Kentucky: McConnell and Grimes Neck and Neck for U.S. Senate

Marist Poll ^ | 5-12-2014 | Marist Poll/Marist College

[smoothsailing]

5/12: Kentucky: McConnell and Grimes Neck and Neck for U.S. Senate

May 12, 2014 by Marist Poll

Among registered voters in Kentucky including undecided voters who are leaning toward a candidate, U.S. Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell receives 46% to 45% for Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes. One percent supports someone else, and 8% are undecided.

......

Key points:

*Party ID. More than eight in ten Republicans — 83% — support McConnell while 75% of Democrats back Grimes. A notable 19% of Democrats are for McConnell compared with only 9% of Republicans who support Grimes. McConnell edges Grimes, 46% to 41%, among independent voters.

Gender. There is a gender gap. 51% of men support McConnell while 40% are for Grimes. Among women voters, 49% are for Grimes compared with 42% for McConnell.

Against Republican businessman Matt Bevin, Grimes has the support of 46% of registered voters in the state including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate compared with 37% for Bevin. One percent is for another candidate, and 15% are undecided.

Low Favorability and Approval Ratings for McConnell…Grimes Unknown to Many

45% of Kentucky adults have an unfavorable opinion of Mitch McConnell. 39% have a favorable impression of him while 13% are unsure how to rate him. Among registered voters, 46% have a negative opinion of McConnell. 42% have a positive one, and 11% are unsure how to rate him.

When it comes to McConnell’s job performance, 45% of Kentucky residents disapprove of how he is currently doing in the United States Senate. 39% approve, and 16% are unsure. Among registered voters in the state, 46% give McConnell low marks. 41% are pleased with his performance, and 13% are unsure.

Looking at Grimes, 36% of Kentucky residents have a positive impression of her and 23% have a negative one. 14% have never heard of Grimes, and 27% are unsure how to rate her. Among registered voters, 39% have a favorable opinion of Grimes while 24% have an unfavorable one. One in ten — 10% — has never heard of her, and 27% are unsure how to rate Grimes.

McConnell Outdistances Bevin in GOP Primary for U.S. Senate in Kentucky

In the race for the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate in Kentucky, Senator Mitch McConnell leads his closest competitor, Matt Bevin, 57% to 25%, among likely Republican primary voters including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate and those who voted early or by absentee ballot.

- See more including internals at:

http://maristpoll.marist.edu/512-kentucky-mcconnell-and-grimes-neck-and-neck-for-u-s-senate/#sthash.OENO2q9P.dpuf

[Jane Long]

Great. This is what you get when milquetoast RINO’s run. Same diff as the Dim.

[trisham]

"The secret to happiness is freedom...
And the secret to freedom is courage."

~Thucydides

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[GeronL]

I hope Bevin pulls it out somehow

[Viennacon]

Morons in KY are going to pick Mitch... again... and he’ll lose. 2014 is going to be a fiasco

[thetallguy24]

Wouldn’t it be better if Grimes won? Seriously, wouldn’t this be a wake up call to the RINOs?

[smoothsailing]

Wouldn’t it be better if Grimes won?

Not in my world, I loathe Democrats.

[rwfromkansas]

The poll shows Bevin losing worse than McConnell to the Dem....

As usual, it looks like what was a sure thing for the GOP is over.

No Senate control.

[what's up]

People said this about Obama too. That it would be a "wakeup call".

Well, six years later the only thing that's happened is that Obama is causing massive suffering. Let's please not make those same types of mistakes again.

[MrB]

No, they’d actually rather have a fellow statist win in order to increase the power that they get a slice of,

than to have a conservative win that would reduce that power.

[rwfromkansas]

Again, the poll shows Bevin losing WORSE.

[cuban leaf]

I’m voting for Bevin in the primary. If he loses, I’m voting for Grimes in the general. I don’t just want to vote against McConnel. I want to vote for the person most likely to win against him. I want him OUT, even if it means sending a Democrat to the senate. Even if it means giving up a chance at a republican majority.

[Jagdgewehr]

wouldn’t this be a wake up call to the RINOs?

Never going to happen. They will just move further left.

[GeronL]

37% + 15% undecided

It is still possible although unlikely.

[stanne]

Good. The GOPe will push amnesty anyway. The heck with their getting control

Let em figure out that they need the base. The republican base is the only force that cares anything about the future of the country. And we should just start calling the GOPe the Chamber Party that’s whom they work for. So they were republicans when they took office

So what?

The young republicans can move in

Not gaining the senate in mob is no big deal Just an amateur theory

Republicans (GOPe that is) in power are dangerous enablers of BO

[COBOL2Java]

Waiting for the Pollyanna Republicans to swarm onto this thread, castigating all those who won't vote for post-turtle Mitch.

They'll continue to play the "Glad Game" all the way to November.

"Golly gee, my father used to say that if we could just get a Republican majority, then we would eat steak and ice cream three times everyday!"

[bigbob]

Yeah, but it ain’t gonna happen. The Mitch will be back, as will Linda.

[GeronL]

Unfortunately and nothing will get done

[nhwingut]

The interesting thing is in a supposed tidal wave election, its the southern Democrats who may save the Senate for the Dems. They are hanging in there in every poll. Despite being in states that despise Obama. Grimes in KY, Nunn in GA, Landrieu in LA, and Pryor in AR. None are looking like certain losers.

[ZirconEncrustedTweezers]

If the GOP can take the Senate without retaining McConnell’s seat, I don’t see too much of a downside here.