Skip to comments.Kentucky: McConnell and Grimes Neck and Neck for U.S. Senate
Posted on 05/13/2014 11:29:49 AM PDT by smoothsailing
May 12, 2014 by Marist Poll
Among registered voters in Kentucky including undecided voters who are leaning toward a candidate, U.S. Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell receives 46% to 45% for Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes. One percent supports someone else, and 8% are undecided.
*Party ID. More than eight in ten Republicans 83% support McConnell while 75% of Democrats back Grimes. A notable 19% of Democrats are for McConnell compared with only 9% of Republicans who support Grimes. McConnell edges Grimes, 46% to 41%, among independent voters.
Gender. There is a gender gap. 51% of men support McConnell while 40% are for Grimes. Among women voters, 49% are for Grimes compared with 42% for McConnell.
Against Republican businessman Matt Bevin, Grimes has the support of 46% of registered voters in the state including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate compared with 37% for Bevin. One percent is for another candidate, and 15% are undecided.
Low Favorability and Approval Ratings for McConnell Grimes Unknown to Many
45% of Kentucky adults have an unfavorable opinion of Mitch McConnell. 39% have a favorable impression of him while 13% are unsure how to rate him. Among registered voters, 46% have a negative opinion of McConnell. 42% have a positive one, and 11% are unsure how to rate him.
When it comes to McConnells job performance, 45% of Kentucky residents disapprove of how he is currently doing in the United States Senate. 39% approve, and 16% are unsure. Among registered voters in the state, 46% give McConnell low marks. 41% are pleased with his performance, and 13% are unsure.
Looking at Grimes, 36% of Kentucky residents have a positive impression of her and 23% have a negative one. 14% have never heard of Grimes, and 27% are unsure how to rate her. Among registered voters, 39% have a favorable opinion of Grimes while 24% have an unfavorable one. One in ten 10% has never heard of her, and 27% are unsure how to rate Grimes.
McConnell Outdistances Bevin in GOP Primary for U.S. Senate in Kentucky
In the race for the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate in Kentucky, Senator Mitch McConnell leads his closest competitor, Matt Bevin, 57% to 25%, among likely Republican primary voters including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate and those who voted early or by absentee ballot.
- See more including internals at:
Great. This is what you get when milquetoast RINO’s run. Same diff as the Dim.
"The secret to happiness is freedom...
And the secret to freedom is courage."
I hope Bevin pulls it out somehow
Morons in KY are going to pick Mitch... again... and he’ll lose. 2014 is going to be a fiasco
Wouldn’t it be better if Grimes won? Seriously, wouldn’t this be a wake up call to the RINOs?
Not in my world, I loathe Democrats.
The poll shows Bevin losing worse than McConnell to the Dem....
As usual, it looks like what was a sure thing for the GOP is over.
No Senate control.
Well, six years later the only thing that's happened is that Obama is causing massive suffering. Let's please not make those same types of mistakes again.
No, they’d actually rather have a fellow statist win in order to increase the power that they get a slice of,
than to have a conservative win that would reduce that power.
Again, the poll shows Bevin losing WORSE.
I’m voting for Bevin in the primary. If he loses, I’m voting for Grimes in the general. I don’t just want to vote against McConnel. I want to vote for the person most likely to win against him. I want him OUT, even if it means sending a Democrat to the senate. Even if it means giving up a chance at a republican majority.
Never going to happen. They will just move further left.
37% + 15% undecided
It is still possible although unlikely.
Good. The GOPe will push amnesty anyway. The heck with their getting control
Let em figure out that they need the base. The republican base is the only force that cares anything about the future of the country. And we should just start calling the GOPe the Chamber Party that’s whom they work for. So they were republicans when they took office
The young republicans can move in
Not gaining the senate in mob is no big deal Just an amateur theory
Republicans (GOPe that is) in power are dangerous enablers of BO
They'll continue to play the "Glad Game" all the way to November.
Yeah, but it ain’t gonna happen. The Mitch will be back, as will Linda.
Unfortunately and nothing will get done
The interesting thing is in a supposed tidal wave election, its the southern Democrats who may save the Senate for the Dems. They are hanging in there in every poll. Despite being in states that despise Obama. Grimes in KY, Nunn in GA, Landrieu in LA, and Pryor in AR. None are looking like certain losers.
If the GOP can take the Senate without retaining McConnell’s seat, I don’t see too much of a downside here.
“Wouldnt it be better if Grimes won? Seriously, wouldnt this be a wake up call to the RINOs?”
Nope. It would be one less vote for Cruz’s battle against the left. Say whatever you want about the RINO’s, but we keep forgetting that with. Republican controlled senate, the Conservatives get to submit bills which the RINO’s will have to call a vote on.
With a rat controlled senate, the republican voice goes unheard.
You are so right on!!! We have got to get everyone out to vote this coming November. The only thing that matters is that all of “our” anti-Obama/Democrat Republican candidates win!!! End of story!!! As for the naysayers, and would be non-voters.....I cannot stand MItch McConnell....but come election day evening in Kentucky....McConnell will win by a good margin. Polls taken right now mean absolutely nothing!!! All of them!!!
McConnell is a steaming pile of turtle crap, but the poll internals are way off (intentionally skewed by the liberal pollsters:
Turnout for 2010 KY Senate election was:
So RATS are being oversampled by +14 points
GOP are being undersampled by -6 points
Independents are being undersampled by -8 points
How about the Chamber Pot Party and replace the Elephant with this...
Maybe they'll do it in the pot, instead of all over us.
Unless he’s got enough money to do wall to wall advertising in the next few days, then put a fork in him.
I see the current GOPe and Democrats as the same party that is just playing “good cop, bad cop” with us. Keeping McConnel gives us NOTHING, even if the R’s have a majority.
That was proven in spades when W was president and the R’s controlled both sides of the house. It is when I stopped being a republican. It’s one of those “fool me once...” types of things.
Look, don’t write off Bevin. McConnel is spending $Millions on advertisement and is a demonic, sleazy bastard; his commercials are unbelievable lies, no just lies but breathtaking lies. He now in this homestretch before the 20th primary is accusing Bevin of favoring cockfighting...you heard me right.
Bevin is the real deal, real conservative, small business owner. EVERYthing McConnnel and his demon soldiers have said about Bevin is a lie. I live in Cincy and can’t vote but hear all the commercials and interviews on 550am morning radio.
Remember that over the course of the last several months, as polls were showing Bevins doing better against Grimes, even winning against her, the argument was that he was the more electable candidate and deserving of a vote over McConnell.
Now that polls show him doing worse ... ?
What’s happened is that the McConnell campaign has systematically cut Bevins legs off. It’s a campaign, and what happens in a campaign.
Now McConnell will turn and do the same thing against Grimes. I don’t like McConnell, but I really don’t like Grimes. Particularly that she’s portraying herself as an über-Conservative independent who we all know won’t waste a minute strapping on the knee pads for Dingy Harry once elected. McConnell may be a snake, but a snake is still better than a rat.
FU very much. Vote for Hillary in 2016 too. Keep the lesson going. You make NO sense.
Something like that, yes.
McConnell plays nasty. He has used his position to punish groups that support Bevin.
That is terrible for anyone in party leadership. I’d wager that if he successfully beats Bevin (The American People), then his seat is at risk to go D.
FU very much. Vote for Hillary in 2016 too. Keep the lesson going. You make NO sense.
I’m looking long term. Of course, I also have property with LOTS of wood, large garden, plenty of chickens and room for plenty of cattle to graze if it comes to that. And I believe it probably will if we are left with Dems or GOPe.
It’s why I bought this place two weeks before the 2008 election, and I thought McCain would win. ;-)
From the poll:
Among likely Republican primary voters in Kentucky including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate and those who voted early or by absentee ballot, here is how the Republican primary for U.S. Senate stands:
57% Mitch McConnell
25% Matt Bevin
3% Chris Payne
1% Shawna Sterling
1% Brad Copas
I live in SW PA. I sent Matt a little money earlier this year. I’m not writing him off, but the numbers aren’t good. With one week to go, he’s got a heck of a heavy lift.
A snake and a rat are both equally worthless in a sinking ship.
McConnell going back as majority leader is no better than sending Grimes.
Mitch won’t lose the General election, even though I hope he loses the primary.
Oh! But McConnell's got that magic "R" after his name! That automatically makes him...
...in the eyes of certain, shall we say, less than perspicacious posters.
“A snake and a rat are both equally worthless in a sinking ship.
McConnell going back as majority leader is no better than sending Grimes.”
I agree. I don’t subscribe to the general idea of electing Dems instead of RINOS to “teach them a lesson”, but I make an exception in the case of McConnell, because he is SUCH a scumbag. I hope we can pick up enough seats to take the Senate without him winning, but I would gladly take 50-50 without McConnell than 51-49 with him.
What is the GOP gonna do in a 51-49 Senate with Barry in charge anyway? You think they’ll finally fight for spending cuts or refuse to raise the debt ceiling? No way; they’ll tell us this is “all we can do” right now but we’ll “really fight hard” when we have the presidency in 2017.
Bevin is the real deal, real conservative, small business owner.
That may be but voters are going with experience this year and most likely in 2016. After the on the job training President, voters are not risking newbies. That is a fact that I have studied with these primaries. So far I am pretty much right on.
I prefer neither. I’m sure as hell am not voting for the douche bag McConnell after he made it clear he intended to punch tea party conservatives in the face. He can take two running leaps and jump straight into hell!
The only way McConnell wins is if he gets enough democrat cross over votes from the eastern coal counties. Otherwise he gets stomped in the general election. Lots of conservatives I know are saying enough, you Party boys may win a squeaker without us but do you honestly think all those democrats are going to stay in your camp, if so you have over dosed on the Potomac kool-aid.
I will not vote for another liberal I don’t give a damn if they have that wonderful (R) in front of their names, not again even if it means losing the congress and the presidency. Now all you it’s all about the Party boys, go try and win more than one election without a chunk of your base and see how you fair I want to see you out liberal a liberal.
Boy, would McConnell’s defeat be a kick in the head or what?
Kentucky and Georgia possibly go Blue in the Senate races while the Rats hold serve in Arkansas, Louisiana and North Carolina. The south and near south (Ky) are turning a shade of purple.
He leads Bevin 57%-25%.
Two years ago, Romney beat Obama in Kentucky by 61%-38%.
It’ll be a hoot, as long as it’s Matt Bevin who beats him.
Yep, way off from 2010.
It explains why the MSM is trying to make it close.
So CA $$$ keeps flowing to Kentucky
Either way, Kentucky elects a senator who doesn’t give a sh!t.
McConnell can not be a pile of steaming turtle crap - turtles are cold blooded reptiles, therefore their crap is not steaming. But McConnell is a piece of crap, none-the-less.
Bevin has no chance. He lost the minute John Cornball defeated Steve Stockman in TX. People in KY Republican primaries are status-quo all the way.
In other words they are none too bright.
I sympathize with KY’s few conservatives who have to contemplate McC or Grimes.