Skip to comments.Are Republicans blowing it in Ark.?
Posted on 05/15/2014 7:09:06 AM PDT by ghost of stonewall jackson
Arkansas now a Toss-up
Its become clear over the past few months that Sen. Mark Pryor (D-AR), despite the increasing Republican lean of his state, has been holding his own, or better, against Rep. Tom Cotton (R, AR-4). Several positive polls for the incumbent, including a too-optimistic 11-point lead from NBC/Marist earlier this week, moved the HuffPost Pollster average in the race to 45.2% Pryor, 42.7% Cotton.
Democrats are defending seven Senate seats in states that Mitt Romney won in 2012. In three of these races Montana, South Dakota and West Virginia we perceive a clear Republican edge, and have for months. Meanwhile, there are three others Alaska, Louisiana and North Carolina that we have seen as Toss-ups for months, and close polls in all three states confirm that view. With a Leans Republican rating, we had Arkansas lumped in with the first group, but it really belongs with the second group.
(Excerpt) Read more at centerforpolitics.org ...
“Before leaving Ohio University as the top graduating senior in the school’s online journalism sequence, Kyle served as editor in chief of the university’s independent student newspaper, The Post.”
Now that’s who I want to take my political analysis from. Love how the leftie media tells conservatives how they should submit
I don’t care how biased and skewed these pollsters are. They all show Pryor with a lead, from 2-3 up to 10-11. The GOP can’t take this for granted.
The Pryor name seems to be a big factor. These are the old conservative Democrats, now Repubs, who still remember fondly of his old man. Just like Landrieu in LA and Nunn in GA. If not for their names, they’d be down by 20.
It is a foregone conclusion that Republicans will below it every where. The only diff between Republican slime and Dim-bulb-Crat slime is that there are measurably more flies on the dim-bulb slime.
The GOP is dead, dead, dead...just as is the brain of Bonehead, Jeb boy, etc. etc.
Either we go conservative, or let’s just save money (and hide it) and let the dim-bulbs continue pulling back on the stick and driving us into a full stall and death spin.
What Cotton should do is a bunch of ads associating the Pryor name with the state of U.S.
Pryor to the Democratic majority, our national debt was ...
Pryor to the Democratic majority, you could choose your own doctor, afford your healthcare . . . .
Now . . .
Anyway at the end, say Pryor was a big part of tearing it all down. I just think it might put a different spin on the name.
Republican .. U.S. Rep. Tom Cotton Libertarian .. Nathan LaFrance Democrat .. U.S. Sen. Mark Pryor Green .. Mark Swaney
This article is crap.
Cotton is the best gop candidate in the USA and will stomp Pryor.
Not only that, but according to their map, the dems are defending 20 seats and only 6 are “safe”. 14 are in various stages of competition and I think we have a shot at sweeping all 14.
Also according to their map, the GOP is defending 13 will 11 listed as safe. The only 2 in play are Georgia and Kentucky and I think those two will be easy wins for us.
So easy wins for us and 14 in play for them.
We will be doing a happy dance after november.
The few Cotton ads I have are weak and unimpressive.
The several Pryor ads have hit Cotton pretty severely. The ads have half-truths and twisted facts, but they seem to be effective.
Pryor has been ignoring the fact that he voted for Obamacare. He is currently running ads saying he helped save Medicare and kept the retirement age (which Cotton supposedly wanted to raise).
Incumbency is difficult to defeat. Cotton needs to up his game — he needs to offer something of substance. So far, he hasn’t.
As you point out, Pryor has name recognition and many probably think that he is his father. But, for an incumbent like him to be polling below 50% in any poll is not a good sign.
Cotton may blow this, but he can also win it.
Generic party preference polls regarding Congress tend to become meaningless when actual candidate names are placed into the questions. People may hate Congress in general, but love their individual Congress critter.
They blow this race, they’re finished. It’s a cakewalk.
You're right that nothing can be taken for granted, but an incumbent under 50% in essentially a 2-man race (there's no significant 3rd party candidate here) shouldn't be very happy about that. Undecideds typically break 2-1 or 3-1 for the challenger.
The only polls I look at is the one on election night.
Lying polls. They probably over sample the Dems and then call mostly in Pulaski county where Little Rock is.
Even then I’d bet most of the Dem voters still think Pryor is his dad.