.


12 posted on 05/12/2014 3:13:59 PM PDT by Williams
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To: Williams
Too bad there are so damn few right wing Republicans to vote for. I won't vote for a left wing Republican either. John Cornyn will have to win without my vote. Or lose. I don't care which.

/johnny

13 posted on 05/12/2014 3:16:18 PM PDT by JRandomFreeper (Gone Galt)
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To: laplata
This time I’m voting for the democrat in my state. I’d rather get it over with than prolong the agony.

What a pity it doesn't really work that way.

14 posted on 05/12/2014 3:19:24 PM PDT by Charles Martel (Endeavor to persevere...)
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To: Charles Martel
It does put an end to the GOP-E candidate, though. And that's not a bad thing.

/johnny

15 posted on 05/12/2014 3:20:45 PM PDT by JRandomFreeper (Gone Galt)
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To: MrShoop

That’s because many were skewed. I take issue especially with any media outlet (or campaign) that would release a “registered voters” poll and consider it a legitimate indicator of what will happen at the ballot box.


16 posted on 05/12/2014 3:22:19 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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To: MrShoop

” So if republicans are close or behind, you better start worrying.’

What is the Republican Party message in 2014? This is a year in which a decent alternative to the status quo should win in a walk. The fact many races are close or fluid suggests voters are unclear as to what the opposition is offering that is better. All the voters see today from the Republicans is infighting, not a unified message. Of course this may be intentional and a great strategy if your objective is to throw away an almost certain victory.


17 posted on 05/12/2014 3:22:56 PM PDT by Soul of the South (Yesterday is gone. Today will be what we make of it.)
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To: Arm_Bears

That one was a bridge too far for me. I voted for Virgil Goode.


18 posted on 05/12/2014 3:23:40 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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To: kingattax

If it appears that the Democrats will hold the Senate, then some voters would not want to oust their own Democrat. Operation “Stop the Wave”?


19 posted on 05/12/2014 3:24:46 PM PDT by SMGFan (Sarah Michelle Gellar is now on twitter @RealSMG)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

Actually, the “likely voter” model has proven wrong over the last few cycles.

Ignore at your peril.


20 posted on 05/12/2014 3:25:15 PM PDT by RIghtwardHo
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To: Soul of the South
What is the Republican Party message in 2014?

"We hate conservatives and we'll spend millions to prove it." seems to be the current message.

/johnny

21 posted on 05/12/2014 3:25:45 PM PDT by JRandomFreeper (Gone Galt)
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To: RIghtwardHo

A likely voter model without certain balances and you’d be correct. If you can produce a registered voters poll that is remotely near the mark of accuracy, I’d love to see it.


22 posted on 05/12/2014 3:28:16 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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To: SMGFan

Hopefully democrats spend lots of $$$ trying to win in the South. LOL.


23 posted on 05/12/2014 3:30:57 PM PDT by proudpapa (Scott Walker - 2016)
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To: MrShoop

I thought when he announced that Cotton might be trying to move too fast. He hasn’t even finished his term as state Rep before jumping into the Senate race.

Pryor & associates have been running some very negative ads.

One claims Cotton took evil corporate money. [Uhhh, salary? Of course, the ad doesn’t specify that. How much corporate money has Pryor received? But I digress.]

Such partial truth ads feed the LIVs who don’t bother to check the facts.

Pryor runs another ad claiming that Cotton voted against Medicare and voted to extend the age to qualify to 70. Pryor doesn’t tell voters that he voted for Obamacare, which uses Medicare funds to pay help pay for it.

Cotton needs some more effective come-back ads. His ad in response to Pryor’s snide remark about Cotton’s military service was weak and silly.

Maybe Cotton is holding out, waiting until closer to the election. But he definitely needs to improve the quality and content of his ads.


24 posted on 05/12/2014 3:39:33 PM PDT by TomGuy
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To: TomGuy

You’re needlessly panicking. J. William Fulbright served just one term in the U.S. House before he managed to knock off the venerable incumbent Senator Hattie Carraway. Pryor is extremely vulnerable and he knows it. This poll is bollocks.


25 posted on 05/12/2014 3:46:42 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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To: Williams

I left off the “/s” on purpose.


26 posted on 05/12/2014 3:49:27 PM PDT by laplata (Liberals don't get it .... their minds are diseased.)
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To: TomGuy

The only thing Cotton can be hit on is the intervention in Syria and Ukraine.

I don’t know if it will play out in November.

If Boehner sends an immigration bill to the Senate he is giving Pryor, Landrieu and Hagan a chance to safely vote against it.


27 posted on 05/12/2014 3:50:56 PM PDT by ObamahatesPACoal
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To: Leroy S. Mort

It’ll be a cold day in Hell when I ever pull a lever for a Dem.


I was being facetious. But the people on our side who don’t approve 100% of a Republican and sit out an election are doing exactly that.


28 posted on 05/12/2014 3:55:30 PM PDT by laplata (Liberals don't get it .... their minds are diseased.)
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To: Charles Martel

What a pity it doesn’t really work that way.


No, it is a slow process but will eventually hit the fan.


29 posted on 05/12/2014 3:56:52 PM PDT by laplata (Liberals don't get it .... their minds are diseased.)
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To: SMGFan

I remember when they came up with “The Dream Team” in Texas.
The MSM said it was going to be like Ann Richards was back in town.
They got creamed.


30 posted on 05/12/2014 3:59:56 PM PDT by Zathras
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To: SMGFan

In their dreams Michelle Nunn wins in GA. Not a chance.


31 posted on 05/12/2014 4:00:30 PM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose o f a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped.)
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To: Leroy S. Mort

The last Dem I voted for was Joe Lieberman against Lowell P Wackjob. I didn’t care for LPW and Lieberman as a state senator was a bit right of center.


32 posted on 05/12/2014 4:06:06 PM PDT by ExCTCitizen (I'm ExCTCitizen and I approve this reply. If it does offend Libs, I'm NOT sorry...)
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To: SMGFan
Color me cynical about this. Saw a scroll on the TV in the lunchroom at work about how "Dems have a better chance than you think of holding the Senate".

I think they've solidified the cheat machine in the places that matter, and so they have to create the news in order to match the rigged "reality".

33 posted on 05/12/2014 4:10:52 PM PDT by Mygirlsmom (No Mo (zilla). I'm going to the Opera instead.)
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To: MrShoop

Exactly. Never again should Freepers discount the polls. I know I never will. I learned my lesson in 2012. A very painful lesson.


34 posted on 05/12/2014 4:14:30 PM PDT by yellowdoghunter (Welcome to Obamastan! (Mrs. Yellowdoghunter))
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To: laplata

Then you’re just a left wing Democrat in my book.


35 posted on 05/12/2014 4:36:19 PM PDT by Williams
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To: laplata
"Same here. This time I’m voting for the democrat in my state. I’d rather get it over with than prolong the agony."

VOTE ROT and CORRUPTION! VOTE DEMOCRAT, 2014: Because, be honest. We all know how it ends. Let's get it over with!
36 posted on 05/12/2014 4:36:35 PM PDT by DesScorp
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To: laplata

Oh I didn’t read your post about being facetious. Sorry.


37 posted on 05/12/2014 4:38:08 PM PDT by Williams
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To: fieldmarshaldj

You can’t be serious..
Does anyone think NBC would release a poll that is not cooked for the Dems.
The network finances the DNC .

Who the heck hires a third rate polling firm like Marist unless they want cooked results.
the only polling firms that are worse are PPP or QU !

I just recall the VA Gov race and the Obama media polls and the K St stooges at Hotair said it was a wipe out for Ken C based in a cooked PPP polls.
He lost by 3 %!
Don’t fall for the Dem Media spin which is coming non stop.


38 posted on 05/12/2014 4:38:09 PM PDT by ncalburt ( Amnesty-media out in full force)
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To: SMGFan

Well Arkansas did give us the Klintons. The only thing southern about Kentucky is that they play in the SEC. They are way too far north for me to be called southern. NC, SC, VA, GA, FL, AL, MS, TN, ARK, LA, eastern TX, are the southern states to me. KY was not a southern succession state in the war of Northern Aggression. WV broke away from VA to join the north. So they are out. So those are it for me. KY ain’t southern.


39 posted on 05/12/2014 4:42:54 PM PDT by RetiredArmy (MARANATHA, MARANATHA, Come quickly LORD Jesus!!! Father send thy Son!! Its Time!)
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To: Arm_Bears

I am done nose holding also. I am also not falling for the “we have to vote for X to keep Y out of blank office.” I vote only for people that I can agree with. If they ain’t in my ball park, I skip voting that race and move on down the ballot. No more voting party lines for me. The stinking RINOs are not getting my vote to keep them in office.


40 posted on 05/12/2014 4:44:42 PM PDT by RetiredArmy (MARANATHA, MARANATHA, Come quickly LORD Jesus!!! Father send thy Son!! Its Time!)
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To: Leroy S. Mort

Roger the cold day in hell.


41 posted on 05/12/2014 4:45:07 PM PDT by RetiredArmy (MARANATHA, MARANATHA, Come quickly LORD Jesus!!! Father send thy Son!! Its Time!)
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To: yellowdoghunter

Be careful

The pollsters always correct there Pres year polls from the non stop wild Pro Dem figures in the few days before the election unless its midterms polls which do not get carved up so they stay awful.

These are midterm polls and the NBC ,ABC, CNN .... will all be cooked right to the end because they are saved and studied.

Just watch PPP which predicted the big loss for Ken C in VA which turned out to be close race which went intentionally unreported in the fall on purpose.

Polling is a scam which is why publishing polls results before election in many overseas countries are banned now.

Polls are used as a weapon by the Obama media .


42 posted on 05/12/2014 4:46:08 PM PDT by ncalburt ( Amnesty-media out in full force)
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To: ncalburt

It’s funny, I seem to recall that despite the clear Dem lean of the PPP, they actually weren’t that far off with some predictions.


43 posted on 05/12/2014 4:49:24 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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To: Arm_Bears

What’s wrong with voting for Mitt Romney? He favors the working man (hiking the minimum wage) and the sick (socialized medicine).

He’s a wunnerful caring man. He loves you.


44 posted on 05/12/2014 4:55:26 PM PDT by heye2monn (MO)
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To: Williams

No problem.

God is the only one able to fix this terrible mess. We’re deluding ourselves if we think otherwise.


45 posted on 05/12/2014 5:11:11 PM PDT by laplata (Liberals don't get it .... their minds are diseased.)
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To: MrShoop

It is a funny saying, but also very true. “The campaign went fine until the voters got involved.”


46 posted on 05/12/2014 5:12:11 PM PDT by billhilly (Its OK, the left hated Bush.)
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To: DesScorp

I was being facetious. But the people on our side who don’t approve 100% of a Republican and sit out an election are doing exactly that.


47 posted on 05/12/2014 5:13:48 PM PDT by laplata (Liberals don't get it .... their minds are diseased.)
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To: SMGFan

A tornado hits Arkansas. Pryor gets Obama to visit and “feel their pain”. His poll numbers go up. As far as I’m concerned it doesn’t say much positive about Arkansas voters that they’ve been re-electing the fat fool for years just because his daddy was a politician.


48 posted on 05/12/2014 5:21:29 PM PDT by VerySadAmerican
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To: MrShoop; SMGFan; theothercheek; jazusamo; fieldmarshaldj; kingattax; Leroy S. Mort; ...
...and often Obama ended up doing better than the polls indicated.

Ever hear of election fraud and cheating? Well, no bona fide pollster or polling technique can account for that. And that's likely a major reason why Zero finished a significant number of points ahead of what he was polling immediately prior to the election, especially in the swing states. In fact, you can make a good case for contending that if not for the 'Rat fraud and cheating, which took many forms and was targeted to the swing states, Romney would be the POTUS today.

Of course, 'Rats will say that there is seldom or never election fraud, because they have absolutely no desire to clean it up - until appropriate legislation forces their collective hands.

49 posted on 05/12/2014 5:46:48 PM PDT by justiceseeker93
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To: fieldmarshaldj

Newsflash

Hotair just posted the NBC push poll special Spice!

They over sampled Blacks and under sampled whites in these polls.

Good old National Barack Channel is always out there lying and scamming for there team !,,


50 posted on 05/12/2014 7:32:52 PM PDT by ncalburt ( Amnesty-media out in full force)
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